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Official Ortiz/Jones ATL Rumors Thread


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Baseball Prospectus has some "Runs Above Replacement" for some CFers' discussed on the board. While I don't agree with all the stats [RF, ZR from STATS, inc. have Biggio about the same as Jones], BP has stats more in line with the naked eye. BP also rated CFers in all defensive categories and had Rowand near the bottom. Basically a below avg CFer, and an average to above avg corner OFer. What most of baseball would agree with.

 

        Jones    Rowand    Beltran    Finley

2002    33        16            25          19

2003  32        7          24          11

 

Rowand may get decent jumps at times. But this can't overcompensate for the speed, reads, arm, quick release and quickness of an Andruw Jones. And getting regular playing time won't add to his defensive abilities.

 

It's hard to quantify which balls an OFer could get to or not. But I've seen Jones, and guys like Beltran and Torri Hunter catch little bloopers and shots in the gap that no Sox OFer seem able to do.

Or not

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Juan Cruz may be coming in for the Braves right now. Also, the deal with Furcal included is just speculation, but they don't realize the Sox don't have a need for a shortstop.

 

The Sox would only be going for one hitter from the Braves and I could easily see them going for Cruz and Ortiz. That is a move that makes sense. KW has always been comfortable seeing guys he feels his staff can make adjustments to or that he thinks can really turn things around and become a good pitcher. Well, Cruz isn't a diamond in the rough cause he's been hyped, but he's still one of those guys that could turn into a plus reliever or a plus starter. The key is to get him to throw more strikes. He has a nice delivery but seems to be afraid of hitters hitting him and thats probably Coops best trait (getting guys to throw strikes and letting them trust their stuff).

 

But Marte just can't be a part of the deal. He's been coming on strong and him and Shingo is a good 8th/9th inning tandom.

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true, why trade a reliever for another reliever when your guy is working fine?

I'd guess it just has everything to do with the fact that the Braves see Marte out there and think he could replace Smoltz next year. They probably asked and I can only hope Kenny said hell no.

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I'd guess it just has everything to do with the fact that the Braves see Marte out there and think he could replace Smoltz next year.  They probably asked and I can only hope Kenny said hell no.

There is no way in hell Williams would trade Marte. That's his guy.

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There is no way in hell Williams would trade Marte. That's his guy.

Plus he's signed long term. I'd s*** a brick if he was dealt, not if Maggs was dealt. I have long felt pitching wins games and wins in the playoffs and Marte is exactly what you want.

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Maggs, Borch, and Rauch for Jones, Ortiz, and Cruz

 

 

good bye Maggs is all I have to say..

 

That would be a GREAT deal.. Maggs is gone after this year, no matter what you believe, and Jones would be SOLID for a long time.. GG CFer with speed and power and can hit between .270 - .300 its what we have been lookin for, a CFer who can play!

 

Not to mention adding two arms, we win that deal hands down

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Maggs, Borch, and Rauch for Jones, Ortiz, and Cruz

 

 

good bye Maggs is all I have to say..

 

That would be a GREAT deal.. Maggs is gone after this year, no matter what you believe, and Jones would be SOLID for a long time.. GG CFer with speed and power and can hit between .270 - .300 its what we have been lookin for, a CFer who can play!

 

Not to mention adding two arms, we win that deal hands down

And the Sox still have Reed to slie into right field next year. I'd do that deal.

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I really don't like the idea of giving up Borch...but if we had to trade one of the stud OF's, it'd be him.

 

Can't we just throw in Mike Jackson??

Well with Jones and Lee in the Of signed, you could make a point that you'd only need one of Reed or Borchard. It all depends on what gets the deal done and who the Sox like more. The Sox have a lot of power already and Reed definately would fit in nice amongst the power bats. Plus I firmly believe Reed will have at least a few seasons where he hits 20 HR's and he will hit for a high average.

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Like I told Jason on AIM yesterday, any trade involving Magglio does not include the big 5 outfielders. Atleast in my small world.

I'd agree typically, but if they get Juan Cruz, I'd open up one of Borchard/Reed. I think Anderson is pretty much untouchable while Sweeney's value isn't as high as it will eventually be. Plus I really like Sweeney.

 

Out of all of them, I'd probably deal Borchard because he's shown he has injury problems and I think in the end those injuries may prevent him from ever putting it together.

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Like I told Jason on AIM yesterday, any trade involving Magglio does not include the big 5 outfielders. Atleast in my small world.

big 5 outfielders?

 

Who's the fifth? Nanita or Young?

 

IMO, we dont have a 5th OF that measures up to Sweeney, Borch, Reed, Anderson.

 

Also, if we were to trade Marte that would the stupidest move by KW ever. Our bullpen has been horrid and Marte has been one of just 2 solid spots there. Moving him would be insane.

 

Also, personally, i dont know if i'd do that Maggs trade. Jones is good and we probably wont have Maggs next year anyways, but couldnt we get more for him if KW was actually gonna trade him?

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big 5 outfielders?

 

Who's the fifth? Nanita or Young?

 

IMO, we dont have a 5th OF that measures up to Sweeney, Borch, Reed, Anderson.

 

Also, if we were to trade Marte that would the stupidest move by KW ever. Our bullpen has been horrid and Marte has been one of just 2 solid spots there. Moving him would be insane.

 

Also, personally, i dont know if i'd do that Maggs trade. Jones is good and we probably wont have Maggs next year anyways, but couldnt we get more for him if KW was actually gonna trade him?

I meant 4, sorry.

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big 5 outfielders?

 

Who's the fifth? Nanita or Young?

 

IMO, we dont have a 5th OF that measures up to Sweeney, Borch, Reed, Anderson.

 

Also, if we were to trade Marte that would the stupidest move by KW ever. Our bullpen has been horrid and Marte has been one of just 2 solid spots there. Moving him would be insane.

 

Also, personally, i dont know if i'd do that Maggs trade. Jones is good and we probably wont have Maggs next year anyways, but couldnt we get more for him if KW was actually gonna trade him?

I'd say Chris Young is rawer then any of the players listed, but has the potential of any of them and is probably the lone one that could play very good defense in center field.

 

I don't consider Nanita a part of that, however you could argue that brice is a pretty good OF prospect, although I don't put him quite in that class. Brice has the best outfield arm in the organization though, imo.

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I'd agree typically, but if they get Juan Cruz, I'd open up one of Borchard/Reed.  I think Anderson is pretty much untouchable while Sweeney's value isn't as high as it will eventually be.  Plus I really like Sweeney. 

I'm not against moving Borchard, but not in the same deal as Magglio. If they can land Ortiz and Jones, then turn Borchard and a pitching prospect into another starter that would be ideal.

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I'm not against moving Borchard, but not in the same deal as Magglio. If they can land Ortiz and Jones, then turn Borchard and a pitching prospect into another starter that would be ideal.

After getting Ortiz, wouldn't the bullpen be the next area of weakness. I still think the Sox need to get one more really good reliever. If you can get that to go with Shingo and Marte then I'd really be happy.

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but couldnt we get more for him if KW was actually gonna trade him?

more then a really good young pitcher with a carrer record of 95-47 and a 6 time gold glove outfielder that hits pretty damn good... more then that, for a rent-a-player... thats askin a lot!

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After getting Ortiz, wouldn't the bullpen be the next area of weakness.  I still think the Sox need to get one more really good reliever.  If you can get that to go with Shingo and Takatsu then I'd really be happy.

Have we cloned Shingo? :lol:

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After a night sleeping on it, I'm now split on this deal.

 

The more I thought about it, the more I realized Ortiz is not the answer we need pitching wise, but KW will most likely make the move thinking he is. Ortiz is not the answer to all our SP problems...he may just add to them. He's an innings eater.

 

I like Jones in CF. But I did remember hearing last year that his range was starting to decline a little. And his numbers this year are nothing to write home about. And if we acquire Jones...where do we put the LH bat? Do we bench Rowand again? Is Konerko or Lee apart of a trade? I am not sure.

 

I would love the Cruz addition a lot. Last year, Josh Beckett had an electric arm, but was clueless when it came to actually pitching. Come postseason-time, he just finally started to pitch, and he figured s*** out. He is now one of the better young pitchers in the league and is money. Cruz is a headcase, and having all the pressure on him, knowing that a team's hopes of advancing in the playoffs rides on him could make him or break him. Some people rise to the opportunity, some do not. It would definately be interesting to see.

 

Losing Maggs would hurt like hell. He has probably been our best hitter(note, not best at the plate...Thomas was best at the plate last year IMO, as far as being dangerous to get on base) for 3 years now. It would definately be hard to give him up.

 

Personally, I'd like to keep both Rauch and Diaz. We all know that's not gonna happen. We need to keep atleast one of them, IMO.

 

 

 

Let me just say this. I am not opposed to the deal, but I am not for the deal. There will be all kinds of good and bad things that arise out of it. If the good things outweigh the bad things, then the deal should be made.

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