NorthSideSox72 Posted November 3, 2008 Share Posted November 3, 2008 OK so, for those following closely enough... who will win each of the key states, and of course, the election? Feel free to add your individual predictions here as to what states each candidate will take. Here are mine, to get it started... OF THE CONTESTED STATES... McCain takes: MT, ND, MO, NC, FL, VA, IN Obama takes: OH, PA, IA, WI, MN, CO, NM, NH MT, MO and VA will be the closest races. This ends in a final result of: Obama 298, McCain 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DukeNukeEm Posted November 3, 2008 Share Posted November 3, 2008 Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota and New Mexico are not contested races. Colorado probably isn't either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigSqwert Posted November 3, 2008 Share Posted November 3, 2008 McCain: ND, MT, AZ and maybe IN Obama: The rest of the battleground states Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyCaucasian Posted November 3, 2008 Share Posted November 3, 2008 My Projection Obama: 338 McCain: 200 Other Possibility (Flip Florida and VA to McCain) Obama: 298 McCain: 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted November 3, 2008 Share Posted November 3, 2008 I think Obama maintains all Kerry states from 2004, and adds IA, NM, CO, NV, VA and OH. This gives Obama 291 Electoral Votes. I think that FL, MO, MT, IN will all come down to turnout at the polls and GOTV operations. I think that Obama will win at least two of these states, probably FL and MO. My prediction? Obama - 329, McCain - 209. A comfortable win, but no landslide for Obama. I think there is a slight possibility that we'll see IN, MT, ND and AZ as well, which would put Obama up over 350, but its not the most likely option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DukeNukeEm Posted November 3, 2008 Share Posted November 3, 2008 I think Obama takes GA in a bit of a shocker, Martin rides his coattails there too and the Democrats get really close to 60 seats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve9347 Posted November 3, 2008 Share Posted November 3, 2008 I'm going to go for it and say that Obama wins Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyCaucasian Posted November 3, 2008 Share Posted November 3, 2008 (edited) QUOTE (Rex Kicka** @ Nov 3, 2008 -> 10:14 AM) My prediction? Obama - 329, McCain - 209. A comfortable win, but no landslide for Obama. Technically, 329 is not a landslide by historical standards. Between 1944-1996, only Carter in '76, Nixon in '68, Kennedy in '60 and Truman in '48 have won the presidency with LESS than 329 electoral votes. And, only carter in '76 finished with less than 300. So, since 1944, most elections have been significant electoral college margins. 2000 and 2004 seem to be against the historical trend. But based on the last two elections and how the states break down, if Obama gets 329, it's a landslide. Edited November 3, 2008 by Athomeboy_2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soxy Posted November 3, 2008 Share Posted November 3, 2008 QUOTE (Athomeboy_2000 @ Nov 3, 2008 -> 12:04 PM) Technically, 329 is not a blowout by historical standards. Between 1944-1996, only Carter in '76, Nixon in '68, Kennedy in '60 and Truman in '48 have won the presidency with LESS than 329 electoral votes. And, only carter in '76 finished with less than 300. So, since 1944, most elections have been significant electoral college margins. 2000 and 2004 seem to be against the historical trend.If Obama gets 329, it's a blowout. That's what he said. He said that 329 isn't a landslide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KipWellsFan Posted November 3, 2008 Share Posted November 3, 2008 Obama will win Viriginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Kickass Posted November 3, 2008 Share Posted November 3, 2008 QUOTE (Athomeboy_2000 @ Nov 3, 2008 -> 12:04 PM) Technically, 329 is not a landslide by historical standards. Between 1944-1996, only Carter in '76, Nixon in '68, Kennedy in '60 and Truman in '48 have won the presidency with LESS than 329 electoral votes. And, only carter in '76 finished with less than 300. So, since 1944, most elections have been significant electoral college margins. 2000 and 2004 seem to be against the historical trend. But based on the last two elections and how the states break down, if Obama gets 329, it's a landslide. I define landslide as 375 electoral votes or 70% of the electoral college. The last landslide, IMHO was George Bush's 400+ EV in 1988. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DukeNukeEm Posted November 4, 2008 Share Posted November 4, 2008 (edited) Popular Vote: Barack Obama / Joe Biden - 51.2% John McCain / Sarah Palin - 45.6% Bob Barr / Wayne Root - 1.7% Ralph Nader / Matt Gonzalez - 1.2% Chuck Baldwin / Darrell Castle - .2% Cynthia McKinney / Rosa Clemente - <.1% Ron Paul / Michael Peroutka* - <.1% *Appears on Montana's ballot only Electoral College: Key: Dark Blue - Obama by >5% Light Blue - Obama by <5% Dark Red - McCain by >5% Light Red - McCain by <5% Barack Obama / Joe Biden - 378 John McCain / Sarah Palin - 160 Edited November 4, 2008 by DukeNukeEm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawkDJ Posted November 4, 2008 Share Posted November 4, 2008 I'm going to say that Obama will win North Carolina. Of course I live in an extremely liberal part of the state, but the enthusiasm here for Obama is unreal. The Obama office is always buzzing with an overwhelming amount of volunteers, especially tonight. Over 2.5 million NC voters have already cast their ballot (about 73% of the 2004 total vote), which I would imagine is a good sign for Obama. Black voters are voting above their share of the population. Blacks make up 21% of our population, but 26% of the votes so far have been from blacks. Don't count us out. My preidctions are... McCain: Missouri, Indiana, North Dakota, Montana, Florida Obama: Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrunkBomber Posted November 4, 2008 Share Posted November 4, 2008 Ill say McCain wins DuPage County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kev211 Posted November 4, 2008 Share Posted November 4, 2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted November 4, 2008 Share Posted November 4, 2008 I'll predict that I will take my first celebratory drink when VA is called. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigSqwert Posted November 4, 2008 Share Posted November 4, 2008 QUOTE (DrunkBomber @ Nov 3, 2008 -> 07:36 PM) Ill say McCain wins DuPage County Former U.S. Rep. Harris Fawell, a stalwart of DuPage County Republican politics, is endorsing Barack Obama for president. Fawell, whose support for Obama was first reported by Michael Sneed in the Sun-Times, praised Obama as "the best I've seen" in the Naperville Sun: Harris Fawell, former congressman for the 13th Congressional District, is backing a Democrat for president for the first time in his life. The 79-year-old Republican said there's a good chance that Obama will carry the county. "He's the best I have seen, the most qualified I've ever seen running for president," Fawell said. LINK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Bones Posted November 4, 2008 Share Posted November 4, 2008 Obama - 326 McCain - 212 Split the "battleground" states into 3 categories w/ my predictions... Toss Up Florida - McCain Missouri - McCain Montana - McCain North Carolina - Obama North Dakota - McCain Ohio - Obama Close Georgia - McCain Indiana - McCain Nevada - Obama Virginia - Obama Close...but not too close Arizona - McCain Colorado - Obama New Hampshire - Obama Pennsylvania - Obama I hoping I'm wrong and it's an Obama landslide but honestly I will take an Obama win even if its 270-268. I'm one of the few that still thinks McCain has a chance to win this thing. We did elect Bush twice after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve9347 Posted November 4, 2008 Share Posted November 4, 2008 QUOTE (DrunkBomber @ Nov 3, 2008 -> 07:36 PM) Ill say McCain wins DuPage County You're nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrunkBomber Posted November 4, 2008 Share Posted November 4, 2008 QUOTE (Steve9347 @ Nov 4, 2008 -> 11:23 AM) You're nuts. I dont know if youre being sarcastic but DuPage County is one of the highest concentration of republicans in the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrunkBomber Posted November 4, 2008 Share Posted November 4, 2008 QUOTE (BigSqwert @ Nov 4, 2008 -> 11:04 AM) LINK Thats one person, it doesnt make my statement wrong at all. Look at past elections in DuPage County. Republicans dominate the ticket and there are several republicans that run unopposed. I think Obama was actually the only democrat to win DuPage County for anything in 04 and that was because he was running against Keys, who I think I have a shot against. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigSqwert Posted November 4, 2008 Share Posted November 4, 2008 QUOTE (DrunkBomber @ Nov 4, 2008 -> 01:21 PM) ...he was running against Keys, who I think I have a shot against. This is true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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