RME JICO Posted May 21, 2007 Share Posted May 21, 2007 (edited) The Sox are currently at 21-19 after Game 40, about the closest you can come to the first quarter of the season. At this point in the season, the Sox have played the 3rd (tied) toughest schedule in the MLB at .516. With the way the offense has played (last in almost every major statstical category) and bullpen (3rd worst in the AL), it is amazing the Sox are only 4.5 GB. Hopefully with the return of Thome and Hall off the DL, and the resurgence of some bats (Konerko, Dye, Iguchi, and Pierzynski) the Sox will pick up some steam. Looking ahead, the Sox are about to get one of the biggest breaks I have seen in a schedule in quite some time. After the Sox win last night, the Sox will play 50 consecutive games vs teams at or below .500. Now obviously this can change by the time the Sox play these teams, but right now that is the case. For the entire month of June, the Sox will not face one team above .500. This streak ends when the Sox play the Indians July 16th when the schedule gets tough again. However, if the team at least plays at its current rate or slightly better during this stretch, they should be very close to last year's pace at the 90 game mark (right around 57-33) and will probably be even with the Tigers and Indians. Surprisingly, if the Sox just play .500 ball for the remainder of the season after that point (72 games), they would end up at 93-69 and have a great shot at the postseason. May (.459 SOS) vs OAK (2) (22-22) vs TB (3) (18-25) at MIN (3) (20-24) at TOR (1) (19-24) June (.449 SOS) at TOR (3) (19-24) vs NYY (4) (20-23) vs HOU (3) (21-23) at PHI (3) (22-22) at PIT (3) (19-24) vs FLA (3) (21-23) vs CHC (3) (20-22) at TB (4) (18-25) at KC (2) (17-28) July (.533 SOS) at KC (1) (17-28) vs BAL (4) (20-24) vs MIN (4) (20-24) at BAL (4) (20-24) at CLE (3) (27-15) at BOS (4) (30-14) vs DET (5) (27-16) vs TOR (3) (19-24) at NYY (1) (20-23) Edited May 22, 2007 by RME JICO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YASNY Posted May 23, 2007 Share Posted May 23, 2007 To get to 24 games over by the 90 game mark, we'd have to go 36-14 from the time of your post. That's more than a .700 clip. Don't hold your breath. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BearSox Posted May 23, 2007 Share Posted May 23, 2007 If the pitching continues to deal, and if the offense is here to stay, the league better watch out. But lets hope the Bullpen breaks out of this funk. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnCangelosi Posted May 23, 2007 Share Posted May 23, 2007 QUOTE(BearSox @ May 23, 2007 -> 07:50 AM) If the pitching continues to deal, and if the offense is here to stay, the league better watch out. But lets hope the Bullpen breaks out of this funk. Agreed. I was looking at the June schedule, and if we can get our bullpen in order, we could really begin to turn on the heat. This club is good enough to do so, there is no doubt in my mind. Ozzie will have to make better decisions with who to bring in when and when to pull people from the pen, however. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted May 23, 2007 Share Posted May 23, 2007 I get the feeling the Sisco for Prinz swap will happen today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RME JICO Posted May 23, 2007 Author Share Posted May 23, 2007 QUOTE(YASNY @ May 23, 2007 -> 06:24 AM) To get to 24 games over by the 90 game mark, we'd have to go 36-14 from the time of your post. That's more than a .700 clip. Don't hold your breath. YASNY, I based that projection on our current record against teams at or below .500. I also had to consider the SOS for the next 50 games compared to what the Sox did over the first 40. It did come out a little on the high side, and something around 51-39 is probably more realistic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockRaines Posted May 23, 2007 Share Posted May 23, 2007 QUOTE(southsider2k5 @ May 23, 2007 -> 09:16 AM) I get the feeling the Sisco for Prinz swap will happen today. Maybe the Sisco for Matt Murton swap? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted May 23, 2007 Share Posted May 23, 2007 QUOTE(RockRaines @ May 23, 2007 -> 09:34 AM) Maybe the Sisco for Matt Murton swap? I would be shocked if the Cubs were willing to give up Murton for Sisco. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wedge Posted May 23, 2007 Share Posted May 23, 2007 QUOTE(JohnCangelosi @ May 23, 2007 -> 08:05 AM) Agreed. I was looking at the June schedule, and if we can get our bullpen in order, we could really begin to turn on the heat. This club is good enough to do so, there is no doubt in my mind. Ozzie will have to make better decisions with who to bring in when and when to pull people from the pen, however. It's hard to make good decisions when 1/3 of your bullpen is always the wrong answer. I mean, how rough is it that Ozzie can barely count on Sisco for mop-up duty? I swear I thought he was going to manage to give up the lead last night. Mac's really got to get his s*** together, too. Thorton's been solid lately -- hopefully Ozzie uses him in the set-up role rather than a lefty specialist. Logan seems to be effective enough to use as the lefty specialist. Really, only Thorton and Jenks have been pretty solid overall. Aardsma has been good overall, but had a pretty troubling stretch this weekend. Hopefully it was just the "old team" jitters. Despite his great start (and I think he'll be better off as a starter someday), Masset has been inconsistent out of the pen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted May 23, 2007 Share Posted May 23, 2007 QUOTE(RME JICO @ May 23, 2007 -> 09:25 AM) YASNY, I based that projection on our current record against teams at or below .500. I also had to consider the SOS for the next 50 games compared to what the Sox did over the first 40. It did come out a little on the high side, and something around 51-39 is probably more realistic. That would make it 74-58 with 30 games (one month left) to play. And 18-12 finish from that point gives you 92-70 and puts you right in the middle of everything, but it's going to be tight w/ the Yankees, Red Sox, Tigers and Indians...possibly the Twins. I think we're more likely at this point to lose to a fellow AL Central competitor, rather than the Yankees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted May 23, 2007 Share Posted May 23, 2007 QUOTE(caulfield12 @ May 23, 2007 -> 02:50 PM) I think we're more likely at this point to lose to a fellow AL Central competitor, rather than the Yankees. The Yankees are doing all they can to make sure you're correct. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted May 23, 2007 Share Posted May 23, 2007 QUOTE(Balta1701 @ May 23, 2007 -> 05:06 PM) The Yankees are doing all they can to make sure you're correct. I wonder if there would be any possible way to sneak in and steal Melky Cabrera from them? I just don't see how that's possible, though, without giving up major league pitching. He's really struggling, so it would be the equivalent of the White Sox trading Crede right now. I've been contemplating what we could actually get back for Garland from them...it probably wouldn't be worth it, unless we could fill 2 holes simultaneously. We'll undoubtedly end up with one of the Tier 2/Tier 3 players I listed in the outfield options thread. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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