Jump to content

Steve Phillips predictions


RockRaines

Recommended Posts

Player

 

1. Paul Konerko 2005 stats

Age: 29

HR: 40

RBI: 100

AVG: .283

OPS: .909

SB: 0

'05 salary: $8.75M Prediction/Comment

Prediction: Red Sox.

Comment: His back-to-back 40-homer and 100-RBI seasons show his consistency. His performance in the postseason proves to large-market teams that he can handle the spotlight. Look for a bidding war.

 

2. Johnny Damon

Age: 32

HR: 10

RBI: 75

AVG: .316

OPS: .805

SB: 18

'05 salary: $8.25M Prediction: Red Sox.

Comment: He is the top leadoff hitter in the game. He hits for average, steals bases, drives in runs and scores plenty of runs. Plus, he gives his club an attitude and a presence. He makes any team he's a part of better.

 

3. Roger Clemens

Age: 43

IP: 211.1

W-L: 13-8

ERA: 1.87

BB: 62

SO: 185

'05 salary: $18M Prediction: Retires.

Comment: He had another great season, but a hamstring injury affected him in September and October. His son, Koby, is still a few years away from possibly playing in the big leagues and Roger won't be able to last that long.

 

4. Rafael Furcal

Age: 27

HR: 12

RBI: 58

AVG: .284

OPS: .777

SB: 46

'05 salary: $5.6M Prediction: Cubs.

Comment: His game has matured at just the right time ... when he reaches free agency. He cut down on his errors substantially in '05, and also developed the patience needed to be a premier leadoff man.

 

5. Billy Wagner

Age: 34

IP: 77.2

SV: 38

ERA: 1.51

BB: 20

SO: 87

'05 salary: $9M Prediction: Phillies.

Comment: He still has the most dominating stuff among all the closers on the market. Expect a bidding war because teams that feel they are close to competing for a playoff spot will value his experience immensely.

 

6. B.J. Ryan

Age: 29

IP: 70.1

SV: 36

ERA: 2.43

BB: 26

SO: 100

'05 salary: $2.6M Prediction: Mets.

Comment: Clubs love his youth and strength. He is a horse. Some clubs value him higher than Billy Wagner because they can think long-term with him. Everyone who likes Wagner will also keep an eye on Ryan.

 

7. A.J. Burnett

Age: 28

IP: 209.0

W-L: 12-12

ERA: 3.44

BB: 79

SO: 198

'05 salary: $3.65M Prediction: Blue Jays.

Comment: He has the stuff of an ace, but the record of a No. 4 starter (49-50 in his career). He has a history of health problems and an erratic personality. In the right situation, he could blossom. If everything isn't just right, then he could be a bust.

 

8. Hideki Matsui

Age: 31

HR: 23

RBI: 116

AVG: .305

OPS: .863

SB: 2

'05 salary: $8M Prediction: Yankees.

Comment: Along with his talent, he brings leadership and toughness. He is usually a clutch player, and gives his team instant credibility in Japan because of his reputation earned from his days with the Yomiuri Giants.

 

9. Brian Giles

Age: 34

HR: 15

RBI: 83

AVG: .301

OPS: .906

SB: 13

'05 salary: $8M Prediction: Cubs.

Comment: He led the majors in walks (119) and was fourth overall in OBP (.423). His power numbers aren't what they once were. On the right team, he could log huge numbers; bat him second or third in front of a couple of big boppers and he may score 150 runs.

 

10. Trevor Hoffman

Age: 38

IP: 57.2

SV: 43

ERA: 2.97

BB: 12

SO: 54

'05 salary: $5M Prediction: Padres.

Comment: He is second all time in saves behind Lee Smith, and can still dominate with his power changeup. A hitter can know it is coming and still swing and miss at it. He is a great guy and an even better pitcher.

 

Player

 

11. Kyle Farnsworth

2005 stats

Age: 29

IP: 70.0

SV: 16

ERA: 2.19

BB: 27

SO: 87

'05 salary: $1.9M Prediction/Comment

Prediction: Braves.

Comment: The best thing that ever happened to him was getting traded to Atlanta, where he had the benefit of working with Leo Mazzone for half the season. He has always had dominating stuff, and no plan. Mazzone gave him a plan.

 

12. Kevin Millwood

Age: 30

IP: 192.0

W-L: 9-11

ERA: 2.86

BB: 52

SO: 146

'05 salary: $7M Prediction: Indians.

Comment: He won the ERA title in the AL in 2005, but only finished with a 9-11 record. He had a bounce-back year after struggling in Philadelphia previously. Millwood is a battler, but his personality is better suited for a mid-market club.

 

13. Ramon Hernandez

Age: 29

HR: 12

RBI: 58

AVG: .290

OPS: .772

SB: 1

'05 salary: $4.3M Prediction: Mets.

Comment: He's handled some pretty successful pitchers in his career between Oakland and San Diego. He's also been credited for his game calling and receiving. He handles the bat well, which makes him the best catcher on the open market.

 

14. Bengie Molina

Age: 31

HR: 15

RBI: 69

AVG: .295

OPS: .782

SB: 0

'05 salary: $3M Prediction: Padres.

Comment: You know that any catcher that has met with the approval of Mike Scioscia and started for him for several years must be pretty special. Molina can shut down a running game and he handles the bat fairly well.

 

15. Matt Morris

Age: 31

IP: 192.2

W-L: 14-10

ERA: 4.11

BB: 37

SO: 117

'05 salary: $2.5M Prediction: Orioles.

Comment: He had a great first half even though he was still building arm strength after offseason surgery last year. He is a gamer, and his experience would be a real asset to a young developing staff. He can pitch in any market.

 

16. Jarrod Washburn

Age: 31

IP: 177.1

W-L: 8-8

ERA: 3.20

BB: 51

SO: 94

'05 salary: $6.5M Prediction: Rangers.

Comment: His elbow flared up at times, but he is a quality lefty with playoff experience. He would be a nice complement to most staffs in the No. 2 or 3 spot in the rotation. The elbow inflammation may cost him a year off of a multi-year deal.

 

17. Bob Wickman

Age: 36

IP: 62.0

SV: 45

ERA: 2.47

BB: 21

SO: 41

'05 salary: $2.75M Prediction: Indians.

Comment: He is a big guy, but maybe just because he has a belly full of guts. He is a leader and a warrior. If a team can pry him away from Cleveland on a short deal (one year and an option) they will be lucky. He doesn't have the best stuff, he just has the best heart.

 

18. Todd Jones

Age: 37

IP: 73.0

SV: 40

ERA: 2.10

BB: 14

SO: 62

'05 salary: $1.1M Prediction: Marlins.

Comment: Surprise, surprise. He proved why picking relievers can be so unpredictable. He has very good stuff, and always pitches with a plan. He will be one of the fallbacks after Wagner, Ryan and Farnsworth are off the board.

 

19. Tom Gordon

Age: 37

IP: 80.2

SV: 2

ERA: 2.57

BB: 29

SO: 69

'05 salary: $3.75M Prediction: Diamondbacks.

Comment: He wants to be a closer and the good news for him is that there are clubs desperate for one. He will need to be protected a bit because he has shown the propensity to get fatigued at times, but for the clubs who lose out on the proven closers he will be a pretty decent alternative.

 

20. Jeff Weaver

Age: 29

IP: 224.0

W-L: 14-11

ERA: 4.22

BB: 43

SO: 157

'05 salary: $9.35M Prediction: Angels.

Comment: He is a proven innings-eater, and keeps his club in games and gives them a chance to win. He is not a dominant pitcher, but is a reliable No. 3 starter. Look for him to avoid the larger East Coast markets since his time in New York was rather painful.

 

Player

 

21. Mark Grudzielanek

2005 stats

Age: 35

HR: 8

RBI: 59

AVG: .294

OPS: .741

SB: 8

'05 salary: $1M Prediction/Comment

Prediction: Cardinals.

Comment: He was always known as a hard-nosed offensive player -- a slasher. He also proved to be a top defensive second baseman in 2005. His arm strength is unequaled at the position. He can make plays to his right and left and he turns the double play well.

 

22. Alex Gonzalez

Age: 28

HR: 5

RBI: 45

AVG: .264

OPS: .687

SB: 5

'05 salary: $3.4M Prediction: Braves.

Comment: He made up one-half of the best DP combo in the NL over the past few years. A change of scenery should do him some good. His offensive struggles and elbow injury at the end of '05 could undervalue him. He is not a bad alternative for those who lose out in the Furcal Sweepstakes.

 

23. Nomar Garciaparra

Age: 32

HR: 9

RBI: 30

AVG: .283

OPS: .772

SB: 0

'05 salary: $8.25M Prediction: Dodgers.

Comment: Injuries have obviously hurt his value in the market. If a playoff-caliber club has interest, they better have a fallback plan in case he gets hurt. He has done the right thing in offering to play third base or even the outfield.

 

24. Preston Wilson

Age: 31

HR: 25

RBI: 90

AVG: .260

OPS: .813

SB: 3

'05 salary: $12.5M Prediction: Orioles.

Comment: He may be a great value this offseason. He plays with an edge, is tough and will play hurt. He is a true power threat and on the right club and in the right ballpark could be a great addition.

 

25. Mike Piazza

Age: 37

HR: 19

RBI: 62

AVG: .251

OPS: .778

SB: 0

'05 salary: $16M Prediction: Angels.

Comment: It is time for Piazza to make the move to the American League, where he can be used as a DH. He should be able to extend his career several more years because of it. A healthy Piazza can hit 30-plus homers still and be a real RBI threat.

 

26. Frank Thomas

Age: 37

HR: 12

RBI: 26

AVG: .219

OPS: .905

SB: 0

'05 salary: $8M Prediction: Indians.

Comment: His days in Chicago seem to be over, but his career is not. He could provide a young team leadership and thunder, if he gets healthy. There is some element of risk with him, but sometimes teams on the brink need to take chances to get over the hump.

 

27. Jacque Jones

Age: 30

HR: 23

RBI: 73

AVG: .249

OPS: .757

SB: 13

'05 salary: $5M Prediction: Tigers.

Comment: He can hit for a decent average and has some pop in his bat, as well. He is a versatile outfielder and therefore offers any number of clubs a good option in the corners.

 

28. Reggie Sanders

Age: 37

HR: 21

RBI: 54

AVG: .271

OPS: .886

SB: 14

'05 salary: $4M Prediction: Cardinals.

Comment: He has hit over 20 homers in a season for six different teams. The question is ... could he do it for a seventh team in 2006? He can still play, and is a great teammate and leader. If a team offers him a two-year deal, they will land him.

 

29. Kenny Rogers

Age: 41

IP: 195.1

W-L: 14-8

ERA: 3.46

BB: 53

SO: 87

'05 salary: $3.3M Prediction: Dodgers.

Comment: He was an All-Star and won a Gold Glove in '05. For what he brings, he is a good value in the market. His performance falls off in the second half, but for a team with aspirations for the postseason he may be just the answer to get you to the trade deadline.

 

30. Jeromy Burnitz

Age: 36

HR: 24

RBI: 87

AVG: .258

OPS: .757

SB: 5

'05 salary: $4.5M Prediction: Padres.

Comment: He offers power and aggressiveness, and gives 100 percent effort every day. He is a more than adequate defensive outfielder. He is a bit streaky at the plate and he tends to strikeout too much, but when he makes contact look out.

 

Player

 

31. Ricardo Rincon

2005 stats

Age: 35

IP: 37.1

W-L: 1-1

ERA: 4.34

BB: 20

SO: 27

'05 salary: $1.9M Prediction/Comment

Prediction: Yankees.

Comment: There are a lot of teams with a lot of money who will be looking to upgrade their bullpens. Rincon has long been a very serviceable lefty. He takes the ball and gets the job done more often than not.

 

32. Julian Tavarez

Age: 32

IP: 65.2

W-L: 2-3

ERA: 3.43

BB: 19

SO: 47

'05 salary: $2.6M Prediction: Mets.

Comment: He has been a solid seventh- or eighth-inning pitcher over the last few years. He is predictable in that he will be in the middle of some trouble at some point during the year. He's someone who you love when he's on your team, but you hate him when he's not.

 

33. Bobby Howry

Age: 32

IP: 73.0

W-L: 7-4

ERA: 2.47

BB: 16

SO: 48

'05 salary: $900,000 Prediction: Yankees.

Comment: He closed some games early in his career, but has been a set-up man for a while now. He should have clubs bidding hard for his services as an eighth-inning pitcher, but it will be interesting to see if anyone steps up and wants to sign him as an affordable closer.

 

34. Carl Everett

Age: 34

HR: 23

RBI: 87

AVG: .251

OPS: .746

SB: 4

'05 salary: $4M Prediction: Nationals.

Comment: He can swing the bat and is still a decent outfielder despite being a DH most of this past year. He is a tweener as he hits for a decent average and has some power, but he is not a home run hitter. Expect him to look for a multi-year deal.

 

35. Bill Mueller

Age: 34

HR: 10

RBI: 62

AVG: .295

OPS: .799

SB: 0

'05 salary: $2.5M Prediction: Dodgers.

Comment: He is a gamer, and has proven that he can be part of a winner. Durability has always been the question with him. He is not the prototypical power-hitting third baseman, but if a club has power elsewhere then he may be a great No. 2 hitter in a lineup.

 

36. Kenny Lofton

Age: 38

HR: 2

RBI: 36

AVG: .335

OPS: .812

SB: 22

'05 salary: $2.9M Prediction: Padres.

Comment: An interesting player in the market. He will play most of next season at 39 years of age, but he showed in '05 that he can still play. He got on base and scored runs. He will likely only command a one-year deal, but teams looking for a leadoff man can do much worse.

 

37. Brad Ausmus

Age: 36

HR: 3

RBI: 47

AVG: .258

OPS: .682

SB: 5

'05 salary: $3M Prediction: Astros.

Comment: He will be torn between his home in San Diego (the Padres need a catcher, too) and his second home in Houston. The Astros need offense, which Ausmus really doesn't give (despite having one of his better offensive seasons ever in '05). Clemens has said if Ausmus doesn't return he may retire.

 

38. John Olerud

Age: 37

HR: 7

RBI: 37

AVG: .289

OPS: .795

SB: 0 Prediction: Mets.

Comment: He isn't the same hitter he used to be, but he is still very smart and very capable. The question teams will have to answer is, can he play every day, semi-regularly or only on a part-time basis? If he wants to keep playing, there is a spot on most good teams for him.

 

39. Ray Durham

Age: 33

HR: 12

RBI: 62

AVG: .290

OPS: .785

SB: 6

'05 salary: $7.2M Prediction: Mariners.

Comment: He doesn't run like he used to, but he can still produce when on the field. He has been unpredictable physically, often being a late scratch from games with one nagging thing or another. He can be a potential top of the lineup solution, if he ever stays healthy.

 

40. Joe Randa

Age: 35

HR: 17

RBI: 68

AVG: .276

OPS: .698

SB: 0

'05 salary: $2.15M Prediction: Dodgers.

Comment: He is a solid professional ball player. He isn't flashy; he just makes the routine plays. Offensively he is a blender. He will get a one-year deal and be happy with it.

 

Player

 

41. Scott Elarton

2005 stats

Age: 29

IP: 181.2

W-L: 11-9

ERA: 4.61

BB: 48

SO: 103

'05 salary: $850,000 Prediction/Comment

Prediction: Nationals.

Comment: He has come all the way back from his arm problems as he was very consistent and productive for the Indians in '05. He will be looking for a multi-year commitment and may find it in this light pitching free-agent market.

 

42. Esteban Loaiza

Age: 33

IP: 217.0

W-L: 12-10

ERA: 3.77

BB: 55

SO: 173

'05 salary: $2.9M Prediction: Nationals.

Comment: He is unpredictable as he has shown flashes of brilliance in his career and has also struggled mightily at times. He pitched well in 2005, and should draw some interest from a number of clubs desperate for starting pitching.

 

43. Jamie Moyer

Age: 42

IP: 200.0

W-L: 13-7

ERA: 4.28

BB: 52

SO: 102

'05 salary: $8M Prediction: Mariners.

Comment: He just keeps on going and going, having completed his fifth consecutive season of 200 innings or more. If the Mariners don't want him back, he will find work if he wants it. He throws strikes and his changeup still gets a swing and a miss.

 

44. Octavio Dotel

Age: 31

IP: 15.1

SV: 7

ERA: 3.52

BB: 11

SO: 16

'05 salary: $4.75M Prediction: Mets.

Comment: There has been a trend over the past couple of years in which clubs have signed pitchers who were unable to perform due to injury, with the hope they would get a benefit on the back end of the deal. Dotel is that guy this year. He has a special arm.

 

45. Juan Encarnacion

Age: 29

HR: 16

RBI: 76

AVG: .287

OPS: .796

SB: 6

'05 salary: $4.4M Prediction: Nationals.

Comment: He does most things pretty well and nothing great. He makes a very good fourth outfielder for a large-market team and a decent starter for a small- or middle-market team. He is caught in the middle, but it does leave him many options this offseason.

 

46. Bernie Williams

Age: 37

HR: 12

RBI: 64

AVG: .249

OPS: .688

SB: 1

'05 salary: $12.35M Prediction: Orioles.

Comment: He has been a big part of the great Yankee run over the last decade or so. Moving on, he would be a good fit on a younger team that is learning how to win where he can serve as a mentor and semi-regular player.

 

47. Sammy Sosa

Age: 36

HR: 14

RBI: 45

AVG: .221

OPS: .671

SB: 1

'05 salary: $17.8M Prediction: Devil Rays.

Comment: Someone will take a shot on him, but it won't be a team he would prefer. His health is a question and his ability is deteriorating. A club that goes ahead and signs him will be looking to catch lightning in a bottle.

 

48. Kevin Millar

Age: 34

HR: 9

RBI: 50

AVG: .272

OPS: 754

SB: 0

'05 salary: $3.5M Prediction: Twins.

Comment: He lost his thump in '05 as he slugged just .399. He is a good guy on a club, though, because he keeps everyone loose and reminds you that the game is supposed to be fun. He will get a reduced deal for one year.

 

49. Paul Byrd

Age: 34

IP: 204.1

W-L: 12-11

ERA: 3.74

BB: 28

SO: 102

'05 salary: $5M Prediction: Reds.

Comment: He continues to get hitters out with guts and guile. He is a competitor, and would be valuable for a young rotation because he works hard and makes the most out of his ability.

 

50. Scott Eyre

Age: 33

IP: 68.1

W-L: 2-2

ERA: 2.63

BB: 26

SO: 65

'05 salary: $1.5M Prediction: Red Sox.

Comment: He has put himself in a position to cash in big for a lefty reliever as he has strung together three pretty good years. He can get lefties and righties out, which makes him more than just a situational lefty.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Is Ramon Hernandez rumored to re-sign? Didn't they say they were going to make Olivo their main C?

 

Also Nomar going to LAD, isn't Valentin coming back?

 

I bet the next thing he says if PK doesn't re-sign "Manny going to the Whte Sox." I can hear him now.

 

Edit: Nevermind about Hernandez, got confused somewhere...

Edited by Sox Hustler
Link to comment
Share on other sites

QUOTE(Sox Hustler @ Nov 11, 2005 -> 03:46 PM)
Is Ramon Hernandez rumored to re-sign? Didn't they say they were going to make Olivo their main C?

 

Also Nomar going to LAD, isn't Valentin coming back?

 

I bet the next thing he says if PK doesn't re-sign "Manny going to the Whte Sox." I can hear him now.

Ramon Hernandez will more than likely be leaving the Padres. The Mets appear to be the best fit. Olivo will be the Padres #1 Catcher next year.

 

Nomar going to LA is another great possibility. Valentine is almost exclusively a 3B now and the Dodgers have had a thing for Nomah for a while now. Those were probably two of his better predictions.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

QUOTE(fathom @ Nov 11, 2005 -> 03:36 PM)
Well, I guess since the expert has spoken, there's no reason to follow the hot stove this offseason.

 

 

lol. I don't think Paulie will sign with the Carmines anyways. Angels or Chi Sox in my opinion. But what do I know...I don't work in Bristol, Connecticut.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

What does Philips propose the Indians would do with Travis Hafner if they acquired Frank to be their DH? Why on earth would the Indians want to push Hafner's bat out of the line-up considering he is a thumper and younger than Big Frank? I didn't think playing Hafner in the field is much of an option.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

QUOTE(infohawk @ Nov 11, 2005 -> 07:48 PM)
What does Philips propose the Indians would do with Travis Hafner if they acquired Frank to be their DH?  Why on earth would the Indians want to push Hafner's bat out of the line-up considering he is a thumper and younger than Big Frank?  I didn't think playing Hafner in the field is much of an option.

 

Ya I thought about that too. He can't play 1B anymore, so signing him would be destructive to the Indians.

 

 

Anyways, I liked these predictions. They made me laugh.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

And why is ESPN all of the sudden pushing Steve Phillips as their main baseball insider? What happened to Peter Gammons, whose role this year with BBT and SC was muss less than in years past.

 

 

Sure Gammons was biased at times and had some stupid opinions of his own, but he's still one of the best writers in the bussiness.

 

Phillips is just horrible, all the way around.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

QUOTE(Buehrle>Wood @ Nov 11, 2005 -> 09:07 PM)
And why is ESPN all of the sudden pushing Steve Phillips as their main baseball insider? What happened to Peter Gammons, whose role this year with BBT and SC was muss less than in years past.

Sure Gammons was biased at times and had some stupid opinions of his own, but he's still one of the best writers in the bussiness.

 

Phillips is just horrible, all the way around.

 

 

'Cause Gammons will leave to finally fulfill his lifelong dream of becoming VP of Baseball Operations for the Yankees or Red Sox. :P

Link to comment
Share on other sites

QUOTE(Buehrle>Wood @ Nov 11, 2005 -> 09:07 PM)
And why is ESPN all of the sudden pushing Steve Phillips as their main baseball insider? What happened to Peter Gammons, whose role this year with BBT and SC was muss less than in years past.

Sure Gammons was biased at times and had some stupid opinions of his own, but he's still one of the best writers in the bussiness.

 

Phillips is just horrible, all the way around.

 

 

It's the facial hair.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If Frank doesn't resign with the World Champions he will sign with a team OUTSIDE of the ALC. This is a no-brainer. They have more money than the White Sox.

 

If Frank is healthy enough just about any contender with $ to spend will look at him: BAL, TOR, SEA, TEX, & OAK. Frank won't settle for a non-contender. My guess is that it will come down to BAL & CWS for Frank again & he will choose the CWS.

 

As for the rest I am wondering where he thinks BOS became the NYY's.

Signing both PK & Damon at inflated prices (BOS will have to pay above market prices) will cost BOS about $120M. For 2006 it will add probably $25M to their payroll & that will likely be the lowest cost for these two guys in that contract. Unless Manny is shopped there is no way this is happening.

 

In reference to the Cub, they are bidding against just about everyone for Giles. I don't see them as the victors in that. As for Furcal it's possible. I don't think the big spenders are interested in adding him at SS & I don't think he's willing to convert to CF just to play for the NYY. Then again I don't see too many teams willing to spend $50M on a mid 700 OPS player.

So if the NYY's are the only one he might make that switch.

 

Looking into my crystal ball I see Furcal signing with the A's. Once the reality of his value sets in with him & his agent I think the A's will look like a nice fit for him.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...