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Iowa SC legalizes Same Sex Marriage in Unanimous Decision


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QUOTE (lostfan @ Apr 7, 2009 -> 12:24 PM)
Holy s*** this is like a stack of dominoes. Who's next?
To answer your question...Silver does some simple numbers with the declining %ages of evangelical whites in each state and comes up with a list of when each state will be unable to get 50%+ votes for a gay marriage ban.

Below are the dates when the model predicts that each of the 50 states would vote against a marriage ban. Asterisks indicate states which had previously passed amendments to ban gay marriage.

 

2009 (now)

Vermont

New Hampshire

Massachusetts

Maine

Rhode Island

Connecticut

Nevada*

Washington

Alaska*

New York

Oregon*

 

2010

California*

Hawaii

Montana*

New Jersey

Colorado*

 

2011

Wyoming

Delaware

Idaho*

Arizona*

 

2012

Wisconsin*

Pennsylvania

Maryland

Illinois

 

2013

Michigan*

Minnesota

Iowa

Ohio*

Utah*

Florida*

 

2014

New Mexico

North Dakota*

Nebraska*

South Dakota*

 

2015

Indiana

Virginia*

West Virginia

Kansas*

 

2016

Missouri*

 

2018

Texas*

 

2019

North Carolina

Louisiana*

Georgia*

 

2020

Kentucky*

 

2021

South Carolina*

Oklahoma*

 

2022

Tennessee*

Arkansas*

 

2023

Alabama*

 

2024

Mississippi*

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I think 2013 is a little soon for Utah, but I could see 2020. With continued immigration into that region, coupled with younger voters who overwhelmingly support same sex marriage rights becoming a greater portion of the electorate - I see it as totally possible.

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  • 4 weeks later...

Maine has made it official with a signature from the state's Governor. Interestingly, I believe ME is now the first state to legalize it without having any impetus to do so come from a court.

Governor John E. Baldacci today signed into law LD 1020, An Act to End Discrimination in Civil Marriage and Affirm Religious Freedom.

 

“I have followed closely the debate on this issue. I have listened to both sides, as they have presented their arguments during the public hearing and on the floor of the Maine Senate and the House of Representatives. I have read many of the notes and letters sent to my office, and I have weighed my decision carefully,” Governor Baldacci said. “I did not come to this decision lightly or in haste.”

 

“I appreciate the tone brought to this debate by both sides of the issue,” Governor Baldacci said. “This is an emotional issue that touches deeply many of our most important ideals and traditions. There are good, earnest and honest people on both sides of the question.”

 

“In the past, I opposed gay marriage while supporting the idea of civil unions,” Governor Baldacci said. “I have come to believe that this is a question of fairness and of equal protection under the law, and that a civil union is not equal to civil marriage.”

 

“Article I in the Maine Constitution states that ‘no person shall be deprived of life, liberty or property without due process of law, nor be denied the equal protection of the laws, nor be denied the enjoyment of that person’s civil rights or be discriminated against.’”

 

“This new law does not force any religion to recognize a marriage that falls outside of its beliefs. It does not require the church to perform any ceremony with which it disagrees. Instead, it reaffirms the separation of Church and State,” Governor Baldacci said.

 

“It guarantees that Maine citizens will be treated equally under Maine’s civil marriage laws, and that is the responsibility of government.”

 

“Even as I sign this important legislation into law, I recognize that this may not be the final word,” Governor Baldacci said. “Just as the Maine Constitution demands that all people are treated equally under the law, it also guarantees that the ultimate political power in the State belongs to the people.”

 

“While the good and just people of Maine may determine this issue, my responsibility is to uphold the Constitution and do, as best as possible, what is right. I believe that signing this legislation is the right thing to do,” Governor Baldacci said.

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jeeze can't believe this wasn't covered yet. It makes me especially happy when these measures are done through the legislature and not in the courts. Both are preferred to nothing, but it feels like the legislative route has more permanence and popularity.

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