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Pham, Fedde


greg775

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Tommy Pham is 3-for-32 over several games for St. Looie. Fedde pitched well today in a victory. Do you think Fedde has 5 years left in him? Is Pham going the Abreu route? Release him soon?

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Erick Fedde, RHP, Cardinals
Projected: 1.4 fWAR, 4.86 ERA
Actual: 2.7 fWAR, 3.39 ERA

In March, Fedde was a former first-round pick with a career 5.41 ERA who had just returned from a successful KBO season (20-6, 2.00 ERA, 0.95 WHIP.) What was going to come of his shot-in-the-dark two-year deal with the White Sox was a complete question mark. He returned to MLB critically having swapped his curveball, against which he allowed a .504 slugging percentage in 2022, for a sweeper (.148 BA, .296 SLG entering Monday), and with a newfound ability to limit his baserunners.

2017-22 vs. 2024
Hard-hit rate: 42.5% -> 36.2%
WHIP: 1.52 -> 1.18
BB/9: 3.8 -> 2.6

Despite ZiPS overshooting his actual K/9 rate, projecting 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings (he's at 7.7), Fedde's proven to be one of the best chances any team took last offseason.

 

 

Players that improved the most over 2023/projection models...

MLB.comhttps://www.mlb.com/news/players-beating-2024-expectations

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  • 1 month later...

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