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Phil Rogers' Playoff Prediction Scheme


The Ginger Kid

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QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Sep 8, 2005 -> 04:48 PM)
Also (and this is a real key)...we're almost completely healthy.

 

Crede has a hand problem yeah, but he may be back this weekend.  Hermanson has a back problem, but he's been able to deal with it for at least a month.  El Duque's shoulder is a question mark, but we havent' seen him struggling with it since the AS Break.  Pods probably needs a couple days off here & there before the end of the year to rest them legs up...but other than that, there's really no one on our team who (possibly thanks to Ozzie's "Sunday lineups") isn't in good condition and seeming healthy.

 

Reading that made me think of Frank. :(

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QUOTE(bmags @ Sep 8, 2005 -> 05:22 PM)
He's as much a part of this team in the playoffs as any...i do miss the big man though.

 

Gonna be hard to see him go this offseason if he does go.

 

I just simply cant even imagine him in any other uniform other than a Sox uniform. I personally hope they do work out some type of deal with him to lock him up till his career ends...I know the team comes first, but if this team were to, say, win the World Series, I think keeping Frank and seeing him retire in a Sox uniform - preferably with 500 career homers(even if he is 52 homers away) and a World Series ring - would be best case scenario.

 

Kind of funny to think about it...he hit .219 this year, and had a .905 OPS. He hit as many homers in 121 PA's as Rowand has all season, up to this point...Rowand, going into the game tonight, had exactly 400 more PA's than Big Frank.

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Phil Rogers has no clue about this stuff. He's just making it up.

 

Without Crosby, the A's probably aren't going to make it at all, and he has them first. Meanwhile, Boston really has been the hottest playoff team and with the way they play at home, are likely to crush their opening opponent. He has them last.

 

The Sox are going to have a tough time advancing at all, but I believe that has as much to do with our history as our team. If we win 100 games like we last did in 1917, I'd say the sky is the limit for this team, regardless of how we get there.

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Palos vs Red $ox: 3-4, vs Yankee$: 3-3, vs Indians: 10-3, vs Halos: 4-3, vs A's: 2-7

AL Rs: BOS 794, NYY 743, OAK 670, CLE 667, CWS 651, LAA 637

AL HR: NYY 192, CWS 178, CLE 171, BOS 168, OAK 132, LAA 122

AL TB: BOS 2201, CLE 2147, NYY 2144, CWS 2015, OAK 1969, LAA 1952

ALRBI: BOS 751, NYY 710, CLE 642, OAK 639, CWS 627, LAA 607

 

RON (runners on) stats:

AL BA: BOS 295, NYY 280, LAA 282, CWS 279, OAK 273, CLE 270

AL HR: NYY 90, BOS 82, CWS 71, CLE 62, OAK 60, LAA 52

ALOPS: BOS 850, NYY 809, CWS 785, CLE 762, OAK 769, LAA 755

 

CL&L stats:

AL Rs: BOS 118, NYY 115, OAK 110, LAA 104, CLE 103, CWS 102

AL HR: CWS 29, BOS 24, CLE 24, NYY 21, LAA 20, OAK 19

AL TB: CWS 311, LAA 309, OAK 294, BOS 290, CLE 289, NYY 268

ALRBI: BOS 115, NYY 109, CWS 101, OAK 100, CLE 98, LAA 97

 

We all know the CWS will need to be at their best defensively to win.

In a game where hits & R's are stingy the numbers favor the CWS.

 

AL ERA: CWS 3.56, OAK 3.60, LAA 3.64, CLE 3.73, NYY 4.50, BOS 4.76

AL RON ERA: CWS 5.67, OAK 6.04, LAA 6.07, CLE 6.19, NYY 7.17, BOS 7.73

AL CL&L ERA: OAK 2.39, CLE 2.43, CWS 2.96, NYY 3.10, LAA 3.38, BOS 5.46

 

All season long the RON stat has been the best indicator of the CWS.

As you can see we are by a considerable margin the most stingiest team defensively in RON.

Offensively we are the 3rd best in the AL. OAK, CLE, & LAA trail significantly behind us.

 

Why is RON so important to measuring the White Sox? Team speed.

SB +/- LAA 138/51, CWS 124/92, NYY 70/112, CLE 58/94, BOS 39/78, OAK 29/98

+ = team, - = opposition

 

Look at how weak OAK is in being able to pressure a mistake.

 

If the ALDS & ALCS prove to be CL&L games the White Sox should be headed to the World Series.

Edited by JUGGERNAUT
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