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4 Teams in the Hunt for 2 Playoff Spots. (1 Central Division Winner and 1 Wild Card)

 

- Minnesota's remaining opponents have a weighted winning percentage of 49.49% per game

- Chicago's remaining opponents have a weighted winning percentage of 50.42% per game

- Boston's remaining opponents have a weighted winning percentage of 51.90% per game

- New York's remaining opponents have a weighted winning percentage of 52.79% per game

 

 

 

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QUOTE (jasonxctf @ Aug 11, 2008 -> 11:49 AM)
4 Teams in the Hunt for 2 Playoff Spots. (1 Central Division Winner and 1 Wild Card)

 

- Minnesota's remaining opponents have a weighted winning percentage of 49.49% per game

- Chicago's remaining opponents have a weighted winning percentage of 50.42% per game

- Boston's remaining opponents have a weighted winning percentage of 51.90% per game

- New York's remaining opponents have a weighted winning percentage of 52.79% per game

 

This is going to come right down to the wire. I still like the Sox chances of winning the division. The playoffs may be a bit of a different story, but let's just take one thing at a time.

Edited by hawksox13
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I think there is a high possibility that the wildcard will come from the central this year. Boston and the Yankees are have pitching problems of their own. While Tampa seems to be doing everything right and have the deepest pitching in the East. I think Boston will some how win the wildcard. But the White Sox OR Twins will make it very close. It will definitley be fun to see which 3 of the 5 make it.

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QUOTE (jasonxctf @ Aug 11, 2008 -> 12:58 PM)
has the 2nd biggest lead in all of baseball at 4 1/2 games.

 

and it could disappear in a matter of 10 days pretty easily

 

The Rays have 26 road games compared to 19 home games; it's not as drastic as the Twins schedule, but their lead is definitely not safe, though they are very likely to make the playoffs at this point in time considering they have a 6 game lead on a playoff spot at the current moment. It's still a young team though and seeing them fail wouldn't be surprising in the least (though it would be disappointing because the Sawks and Yanks are ghey).

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it's all about that 10 game road trip in late september

 

4 @ NY

3 @ KC

3 @ MIN

 

somehow, some way, the Sox have to have a lead over the twins going into that last 3 games of the trip. Behind looking to make up ground? Ugh. Tied still...big edge to minny. I just hope the Sox are still in it at that point.

 

edit: while the Sox are playing those 3 games at KC, twinkies will be playing 3 (of 4) at Tampa, so that could help the cause.

Edited by The Ginger Kid
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QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Aug 11, 2008 -> 12:58 PM)
The Twins are a game and a half behind the Red Sox in the Wild Card race, meaning the White Sox are 1 game back. It's completely relevant.

 

One team will win the East, and that has nothing to do with us.

 

Two teams are going after one Central spot, and three teams will be competing for one WC.

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QUOTE (Leonard Zelig @ Aug 11, 2008 -> 08:30 PM)
One team will win the East, and that has nothing to do with us.

 

Two teams are going after one Central spot, and three teams will be competing for one WC.

 

and your comment is exactly what makes Boston and New York schedules relevant.. correct?

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QUOTE (jasonxctf @ Aug 11, 2008 -> 01:38 PM)
and your comment is exactly what makes Boston and New York schedules relevant.. correct?

 

My original comment was in regards to the people saying that the AL East is not decided. My point was that who wins it does not really matter to us. What matters is who takes the Central or WC.

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QUOTE (Leonard Zelig @ Aug 11, 2008 -> 02:41 PM)
My original comment was in regards to the people saying that the AL East is not decided. My point was that who wins it does not really matter to us. What matters is who takes the Central or WC.

 

What matters is that the White Sox take care of business and don't let their second half woes continue cause otherwise the team will be sitting at home come October. IMHO, it's all about winning a division title when a team thinks about advancing.

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QUOTE (Buehrle>Wood @ Aug 11, 2008 -> 02:49 PM)
What this all means is that we better win the division so we get an automatic pass away from the Angels in the first round

The winner of the Central will likely play the winner of the East. If a team from the central makes it via wildcard they are going to face the Angels. The only thing set in stone is that the wild card is going to play the Angels. If the season ended today it would look like this:

 

Boston @ LA Angels

Chicago @ Tampa Bay

 

If the Twins and Sox both make it will look like this:

 

Twins/Sox @ LA Angels

Twins/Sox @ Tampa

 

A division title means we DONT have to play the Angels in the first round. If we make the playoffs we HAVE to win the division.

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QUOTE (GreatScott82 @ Aug 11, 2008 -> 03:58 PM)
Twins/Sox @ Tampa

 

A division title means we DONT have to play the Angels in the first round. If we make the playoffs we HAVE to win the division.

 

Definitely Agreed. Tampa has had a nice season and is tough at home, but I'll take my chances w/ them in Round 1 as opposed to playing

LA, who has just been murdering people as of late.

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QUOTE (GreatScott82 @ Aug 11, 2008 -> 09:58 PM)
The winner of the Central will likely play the winner of the East. If a team from the central makes it via wildcard they are going to face the Angels. The only thing set in stone is that the wild card is going to play the Angels. If the season ended today it would look like this:

 

Boston @ LA Angels

Chicago @ Tampa Bay

 

If the Twins and Sox both make it will look like this:

 

Twins/Sox @ LA Angels

Twins/Sox @ Tampa

 

A division title means we DONT have to play the Angels in the first round. If we make the playoffs we HAVE to win the division.

That's what I said, just in shorter words.

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4 @ NY

3 @ KC

3 @ MIN

 

somehow, some way, the Sox have to have a lead over the twins going into that last 3 games of the trip. Behind looking to make up ground? Ugh. Tied still...big edge to minny. I just hope the Sox are still in it at that point.

 

edit: while the Sox are playing those 3 games at KC, twinkies will be playing 3 (of 4) at Tampa, so that could help the cause.

 

Man, that is so wild. Four at NY that late in season?? Three at pesky KC and three at a place that is a house of horrors for us. All I can say is if we make the playoffs we sure deserve it. The bottom line is we can hope for no better than 2-2 in New York, a sweep of KC (if our team has any balls) and then one of 3 or 2 of 3 in Minn. Let's say 2 of 3 in Minn, that would be a trip of 7-3 at the very best. If we only win 2 of 3 in KC it'd be 6-4.

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QUOTE (greg775 @ Aug 11, 2008 -> 09:51 PM)
Man, that is so wild. Four at NY that late in season?? Three at pesky KC and three at a place that is a house of horrors for us. All I can say is if we make the playoffs we sure deserve it. The bottom line is we can hope for no better than 2-2 in New York, a sweep of KC (if our team has any balls) and then one of 3 or 2 of 3 in Minn. Let's say 2 of 3 in Minn, that would be a trip of 7-3 at the very best. If we only win 2 of 3 in KC it'd be 6-4.

 

Asking for a 7-3 roadtrip ever is pretty crazy. I'd ask for that to be 5-5 with 2 of them coming against Minnesota.

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And wouldn't you know it, these teams are 3-8 in terms of total ERA in the AL.

3-TB

4-Bos.

5-LAA

6-Sox

7-Minn

8-NYY

 

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/aggreg...ng&type=reg

 

the sox need a strong pitching staff from here on out. That's why I don't understand why the sox want to further weaken their bullpen by adding Carrasco to the rotation. He's one guy who's had success with Linebrink down I can see why Washburn wouldn't be a good fit. Yet there has to be a better option than DJ. He may do OK. Yet it hurts the bullpen.

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TB is going to be hurting with Crawford likely out for the season and Longoria down for at least a couple of weeks. That is two of their top 2 players out for an extended period during the pennant chase. They will more than likely fade over the next month. Those guys are hard to replace.

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