Jump to content

Sox have best record in...........


joeynach

Recommended Posts

Expected Wins and Losses (X W-L). The mlb.com standings includes the X W-L, which is defined as "Expected won-loss record based on runs scored and runs allowed, using this formula: RS^1.82/((RS^1.82)+(RA^1.82))". We have scored 408 and given up 320. Our record is 48-35, our X W-L is 51-32, the best in baseball, and 1/2 game ahead of the cubs X W-L of 51-33. Just kind of a interesting stat. Some other notables, the Angels are 50-34 and have an X W-L of 43-41, the indians are 37-47 and have an X W-L of 43-41, and the A's are 45-38 and their X W-L is 48-35. I guess its a matter of luck so far, but the sox are facing two teams here before the break that should have more wins but have been slightly unlucky.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

QUOTE (joeynach @ Jul 2, 2008 -> 04:39 AM)
Expected Wins and Losses (X W-L). The mlb.com standings includes the X W-L, which is defined as "Expected won-loss record based on runs scored and runs allowed, using this formula: RS^1.82/((RS^1.82)+(RA^1.82))". We have scored 408 and given up 320. Our record is 48-35, our X W-L is 51-32, the best in baseball, and 1/2 game ahead of the cubs X W-L of 51-33. Just kind of a interesting stat. Some other notables, the Angels are 50-34 and have an X W-L of 43-41, the indians are 37-47 and have an X W-L of 43-41, and the A's are 45-38 and their X W-L is 48-35. I guess its a matter of luck so far, but the sox are facing two teams here before the break that should have more wins but have been slightly unlucky.

 

So that's how X-W-L is calculated?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

X W-L is cool cuz it basically shows whether you're over or underperforming. ours shows we're underperforming which is great - because it means we can only go up (theoretically). Whereas the twins are vastly overperforming so the law of averages says they'll taper off.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

QUOTE (joeynach @ Jul 2, 2008 -> 01:39 AM)
Expected Wins and Losses (X W-L). The mlb.com standings includes the X W-L, which is defined as "Expected won-loss record based on runs scored and runs allowed, using this formula: RS^1.82/((RS^1.82)+(RA^1.82))". We have scored 408 and given up 320. Our record is 48-35, our X W-L is 51-32, the best in baseball, and 1/2 game ahead of the cubs X W-L of 51-33. Just kind of a interesting stat. Some other notables, the Angels are 50-34 and have an X W-L of 43-41, the indians are 37-47 and have an X W-L of 43-41, and the A's are 45-38 and their X W-L is 48-35. I guess its a matter of luck so far, but the sox are facing two teams here before the break that should have more wins but have been slightly unlucky.

It makes sense to me. Heck, I remember at least 7 to 8 games where the only reason the club lost was because they absolutely failed to do some very easy fundemental things. Luckily this hasn't really occurred much the past month so I think they are getting that sort of stuff straightened out (with exception to the failure to get in the key run in game one of the Cubs series in Wrigley).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

QUOTE (Reddy @ Jul 2, 2008 -> 10:58 AM)
X W-L is cool cuz it basically shows whether you're over or underperforming. ours shows we're underperforming which is great - because it means we can only go up (theoretically). Whereas the twins are vastly overperforming so the law of averages says they'll taper off.

 

Yep

Link to comment
Share on other sites

QUOTE (WilliamTell @ Jul 2, 2008 -> 11:10 PM)
I'm guessing the Twins are almost always on the overperforming part, so it'd be nice if they tailed off but I'm not going to hold my breath for it.

 

I was just thinking this.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

QUOTE (Reddy @ Jul 2, 2008 -> 10:58 AM)
X W-L is cool cuz it basically shows whether you're over or underperforming. ours shows we're underperforming which is great - because it means we can only go up (theoretically). Whereas the twins are vastly overperforming so the law of averages says they'll taper off.

Yeah to a point that's true, but just like any other stat it doesn't tell the full story. Look at what Danks and Floyd have done so far. Can the young guns keep it up or have they overachieved?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...