Heads22 Posted January 8, 2008 Share Posted January 8, 2008 Your primary thread for primary discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 Predicition: Obama 44 Clinton 30 Edwards 17 Richardson 8 ____ McCain 32 Romney 30 Paul 12 Huckabee 12 Guiliani 9 Thompson 4 Hunter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthSideSox72 Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 Predictions are fun! I got the Dems pretty good last time, but was way off on the GOP. Here is my new shot... DEMOCRATS... Obama 40% Clinton 26% Edwards 20% Richardson 11% REPUBLICANS: McCain 33% Romney 25% Huckabee 17% Paul 10% Giuliani 10% Thompson 3% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 Early returns show 37 Clinton, 36 Obama. McCain winning by 10+ over Romney. Stick a fork in em and get out yr oven mitt. Romney's done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max power Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 Can someone tell me or give me a link that tells me quite simply how the primary system works? I realized I didn't know the other day and neither does the wemun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kapkomet Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 QUOTE(Rex Kicka** @ Jan 9, 2008 -> 12:54 AM) Early returns show 37 Clinton, 36 Obama. McCain winning by 10+ over Romney. Stick a fork in em and get out yr oven mitt. Romney's done. So Clinton kicked Obama's ass because she cried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 QUOTE(kapkomet @ Jan 8, 2008 -> 05:09 PM) So Clinton kicked Obama's ass because she cried. LOL, the more rural areas close an hour earlier than the more urban ones, so there's a guaranteed bias in reporting times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 Simple. 50 states have delegates towards nominating a party's candidate. Each state has different rules that allow members of the party, or in some states, non-affiliated voters to decide which candidates should their delegates align with. Primaries were developed so that the parties were no longer run by smoke filled back rooms, and give voters a chance to choose who should represent them. The rules, however, are different in every state. The candidate that has the number of pledged delegates that match up with the minimum number of delegates needed (50%+1) at the convention becomes the nomination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Jan 8, 2008 -> 08:11 PM) LOL, the more rural areas close an hour earlier than the more urban ones, so there's a guaranteed bias in reporting times. CNN Exit Polls show Clinton winning by 4 points in urban areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 CNN Calls it for McCain. Currently a 700 vote difference between Clinton and Obama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 Big fight is gonna be for third in the GOP race between Paul and Huckabee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gene Honda Civic Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Jan 8, 2008 -> 08:11 PM) LOL, the more rural areas close an hour earlier than the more urban ones, so there's a guaranteed bias in reporting times. Rex just addressed this, but Manchester as urban as NH gets (33% reporting) has Hill blowing the doors off Obama, by 15 points. The 1000 vote difference as of this second can be traced entirely to Manchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max power Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 QUOTE(Rex Kicka** @ Jan 8, 2008 -> 07:12 PM) Simple. 50 states have delegates towards nominating a party's candidate. Each state has different rules that allow members of the party, or in some states, non-affiliated voters to decide which candidates should their delegates align with. Primaries were developed so that the parties were no longer run by smoke filled back rooms, and give voters a chance to choose who should represent them. The rules, however, are different in every state. The candidate that has the number of pledged delegates that match up with the minimum number of delegates needed (50%+1) at the convention becomes the nomination. All 50 states vote? I thought only a handful did, is that because of the wide results of the past? When would illinois get to vote if so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 Fox News exit poll has Obama winning by 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthSideSox72 Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 Wow, currently, with 12% reporting... Clinton 38% Obama 36% Edwards 17% Richardson 5% And for he GOP... McCain 37% Romney 28% Huckabee 12% Giuliani 9% Paul 9% Thompson 1% So Clinton surprising so far, and the fight for 3rd in the GOP is interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 Half of Manchester reporting, Clinton up there by 1400 votes. Nice turnout organization on her part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 New prediction based on initial Manchester numbers. Clinton ekes out a one point victory in NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthSideSox72 Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 QUOTE(Gene Honda Civic @ Jan 8, 2008 -> 08:16 PM) Rex just addressed this, but Manchester as urban as NH gets (33% reporting) has Hill blowing the doors off Obama, by 15 points. The 1000 vote difference as of this second can be traced entirely to Manchester. Wait, Manchester is already reported? QUOTE(Rex Kicka** @ Jan 8, 2008 -> 08:18 PM) Fox News exit poll has Obama winning by 5. Faux News? And an exit poll? Hard to have that matter less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthSideSox72 Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 QUOTE(Rex Kicka** @ Jan 8, 2008 -> 08:19 PM) Half of Manchester reporting, Clinton up there by 1400 votes. Nice turnout organization on her part. Where are you getting the district-specific vote totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heads22 Posted January 9, 2008 Author Share Posted January 9, 2008 QUOTE(NorthSideSox72 @ Jan 8, 2008 -> 07:24 PM) Where are you getting the district-specific vote totals? CNN has county by county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthSideSox72 Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 Hm. Clinton had a 2100 vote margin... now down to about 1600. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthSideSox72 Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 QUOTE(NorthSideSox72 @ Jan 8, 2008 -> 08:31 PM) Hm. Clinton had a 2100 vote margin... now down to about 1600. And now back up to 2000. Looks like this will be really close. The areas they are saying Obama will do well in are reporting slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MurcieOne Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 I still think Hillary loses tonight, but if she keeps it close.... its a victory for her. McCain train looking good, took 36% of Reps and 36% of independents so far.... he struggled getting the conservative base in 2000, did alot better this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maggliopipe Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 Grafton County REPRESENT. This is probably the largest of the non-'urban' parts of the state. Very liberal with Dartmouth and being right on the Vermont border. Lots of Obama supporters, so hopefully it helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBAHO Posted January 9, 2008 Share Posted January 9, 2008 Wow on Clinton. I don't think many people saw it being THIS close. She's really fighting back here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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