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Potential Crochet Trade discussion Thread


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5 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said:

The adjustment going from AAA to the majors is massive.  I don’t think he has anything left to learn in the minors from a hitting perspective, but it’s clear he will need to continue to develop in the majors.  How long that takes remains to be seen.  But zero reason not to pick up O’hearn’s option given he’s worth more that and can be traded if needed.

O’Hearn has a career 1.8 fWAR across 7 seasons. To say he’s definitively worth more than $8M in 2025 is debatable. But, yes, he has been better with the Orioles. It won’t take much of a slip in his hitting production to result in an overall negative player again. For a team as cheap as the Orioles seem to be (even with the new owner), it sure seems that $8M could be better utilized on pitching upgrades if Mayo is a 3+ WAR player year in year out.

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8 minutes ago, JUSTgottaBELIEVE said:

O’Hearn has a career 1.8 fWAR across 7 seasons. To say he’s definitively worth more than $8M in 2025 is debatable. But, yes, he has been better with the Orioles. It won’t take much of a slip in his hitting production to result in an overall negative player again. For a team as cheap as the Orioles seem to be (even with the new owner), it sure seems that $8M could be better utilized on pitching upgrades if Mayo is a 3+ WAR player year in year out.

Him becoming a 3 win player doesn’t mean he will be one as rookie.

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51 minutes ago, JUSTgottaBELIEVE said:

But he won’t be a 1+ win player as a rookie? That should be adequate to replace O’Hearn at a fraction of the cost.

Steamer 600 projects Mayo at 1.7 fWAR vs. 1.9 for O’Hearn, so theoretically it’s all very close.  That being said, the Orioles love having too much depth so it’s not completely out of the world they would keep both.  And it’s still very early and it’s possible they move one of this off-season.  If fact, I wouldn’t be that surprised if they are trying to use Mayo in a package to acquire a TOR starter.

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1 hour ago, Chicago White Sox said:

Steamer 600 projects Mayo at 1.7 fWAR vs. 1.9 for O’Hearn, so theoretically it’s all very close.  That being said, the Orioles love having too much depth so it’s not completely out of the world they would keep both.  And it’s still very early and it’s possible they move one of this off-season.  If fact, I wouldn’t be that surprised if they are trying to use Mayo in a package to acquire a TOR starter.

They’d be smart to package him for a starting pitcher

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