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March 4th Primaries


NorthSideSox72

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QUOTE(Athomeboy_2000 @ Mar 4, 2008 -> 10:47 PM)
Interesting to note that Dallas County is 54% in with Obama 52,242. If that projects out... Obama COULD close that gap.

 

Houston's the big one, but Clinton also has Webb County and a bundle of other small ones where's she's got a huge lead.

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QUOTE(3E8 @ Mar 4, 2008 -> 10:52 PM)
Not so fast Dallas, Harris, and Travis are the biggest counties in Texas they are not even half reported combined and Obama will get 60+% there

Travis is nearly 80% in, so that ill be minor. But look at Travis...

 

 

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QUOTE(BigSqwert @ Mar 4, 2008 -> 05:38 PM)
First Exit Polls:

 

VT Obama - 67, Clinton - 33

OH Obama - 51, Clinton - 49

TX Obama - 50, Clinton - 49

RI Obama - 49, Clinton - 49

 

LINK

 

I guess thats what happens when you get information from the huffingtonpost

 

:lol:

Edited by mr_genius
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By the way, the way the delegate distribution will break out, Clinton nets a gain of 14 delegates at this point. Despite a 2 point lead in the TX vote count, Obama would receive 2 more delegates based on where the vote is coming from.

 

Clinton nets 15 delegates more than Obama in OH.

Clinton nets 4 delegates more than Obama in RI

Obama nets 3 delegates more than Clinton in VT

Obama nets 2 delegates more than Clinton in TX at this point.

TX Caucus results have yet to be announced.

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QUOTE(whitesoxfan101 @ Mar 4, 2008 -> 12:43 AM)
The Democratic Party better hope it learned from 2004. Just as the only way they could lose in 2004 was a ticket of Kerry/Edwards, the only way they can lose in 2008 is if they let the whiner back into the race tomorrow. I hope the history of democratic self-destruction continues tomorrow, but I don't see how it can.

 

Well, I'm very surprised, but it turns out they did let her back in the race tonight, especially if she stays even/slightly ahead on the Texas primary. What a mistake. Obama still has the lead after tonight (I think), but Clinton could have been buried tonight, and instead Obama's campaign has really pissed down it's own leg the last week.

Edited by whitesoxfan101
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The very brief part of Hillary's speech I heard she said something to the effect of "we're just getting started."

 

That's funny. I would have thought you would have wanted to "get started" before you got beat in about 26 contests already. She'll spin this into a win but in actuality she may gain a very small victory in delegates for the night and still need a near miracle to pass Obama in pledged delegates before the convention.

Edited by The Bones
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I'm not good enough at math to figure out numbers, but momentum has been so important on the DEM side, and Clinton cleary has it after tonight, which is why to me it feels like the race is a 2 candidate quagmire again. Plus, I saw 3/5 to 2/3 of voters who decided in the last 3 days that voted tonight overall voted for Hillary, that has to be a big concern for Obama.

Edited by whitesoxfan101
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QUOTE(whitesoxfan101 @ Mar 4, 2008 -> 11:34 PM)
I'm not good enough at math to figure out numbers, but momentum has been so important on the DEM side, and Clinton cleary has it after tonight, which is why to me it feels like the race is a 2 candidate quagmire again. Plus, I saw 3/5 to 2/3 of voters who decided in the last 3 days that voted tonight overall voted for Hillary, that has to be a big concern for Obama.

 

That may be true but let me point you to a site that BigSqwert posted in the DEM Primaries thread.

 

http://www.slate.com/features/delegatecounter/

 

Not many pledged delegates left after tonight. The two biggest states are North Carolina and Pennsylvania. I would imagine that NC is going to go Obama and Penn will not be a very wide margin of victory for either candidate. Unless the Democratic Party wants to piss off half of its prospective voters for November they will pick the leader in pledged delegates, which is very likely going to be Barack Obama, as their nominee.

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