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Nevada Caucus and SC GOP Primary discussion thread


NorthSideSox72

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QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Jan 19, 2008 -> 08:54 PM)
After today, John McCain has 32 delegates. Mitt Romney has 72 delegates. Romney's lead is actually going to grow today. Clearly, today is going to be interpreted as a huge win for McCain. Just watch.

 

It is a huge win for McCain.

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So this is interesting. 95% of the results are in for SC, here are the vote percentages...

 

McCain: 33%

Huckabee: 30%

Thompson: 16%

Romney: 15%

Paul: 4%

Giuliani: 2%

 

Which looks like a close race, right? Except, according to CNN, here are the delegates...

 

McCain: 19

Huckabee: 5

All others: 0

 

Someone explain THAT one.

 

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An MSNBC article has buried in it a major reason for Romney's huge NV showing - half his votes came from Mormons. I had forgotten, but Nevada has a large Mormon population. So I'm not sure that Nevada victory is all that indicative of his future national performances (same with Wyoming, Utah's neighbor as well).

 

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Clinton's NH operation had some of the best field ops in the country, and it was her firewall. I'm not surprised about what she managed to do in NH, actually. The NV showing was a bit surprising, and in this case, I'm willing to believe the ones crying foul about voter disenfranchisement were the ones more actively looking to disenfranchise voters.

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