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2009 Sox Predictions Merged Threads


knightni

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QUOTE (kyyle23 @ Mar 27, 2009 -> 07:48 AM)
Its easy to make your own predictions without ripping on anothers. If you dont think the Sox will do well, thats fine by me.

 

I didn't rip. I said "I can't understand." Honestly, I can't.

 

Ripping would be "you're f***ing crazy" or "you're an idiot"

 

I've been around the block long enough to know that I'm often wrong, this is just my take.

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QUOTE (Thunderbolt @ Mar 27, 2009 -> 08:12 AM)
You do realize that the Twins were incredibly lucky last year, the Indians have no 3, 4,5 starters, the Tigers have pitching question marks, and Brandon Inge playing third, and the Royals are well, the Royals, right?

I can see putting more faith in Liriano, Baker, Slowey, Blackburn, and Perkins, but Lee, Carmona, Pavano, Lewis, and Reyes? Or Verlander, Jackson, Bonderman, Robertson/Miner, Willis? Even Meche, Greinke, Hovecher, Davies, and Ponson are in no ways leaps and bounds over what the Sox have. We have legitimate change of winning this year with this roster. Even if we didn’t have Q, or Konerko, or Dye I’d still have hope. Why? Because we have Kenny Williams.

 

Our rotation has as many question marks as any other in the division.

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sox will be around 80 wins and finish third or fourth....

 

colon and contreas need be healthy whole year and that is asking for alot

 

Ozzie is still looking for lead off hitter and espeically someone in center

 

if richards and marquez start it will be like 2007 and they will learn from it like danks and floyd did

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AL Predictions:

SOX 88-74

Min 84-78

Cle 82-80

KC 78-84

Det 73-89

 

NY 96-66

Bos 93-69

TB 87-75

Bal 76-86

Tor 72-90

 

LAA 91-71

Oak 85-77

Tex 76-86

Sea 64-98

 

AL Playoffs:

SOX over NY

Bos over LAA

SOX over Bos

 

NL Playoffs:

Chi over Atl

LA over NY

LA over Chi

 

World Series:

50 years later...

WHITE SOX defeat the Dodgers in 6 games

 

 

 

 

 

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The division is up for grabs and will be decided by pitching and injuries.

 

Frankly, I think we start the year with the best rotation (and bullpen) in the division. If you don't think so, take a closer look at the others. Blackburn is struggling for Minnesota this spring (surgically repaired knee). There is talk Humber will replace him in the rotation. Glen Perkins jumped from 52 innings in 2007 to 184 in 2008? Verducci Effect this year, maybe? Carl Pavano as #3 for the Tribe? LOL. Horatio Ramirez starting for the Royals? Nate Robertson couldn't crack our top 6... and the Tigers are one pitching injury away from having Dontrelle back in their rotation. And people think we have problems?

 

If the Sox stay reasonably healthy, I think they'll win 86-87 games.

 

If the back end of the rotation holds up and we have no major injuries to the middle of our lineup we'll win 90.

Edited by scenario
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I'll go optimistic. I say the Sox win 88 games and win the division. I agree it will be a tight division all year. I think the top four (excluding the royals) will all be within eight games or so of the division in the end, and the royals could be better too.

 

Surprises: Konerko, Fields

Disappointments: CF, CQ (will still be good, might struggle to match his numbers from last year, hope im dead wrong here though!)

Edited by soxfan3530
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77 wins tops with BA, Wise and or Owens as the primary lead off guys. I still think KW is going to make a trade.

 

How lucky were the Sox that Owens got hurt last spring? If he didn't and played instead of Quentin, it probably would have cost them at least one win before they figured out Quentin was a far better player. That would have knocked them out of the playoffs and taken away 3 gates, and if you believe every dollar coming in goes out, probably cost them some payroll this year.

Edited by Dick Allen
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I did this a month or two ago in another thread, but have some new thoughts...

 

AL Central:

SOX 90-72

CLE 88-74

KAN 81-81

MIN 80-82

DET 76-86

 

Sox get solid starting pitching (though not spectacular), even if Colon or Contreras are replaced by Marquez/Richard/Egbert/Cassel. Bullpen is very strong, though Linebrink will fall out of 8th slot and Thornton/Dotel set up Jenks. Offense is very good - Getz takes over leadoff early on and makes a ROY run, Konerko, AJ and Fields have big years, TCQ and Dye regress a bit, Thome is Thome. Defense is pretty bad but gets a bit better as Fields and Getz improve, and Anderson plays more in CF as the season goes on. Its enough to sneak past CLE.

 

Cleveland gets very good starting pitching but has a crappy bullpen, good defense and surprising offense, but not enough to catch the Sox. Royals surprise with some of the young talent, and make noise early, before fading but still getting out of the basement. Minny is bitten by the injury bug and has nearly no offense, especially with Mauer hurting, their pitching is OK but not their usual standard, so they falter. Detroit continues to be the king of overpaid for results.

 

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Twins 91-71

Tigers 89-73

White Sox 83-79

Royals 76-86

Indians 73-89

 

This division is hard to predict. I can see any team winning the division. The Royals are the lest likely to win it but if they start off the year and fire, that young team might start believing they have a shot. I can also see any team except the Twins finishing last. I think the Tigers are going to rebound after their horrendous year, but it won't be enough to pass the Twins. The Twins somehow find a way to win. (Next year there might be a serious reality check once they leave the Metrodome and don't have the turf, as much crowd noise, etc.) I have no basis for putting the Indians in last place. I just don't think the Royals will finish last, I'm positive the Twins won't. I think the Tigers are going to be better this year, and I would hate to think the White Sox finishing last, so I'm picking the Indians.

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QUOTE (watchtower41 @ Mar 27, 2009 -> 12:24 PM)
Anybody know what our over/under number is in Vegas?

 

 

Edit: Here is what AL Central O/U odds look like on sportsbook

 

Sox 78

 

 

 

Indians 85.5

Twins 83.5

Tigers 81.5

Royals 76.5

I was there last week and saw it at 79.

The future bets made no sense to me. They have us at 79, but then we were the favorites (along with the Twins) to win the division at 4/1 and only 10/1 to win the World Series... huh????

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AL Central

Minnesota Twins

Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Indians

Kansas City Royals

Detroit Tigers

 

AL East

Boston Red Sox

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays

Baltimore Orioles

 

AL West

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Oakland Athletics

Texas Rangers

Seattle Mariners

 

NL Central

Chicago Cubs

St Louis Cardinals

Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee Brewers

Houston Astros

Pittsburgh Pirates

 

NL East

New York Mets

Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia Phillies

Florida Marlins

Washington Nationals

 

NL West

Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants

Arizona Diamondbacks

Colorado Rockies

San Diego Padres

 

AL Champ: Boston Red Sox

NL Champ: New York Mets

WS Champ: Boston Red Sox

Edited by ChWRoCk2
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