MinnesotaSoxFan Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 Bush's lead in Ohio has been cut to 100,000 votes! 92% precincts reporting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBAHO Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 FWIW Kerry is just winning in Nevada by 2,000 votes after 41% counted. That was meant to be a sure Republican state. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHarris1 Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 Damn Kerry has every state but Ohio and New Mexico. If he comes back to take Ohio... :puke Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBAHO Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 Damn Kerry has every state but Ohio and New Mexico. If he comes back to take Ohio... :puke It'll be a miracle if Kerry makes up 100,000 votes with 8% left in Ohio. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHarris1 Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 It'll be a miracle if Kerry makes up 100,000 votes with 8% left in Ohio. Yes... but aren't there a lot of mail in ballots or whatever in Ohio. Or am I hollusinating? God damn I'm tired. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinnesotaSoxFan Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 Yes... but aren't there a lot of mail in ballots or whatever in Ohio. Or am I hollusinating? God damn I'm tired. ok...Maybe these Ohio Election Judges are purposely making us all fall asleep so they can announce the winner without without getting some attention. If they don't announce a winner by 1.30 am chicago time, I will go to bed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBAHO Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 Bush is back in front in Nevada. Back.To.Normal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackie hayes Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 If the Dems get 50-50 out of absentee ballots, they're damn lucky. If they have to hang their hat on that, they're screwed. I have to think (especially after seeing Virginia and the Carolinas) that the networks are really being quite careful with projections this year. Ohio would really take some divine inspiration. It's over, go to sleep and get the worst nightmares out of the way -- Bush holds on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBAHO Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 We've got Flip - Flopping in Nevada. :banghead Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinnesotaSoxFan Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 ITS TCTC. Thats what they have on cnn.com Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinnesotaSoxFan Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 This one won't be decided till later. So, goodnight everyone! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hammerhead johnson Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 On NBC, they're interviewing some dude at the banquet hall where the Republicans are getting ready to celebrate at & there's some Garth Brooks or some such blasting in the background. That's comedy. Redneck noise, man. I need to get me some Motown...ya dig? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBAHO Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 The Ohio result was predicted to be decided in an hour, but now it's going to take a couple more. There's 250,000 votes left to count, so Kerry would need to get at least 175,000 to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackie hayes Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 I should put a small caveat on something I said earlier -- if the conditional ballots are VERY strongly Dem, and if Kerry does surprisingly well in the yet uncounted vote, then I guess he has some small chance. The models don't really capture these "conditional votes", after all. But I still think the odds of any change are puny. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knightni Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 Yay! ANOTHER election night clusterf***! Wooo! Someone shoot me or point me in the direction of someone who's ass I can kick for this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gene Honda Civic Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 Yay! ANOTHER election night clusterf***! Wooo! Someone shoot me or point me in the direction of someone who's ass I can kick for this. Try this guy, he's been involved in both of them Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knightni Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 I think you can blame this guy: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mmmmmbeeer Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 I should put a small caveat on something I said earlier -- if the conditional ballots are VERY strongly Dem, and if Kerry does surprisingly well in the yet uncounted vote, then I guess he has some small chance. The models don't really capture these "conditional votes", after all. But I still think the odds of any change are puny. read somewhere else that the last time that provisional ballots had to be used was in IL some years ago. 11% of the provisional ballots were considered valid and counted. In other words, it's over. If Kerry drags this out past tomorrow he will disgrace his party. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerCaseRepublican Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 On several swing states, and EVERY STATE that has E-Voting but no paper trails has an unexplained advantage for Bush of around +5% when comparing exit polls to actual results. In EVERY STATE that has paper audit trails on their E-Voting, the exit poll results match the actual results reported within the margin of error. So we have MATCHING RESULTS for exit polls vs. voting with audits vs. A 5% unexplained advantage for Bush without audits. A very strange anomaly indeed. Anomaly my ass. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBAHO Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 On several swing states, and EVERY STATE that has E-Voting but no paper trails has an unexplained advantage for Bush of around +5% when comparing exit polls to actual results. In EVERY STATE that has paper audit trails on their E-Voting, the exit poll results match the actual results reported within the margin of error. So we have MATCHING RESULTS for exit polls vs. voting with audits vs. A 5% unexplained advantage for Bush without audits. A very strange anomaly indeed. Anomaly my ass. I saw on Fox News they had a Democrat Attorney outside one of the counties in Ohio that the Democrats were expected to win easily but that was not the case. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NUKE_CLEVELAND Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 On several swing states, and EVERY STATE that has E-Voting but no paper trails has an unexplained advantage for Bush of around +5% when comparing exit polls to actual results. In EVERY STATE that has paper audit trails on their E-Voting, the exit poll results match the actual results reported within the margin of error. So we have MATCHING RESULTS for exit polls vs. voting with audits vs. A 5% unexplained advantage for Bush without audits. A very strange anomaly indeed. Anomaly my ass. Of course here's APU with the conspiracy theories. That took longer than I thought it would. Why can't you just admit it when your side loses? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NUKE_CLEVELAND Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 Assuming there are 250K absentee/provisional ballots out there Kerry would have to win about 80% of them to make up the difference. It's over. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chisoxfn Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 4 More Years Baby Now gotta get myself back to watching the news. My prediction: Iowa, Ohio, Nevada and New Mexico all go for Bush. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NUKE_CLEVELAND Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 4 More Years Baby Now gotta get myself back to watching the news. My prediction: Iowa, Ohio, Nevada and New Mexico all go for Bush. Nevada has already been called for Bush, Iowa should follow soon and Wisconsin looks like its going Kerry's way. In Ohio Bush leads by over 145,000 votes. That means Kerry would have to win 80 something % of the provisional/absentee votes to take the state. Not happening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greasywheels121 Posted November 3, 2004 Share Posted November 3, 2004 You know what? f*** this. If it is going to be decided by 2 am for Ohio then I’m going to sleep. Bush has won so good night. I thought we were staying up until this thing was known for sure.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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