Rex Kickass Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 Tuesday is coming and its good fun and all to watch the results coming in, but with projections being what they are.... when will it become obvious who is going to win the Presidential election? Here's RexKickass's confusing prediction. The polls close in Virginia at 7p. If that state is called for Obama and PA and NH which close at 8 are called for Obama. We should know at that point. Obama seems to have a lock on Iowa. McCain really only has a shot at peeling PA and NH from the 252 electoral votes that Kerry got in 04. Once those three states are called, assuming everything else goes as it did in 2004, Obama will get a minimum of 272 electoral votes - and will be the next President. If McCain can pull a win out in PA, the picture will become much less clear. Obama would need to win in Ohio or Florida to recover solidly. Or could win by pulling ahead in New Mexico and Colorado (states he is expected to carry) plus any of the following states - Virginia, North Carolina, Indiana, Missouri, Nevada OR the combination of Montana and North Dakota. If McCain can pull a win out in PA or NH, the picture remains very similar to a victory in PA except Nevada or the combination of Montana and North Dakota would not give him the victory either. Here we would be looking at NM, CO + VA or NC or IN or MO or NV+MT+ND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyCaucasian Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 Side note: you are referencing eastern times. So, it'll be 6PM central when polls close in VA. I've said for a while that I think we'll know with pretty good certainty by 8PM central. Good indication at 6, but for sure at 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kapkomet Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 Hell, we know NOW, don't we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 QUOTE (kapkomet @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 01:37 PM) Hell, we know NOW, don't we? I never count my chickens before they hatch. Whenever I get too cocky, what I want to happen rarely does happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted October 29, 2008 Author Share Posted October 29, 2008 QUOTE (kapkomet @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 02:37 PM) Hell, we know NOW, don't we? We know not much now. We know where the race will probably turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Texsox Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 QUOTE (kapkomet @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 01:37 PM) Hell, we know NOW, don't we? Just look at the prediction thread, the polls have already announced the winner. We don't even need to go vote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DukeNukeEm Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 If Obama wins VA that's when I start partying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chet Lemon Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 If McCain loses PA, it is over. Obama will win IA, NM, and CO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted October 29, 2008 Author Share Posted October 29, 2008 QUOTE (Chet Lemon @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 03:46 PM) If McCain loses PA, it is over. Obama will win IA, NM, and CO. NM and CO are expected to fall for Obama, but I think that those states are by no means the lock that Iowa appears to be. If PA doesn't fall for McCain, there are literally about 10 different states that he needs to hang on for dear life at to have a shot at winning the Presidency, including AZ. Virginia would be the first of those states to start turning results in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 Math is hard, let's go shopping! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 01:21 PM) Math is hard, let's go shopping! I always knew you were President Bush in hiding! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyCaucasian Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 03:21 PM) Math is hard, let's go shopping! do I get a $150,000 clothing allowance from the RNC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Critic Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 We'll know as soon as all the chads are no longer hanging, all the broken voting machines are fixed, and all the claims of illegal activity on both sides are sorted out. Maybe 2010.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Critic Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 QUOTE (Tony82087 @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 03:37 PM) Semi related, but is anyone going to the Obama rally in the Grant Park Tuesday. I have a Tuesday class from 3:30-6:20, so I'm going to be less than 6 blocks away, so I figure I probably should go. Whats the expected turn out/set up? It's invitation only, all the passes have been distributed, everyone will need their printed ticket and photo ID. They're expecting a s***load of people, estimates run from 750K to 1 million. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyCaucasian Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 QUOTE (Tony82087 @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 03:37 PM) Whats the expected turn out/set up? unknown. They havent disclosed the amount of tickets they gave out. I have a hard time believing it'll be less than 500,000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Critic Posted October 29, 2008 Share Posted October 29, 2008 QUOTE (Tony82087 @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 03:42 PM) Ugh, now my problem is just finding a way to get home. The Loop is going to be a joke on Tuesday. Yep. I wish you luck. I'm very glad I get off work at 1 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted October 30, 2008 Share Posted October 30, 2008 QUOTE (Athomeboy_2000 @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 03:23 PM) do I get a $150,000 clothing allowance from the RNC? Nah, you get millions on untracable prepaid credit cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted October 30, 2008 Share Posted October 30, 2008 QUOTE (Athomeboy_2000 @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 03:39 PM) unknown. They havent disclosed the amount of tickets they gave out. I have a hard time believing it'll be less than 500,000 They said in the Trib today Grant Park will hold about 70k for the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted October 30, 2008 Share Posted October 30, 2008 QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 06:32 PM) They said in the Trib today Grant Park will hold about 70k for the event. Daley said in more detail that the 65k is just the ticketed section, and there will also be an unticketed, GA section. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyCaucasian Posted October 30, 2008 Share Posted October 30, 2008 How many were at the Bulls rallies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cknolls Posted October 30, 2008 Share Posted October 30, 2008 QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Oct 29, 2008 -> 08:37 PM) Daley said in more detail that the 65k is just the ticketed section, and there will also be an unticketed, GA section. Wow, how will they get all those people up here from there. Will each state have their own section? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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