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Soxtalk Community Prediction: Paul Konerko


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Anyone else think Konerko has a shot at the HOF he currently has 245HR at age 30, and to get to 500 he needs to average a lil over 25 for the next 10 years. I'd love to hear everyone's opinions on this.

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QUOTE(beautox @ Jan 6, 2007 -> 04:18 PM)
Anyone else think Konerko has a shot at the HOF he currently has 245HR at age 30, and to get to 500 he needs to average a lil over 25 for the next 10 years. I'd love to hear everyone's opinions on this.

 

No way.

 

Konerko's '07 numbers:

AVG: .283

HR: 33

RBI: 105

SB: 0

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No HOF for Paul, great major league player, but certainly has not done anything spectacular in his career. I hope he ends his career in a White Sox uni as a DH. As for '07:

 

.304/.397/.503

36 HRs

111 RBIs

1 SB

3 CS

lots of GDIPs

Edited by maggsmaggs
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QUOTE(mr_genius @ Jan 6, 2007 -> 05:19 PM)
.269/ 17/ 71

 

:crying

 

think Konerko will have a down year

I think the only way he produces that poorly of a season is via injury. My basis is that Paulie has been a great overall hitter for 80% of his career and I think a major regression like that could only be explained with an injury.

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I give Pauley the benefit of the doubt that this past season really stuck in his craw (whatever the hell that is). I look for him to come back very focused and very refreshed ready to lead this team.

 

.320

45 HR

115 RBI

2 SB :D

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QUOTE(BaseballNick @ Jan 6, 2007 -> 11:13 PM)
.282 AVG

36HR

118RBI

 

Zero chance of making the Hall, but he will challenge for the all-time GIDP crown.

Actually, this would be a pretty nice list to be on.

 

Player_________________ AB GIDP

Cal Ripken__________ 11,551 350

Hank Aaron__________ 12,364 328

Carl Yastrzemski____ 11,988 323

Dave Winfield_______ 11,003 319

Eddie Murray________ 11,336 316

Jim Rice_____________ 8,225 315

Julio Franco_________ 8,587 310

Harold Baines________ 9,908 298

Brooks Robinson_____ 10,654 297

Rusty Staub__________ 9,720 297

 

Kong is currently #151 on the list with 172 GIDP in 4,561 AB. He's always been at about 4% of his AB. To catch Ripken he would need to play about 8 more seasons at his current level. Should he also average 32 Dings a year during that span he will get to 500 at age 38. Not impossible (4 yrs @ 40 + 4 yrs @ 23) and coupled with his squeaky clean record, ALCS MVP and WS grand slam I think it could put him in the Hall.

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QUOTE(TLAK @ Jan 7, 2007 -> 08:47 AM)
Actually, this would be a pretty nice list to be on.

 

Player_________________ AB GIDP

Cal Ripken__________ 11,551 350

Hank Aaron__________ 12,364 328

Carl Yastrzemski____ 11,988 323

Dave Winfield_______ 11,003 319

Eddie Murray________ 11,336 316

Jim Rice_____________ 8,225 315

Julio Franco_________ 8,587 310

Harold Baines________ 9,908 298

Brooks Robinson_____ 10,654 297

Rusty Staub__________ 9,720 297

 

Kong is currently #151 on the list with 172 GIDP in 4,561 AB. He's always been at about 4% of his AB. To catch Ripken he would need to play about 8 more seasons at his current level. Should he also average 32 Dings a year during that span he will get to 500 at age 38. Not impossible (4 yrs @ 40 + 4 yrs @ 23) and coupled with his squeaky clean record, ALCS MVP and WS grand slam I think it could put him in the Hall.

 

He may hit 500 home runs, but now 500 homeruns is not an automatic Hall of Famer since so many people are reaching it. I agrtee that Paulie has a squeeky clean resume, but he would, IMO, have to win an couple of MVPs or at least one coupled with the 500 home runs to have a shot. Realistically, Paulie has never been a top 5 player at his position at any time, this fact will really hurt him since he has never been elite, just uber-solid.

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