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Sirus and XM in merger talks?


southsider2k5

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QUOTE(Chisoxfn @ Jan 26, 2005 -> 12:39 PM)
That would be really cool cause then people could get NBA, MLB, and NFL games on Satellite Radio.  Of course they could raise prices due to a lack of competition following the merger.

 

with a larger customer base, the economy of scale kicks in and costs will decrease. This is a boom for the consumer! :rolly

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As much as I hate to actually say this, it may actually help if they merged. Right now, people are torn as to which service to choose. FOr example, I would want the NFL AND MLB stuff, but since they are on competing companies I have to choose one. If all sports were available on service, I would prefer that one.

 

WIth that being said, i would much rather see all sports available on BOTH and then let the consumer choose and let the free market take hold

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Prices won't go up significantly anytime soon. They still need to convince listeners that it is a good value to subscribe to satellite radio. With the radio conglomerates finally offering proper reaction to declining listenership, it may be a tougher row to hoe than they previously thought.

 

This merger might actually make one of the two companies financially viable.

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FWIW...

 

Sirius chief denies talks with XM brass:

 

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6870266/

 

NEW YORK - Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. Chief Executive Mel Karmazin has not met with top executives of rival XM Satellite Radio Holdings to discuss a merger between the two broadcasters, Karmazin said on a conference call Wednesday after Sirius reported a wider fourth-quarter loss.

 

“I have not met with the chairman or CEO, so I have no idea where any of this came from,” Karmazin said in response to a New York Post story that claimed Sirius and XM have started early merger discussions.

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since sirus radios stock is at about $6.00 right now.. and xm is at around $33... if they mereged, sirus stock holders (i assume) would get a large boost to their portfolio....

 

any stock monglers out there think this might be a good long term high risk investment?

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QUOTE(hi8is @ Jan 27, 2005 -> 04:10 AM)
since sirus radios stock is at about $6.00 right now.. and xm is at around $33... if they mereged, sirus stock holders (i assume) would get a large boost to their portfolio....

 

any stock monglers out there think this might be a good long term high risk investment?

 

Those two numbers don't mean much. It has a lot more to do with the amount of shares outstanding, debt, future earnings etc.

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QUOTE(hi8is @ Jan 27, 2005 -> 04:10 AM)
since sirus radios stock is at about $6.00 right now.. and xm is at around $33... if they mereged, sirus stock holders (i assume) would get a large boost to their portfolio....

 

any stock monglers out there think this might be a good long term high risk investment?

 

Sirius is probably more recommended "buy" than XMSR right now because they have contracts with Ford, Chrysler, and Howard Stern. Earnings-wise, neither of these companies perform very well and are risky at best.

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QUOTE(DonkeyKongerko @ Jan 27, 2005 -> 10:14 AM)
Sirius is probably more recommended "buy" than XMSR right now because they have contracts with Ford, Chrysler, and Howard Stern.  Earnings-wise, neither of these companies perform very well and are risky at best.

At the same time XM works with Nissan, Honda (and Acura), and all of GM's offerings.

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And I believe Sirius is dealer option only with Ford, XM will be standard option with GM in 2006 or 2007 I believe.

 

Sirius had to take an extra 250 million in debt to structure Stern's contract. I think it will sink the company before the Stern payoff hits.

 

Sirius:

Better Product

Howard Stern

 

XM:

Better Financials

More Liquidity

Better People behind it

Better distribution

Industry leader

Better Branding.

 

XM will win. And probably within the next 18 months.

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QUOTE(winodj @ Jan 27, 2005 -> 03:33 PM)
And I believe Sirius is dealer option only with Ford, XM will be standard option with GM in 2006 or 2007 I believe.

 

Sirius had to take an extra 250 million in debt to structure Stern's contract. I think it will sink the company before the Stern payoff hits.

 

Sirius:

Better Product

Howard Stern

 

XM:

Better Financials

More Liquidity

Better People behind it

Better distribution

Industry leader

Better Branding.

 

XM will win. And probably within the next 18 months.

 

Sirius has exclusive factory-installed contracts with Ford, DaimlerChrysler, and some with BMW.

 

Retail-wise XM is the sexier pick but market analysis projects a 50/50 market split including OEM channels. Technologically, XM is actually a generation ahead of Sirius too. I see competition and a possible price war but these companies are both volatile and not really great financially. With Karmazin at Sirius, neither company is going to lose in 18 months.

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