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Oakland Regional


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QUOTE(Rowand44 @ Mar 17, 2006 -> 01:42 AM)
Well Zoom, that game hurt to watch.

 

I was so mad watching the last 15 seconds. Even though they let Indiana back in it, they still would have put it away with even half-way decent execution.

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QUOTE(ZoomSlowik @ Mar 17, 2006 -> 06:31 AM)
The problem with that theory is that SDSU has some really good shooters, and they hit about 39% from downtown for the year. It's not like Alabama hitting all those shots when they shoot like 34% from there. Heath shoots a little over 41% and hits about 3 a game, Sharper shoots about the same percentage and hits more than 2 a game. Plus they have a good inside game to go with that, giving them a chance at some open shots. Heath actually didn't shoot that well, although Abukar and Williams each hitting 2 is a little weird. That's counteracted a bit by Vaden hitting more than he usually does. SDSU's outside shooting is one of the major reasons they were one of my big upset picks.

 

Your reasoning still makes no sense. They shot 39% from 3-pt range for the season. They shot 22.6% on those same 3's in their three most recent games. By that you tell me you expected them to hit 55% of their 3-pointers for the game?? And 65% on all FG's 35 minutes into the game?

 

Even if they shot better than normal, it could not be expected for them to shoot THAT well. And Vaden was 5-12, so there was no counteraction involving him.

 

I'll give you credit for recognizing they had talent. But under semi-normal circumstances, IU wins that game comfortably.

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QUOTE(Rex Hudler @ Mar 17, 2006 -> 01:49 AM)
Your reasoning still makes no sense.  They shot 39% from 3-pt range for the season.  They shot 22.6% on those same 3's in their three most recent games.  By that you tell me you expected them to hit 55% of their 3-pointers for the game??  And 65% on all FG's 35 minutes into the game? 

 

Even if they shot better than normal, it could not be expected for them to shoot THAT well.  And Vaden was 5-12, so there was no counteraction involving him.

 

I'll give you credit for recognizing they had talent.  But under semi-normal circumstances, IU wins that game comfortably.

 

I'm saying that they're a good shooting team so it's not out of the realm of possibility. A lot of the major upsets revolve around a team shooting well from the arc. When you have two guys that shoot as many 3's as Heath and Sharper at that high a percentage, it's a major factor. The last game has no impact on how they shot last night. If anything, it says that they should have shot well because of the law of averages, although saying either is true would be a statistical fallacy. It wasn't a certainty that they would shoot that well, but it gives them a better chance than someone that can't shoot.

 

Vaden shoots 40%, but he isn't exactly jacking up 11 a game that often. It's not that big a part of his game. He only averages 6 ATTEMPTS per game, so him hitting 5 3's is a bit unusual. I've got 5-11 from the arc anyways, which would be a little over his typical percentage.

 

I don't think that the 3 was really that big a deal in this game, because both teams were hitting them. Indiana still hit 8 3's, which is fairly good. It wasn't at as high a percentage, but Indiana's outside shooters have been streaky all year. On top of that, SDSU still shot at the same rate inside the arc, so Indiana wasn't exactly playing great D and SDSU got lucky. I think the bigger issue was that SDSU had 16 turnovers to Indiana's 9. That stopped SDSU from putting the game away because they gave Indiana some easy baskets late in the second half.

Edited by ZoomSlowik
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QUOTE(Felix @ Mar 17, 2006 -> 11:54 PM)
To those of you, can't remember who, that supported Bradley, good call :)

I didn't think they'd compete in this game.

 

It was Rowand. I didn't think Kansas was going to lay an egg, although I didn't think they were going to destroy Bradley either. Good outside shooting on one side and weak outside shooting on the other was a major factor. Probably turnovers too, although the numbers may or may not show it. They hurt Kansas early and cost them a couple of opportunities late.

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