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DEM Primaries/Candidates thread


NorthSideSox72

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Sorry but its

 

Clinton

Obama

McCain

Romney

 

McCain is and will be broke unless he opts out of public financing before he receives any actual money. If Clinton pulls ahead nicely and becomes the presumptive nominee before the convention, it'll be the polar opposite of four years ago.

 

Remember this time four years ago and everyone thought Kerry couldn't lose because Bush was so bad?

 

Well then came four months of non stop Bush advertising and Kerry going basically dark because he had no cash to spend til General season.

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QUOTE(Rex Kicka** @ Jan 30, 2008 -> 09:22 AM)
Sorry but its

 

Clinton

Obama

McCain

Romney

 

McCain is and will be broke unless he opts out of public financing before he receives any actual money. If Clinton pulls ahead nicely and becomes the presumptive nominee before the convention, it'll be the polar opposite of four years ago.

 

Remember this time four years ago and everyone thought Kerry couldn't lose because Bush was so bad?

 

Well then came four months of non stop Bush advertising and Kerry going basically dark because he had no cash to spend til General season.

 

There are boatloads of Republican money sitting on the sidelines, just waiting for a winner to be identified. If McCain emerges, money will come flying at him.

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QUOTE(NorthSideSox72 @ Jan 30, 2008 -> 09:13 AM)
Romney can't beat anyone in November, so I'd flip Romney and Obama there. I think the list would be...

 

My resoning was Romney has a much better chance of getting the GOP nomination than Obama getting the Dem. So if he isn'ty going to make step one, it was tough to place him ahead of Romney.

 

Looking at some match ups

 

Clinton - McCain is a race edge Clinton

Clinton - Romney is a Clinton winner

Obama - McCain is a McCain win

Obama - Romney is a race edge Obama

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QUOTE(Texsox @ Jan 30, 2008 -> 09:36 AM)
My resoning was Romney has a much better chance of getting the GOP nomination than Obama getting the Dem. So if he isn'ty going to make step one, it was tough to place him ahead of Romney.

 

Looking at some match ups

 

Clinton - McCain is a race edge Clinton

Clinton - Romney is a Clinton winner

Obama - McCain is a McCain win

Obama - Romney is a race edge Obama

Actually, according to the polls I've seen, Clinton and Obama both beat the pants off Romney in a general. McCain is the GOP candidate who has a shot.

 

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QUOTE(NorthSideSox72 @ Jan 30, 2008 -> 09:39 AM)
Actually, according to the polls I've seen, Clinton and Obama both beat the pants off Romney in a general. McCain is the GOP candidate who has a shot.

Agreed. HOWEVER, i think int he general McCain will get ripped apart. Especially his comment he doesnt understand the economy and that there will be "more wars". That wont sit well with a nation that is itching to get out of Iraq.

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QUOTE(kapkomet @ Jan 30, 2008 -> 09:48 AM)
He hasn't since Hillarity cried in New Hampshire.

 

What's it like to be bitter all the time?

 

I don't see anything from the past few days that indicates Obama's any less likely to win than the day he won South Carolina.

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QUOTE(NorthSideSox72 @ Jan 30, 2008 -> 09:39 AM)
Actually, according to the polls I've seen, Clinton and Obama both beat the pants off Romney in a general. McCain is the GOP candidate who has a shot.

 

I am projecting what a few months of campagning will do, and the images of the candidates side by side.

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Hillary's word: It's worth nothing

Union Leader in NH bashes Hillary for playing NH as fools.

COURTING VOTERS in Iowa and New Hampshire, last August Sen. Hillary Clinton signed a pledge not to "campaign or participate" in the Michigan or Florida Democratic primaries. She participated in both primaries and is campaigning in Florida. Which proves, again, that Hillary Clinton is a liar.

 

Clinton kept her name on the Michigan ballot when others removed theirs, she campaigned this past weekend in Florida, and she is pushing to seat Michigan and Florida delegates at the Democratic National Convention. The party stripped those states of delegates as punishment for moving up their primary dates.

 

"I will try to persuade my delegates to seat the delegates from Michigan and Florida," Clinton said last week, after the New Hampshire primaries and Iowa caucuses were safely over.

 

Clinton coldly and knowingly lied to New Hampshire and Iowa. Her promise was not a vague statement. It was a signed pledge with a clear and unequivocal meaning.

 

She signed it thinking that keeping the other candidates out of Michigan and Florida was to her advantage, but knowing she would break it if that proved beneficial later on. It did, and she did.

 

New Hampshire voters, you were played for suckers.

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Interesting quote from Joe Klein of Time Magazine...

 

"The cynics will say that with Edwards out of the race, a lot of the white working-class people who voted for him will now vote for Hillary Clinton; they'll see it in racial terms," said Time magazine journalist Joe Klein. "On the other hand, you could just as easily say that with Edwards out of the race, those people who are more interested in change who were part of his constituency, will go vote for Obama."

 

He added, "I don't think he endorses Hillary Clinton. The question is whether or not he endorses Barack Obama."

 

So, the voters could go either way, and probably will go both. But, if he endorses, it would be Obama.

 

I guess Obama hopes that Edwards endorses sooner rather than later.

 

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Someone tell me, how can they tell the candidates that FL/MI will not count and then consider having them count? That doesn't even sound plausible.

 

Someone needs to explain this to me right now. The thought of Hillary as Pres. makes me a tad queasy.

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QUOTE(KipWellsFan @ Jan 30, 2008 -> 09:51 AM)
What's it like to be bitter all the time?

 

I don't see anything from the past few days that indicates Obama's any less likely to win than the day he won South Carolina.

 

The racial breakdowns are the one big thing that has to worry Obama.

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QUOTE(Steve9347 @ Jan 30, 2008 -> 10:05 AM)
Someone tell me, how can they tell the candidates that FL/MI will not count and then consider having them count? That doesn't even sound plausible.

 

Someone needs to explain this to me right now. The thought of Hillary as Pres. makes me a tad queasy.

Well, Hillary doenst care about Michigan. She ignored it when it happened. But Florida is VERY important to not only Clinton, but the Democratic party. Remember 2000 and 2004? Florida was a KEY state. Ohio and Florida where decider states. So, the democratic party can not afford to disenfranchise democratic voters in FL by saying they dont count in the primaries. It might drive them away in a general election, and they need EVERY vote they can get.

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QUOTE(Athomeboy_2000 @ Jan 30, 2008 -> 10:08 AM)
Well, Hillary doenst care about Michigan. She ignored it when it happened. But Florida is VERY important to not only Clinton, but the Democratic party. Remember 2000 and 2004? Florida was a KEY state. Ohio and Florida where decider states. So, the democratic party can not afford to disenfranchise democratic voters in FL by saying they dont count in the primaries. It might drive them away in a general election, and they need EVERY vote they can get.

They should have thought about that before ruling that the votes wouldn't count and thus effecting the primaries.

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QUOTE(southsider2k5 @ Jan 30, 2008 -> 10:06 AM)
The racial breakdowns are the one big thing that has to worry Obama.

Its a worry, but, the racial divide wasn't an issue in Iowa or New Hampshire. I think the racial divide ends up helping Obama as much as it hurts him. It will get him votes in the south, but I think it will be less of an issue elsewhere.

 

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QUOTE(Steve9347 @ Jan 30, 2008 -> 10:05 AM)
Someone tell me, how can they tell the candidates that FL/MI will not count and then consider having them count? That doesn't even sound plausible.

 

Someone needs to explain this to me right now. The thought of Hillary as Pres. makes me a tad queasy.

 

Basically primaries are run by the parties to select who from their "club" will be the nominee. The laws are rather loose. Kind of like if the Steve9347 Party decided they wanted to field a candidate in the General, that party could choose how they selected their candidate. They could decide to hold primaries or they could decide to go on Springer for a winner take all confrontation and studio vote.

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