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SOX @ Oakland, 3:05 PM...NO TV!


MHizzle85

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QUOTE (BigEdWalsh @ Aug 15, 2009 -> 02:47 PM)
For those of us that aren't hep to the jive, what's BABIP?

Batting average on balls in play. The basic idea is...if you hit the ball in the field of play, you should produce a roughly average number of hits. Thus, an average BABIP is about .300. If a player has a BABIP far below .300, that's often a statistical abberation, and they're due for a hot streak. If a hitter is well over .300, then they're due for a cold streak. There are, however, some players who are constantly well above .300, they typically are guys with excellent bat control who know how to deal with a pitcher. Think Derek Jeter, Rod Carew, etc.

 

An example from our org; Jordan Danks had a BABIP over .400 for the first 2 months of the season. He was striking out a ton, but he kept getting hits on balls he put in play. It was pretty obvious that he was eventually going to hit a slump though, because that BABIP is almost always unsustainable; eventually you start hitting the ball at people. Now, he's in a big slump. Alex Rios, for another, typically in his career has had a BABIP of just over .300. His BABIP this year is something like .270. This suggests that he's been particularly unlucky so far this year, and that has kept his numbers down from where they ought to be.

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