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Are the Illini In or Out?


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QUOTE(Palehosefan @ Feb 27, 2007 -> 02:57 PM)
Not being sarcastic, but don't the Illini have 21 wins already? If so, has a BCS team with atleast 21 wins ever been left out of the tournament? I don't think you guys have anything to worry about tourney wise.

I'm too lazy to do the research, but I'm sure there have been a few.

 

Anyways, if Illinois wins @ Iowa, they're in imo.

Edited by Rowand44
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if the season ended today, they are in, imo. the sun-times called them a "lock" today.

 

but a loss at iowa puts it in question. however, if illinois loses to iowa they open big ten tournament play with northwestern, which puts them at 22 wins and gets them in, imo. then they'd likely play wisconsin and i think they'd have a chance in that game.

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QUOTE(thedoctor @ Feb 27, 2007 -> 03:05 PM)
if the season ended today, they are in, imo. the sun-times called them a "lock" today.

 

but a loss at iowa puts it in question. however, if illinois loses to iowa they open big ten tournament play with northwestern, which puts them at 22 wins and gets them in, imo. then they'd likely play wisconsin and i think they'd have a chance in that game.

 

 

dont show soxbadger that comment.

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QUOTE(Jimbo @ Feb 27, 2007 -> 09:06 PM)
dont show soxbadger that comment.

 

well, i think wisconsin obviously is better, but the loss of butch combined with a few other factors (playing their first game, the game at the uc) could give illinois more of a chance than you'd expect.

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Yeah Wisconsin without butch is going to go through atleast a few game transition so at this point just need to take 1 game at a time. I really dont know what to expect in the Big 10 tournament, I do not think the home court advantage will be as big for Illinois against Wisconsin as it may for another team (geographically madison is only a 2-2:30 drive from Chicago, which is actually closer than Champaign.)

 

Also badger fans travel well, see the NU game this year.

 

As for the illini, I think they are in regardless of whether or not they beat Wisconsin. I really dont think that they have that good of a chance at beating Wisconsin, especially since the loss of Butch may let them go with a smaller and more explosive line up. Butch's injury really hurts against teams with a dominant C like Oden because he has 3 point range and can force the other team to pull their C out of the middle.

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Illinois should be in, but I wouldn't be surprised to see the SC leave them out if they lose the next two.

 

 

 

If they lose vs. Iowa, their looking at a 6 or 7 seed anyway which would insure another win over Penn State or Northwestern. Then they possibly get Indiana and then a date with the Badgers in the semis. That may actually look better than beating Iowa, taking the 4/5 game, only to get killed by the Buckeyes the next day.

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Even if they lose against Iowa I think Illinois is in.

 

Compared to a team like Texas, what have they done besides for have a name recognizable player that Illinois hasnt?

 

Illinois RPI 31 SOS 25 Top 50 3-8

 

Texas RPI 37 SOS 88 Top 50 2-4

 

Most would say Texas is a lock. Its just unfortuante Illinois plays in a deeper stronger league.

 

Biggest difference is that Illinois has played 11 games against top 50 teams, where as Texas has played 6. Its hard to imagine in those 5 other games that Texas would not have suffered atleast 2 more losses.

 

Also OOC schedule:

 

Illinois 12-3, RPI 32 SOS 52

 

Texas 10-4, RPI 96 SOS 185

 

Compared to Illinois that resume is pretty horrific for a "lock".

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