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Randy Wolf Signs with the Brew Crew


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QUOTE (DukeNukeEm @ Dec 9, 2009 -> 02:57 PM)
BABIP alone proves a little less than nothing.

 

For a veteran whose had a long history and a BABIP of around .300, a BABIP of .225 just doesn't fit. In this case, it alone can tell a lot. Of course, you can look at what trajectory the balls were, but in Wolf's case, I don't even think that's necessary. He also had the second lowest BAA in his career. These things correlate.

 

Large ballpark + low BABIP = success.

Edited by chw42
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QUOTE (chw42 @ Dec 9, 2009 -> 05:22 PM)
For a veteran whose had a long history and a BABIP of around .300, a BABIP of .225 just doesn't fit. In this case, it alone can tell a lot. Of course, you can look at what trajectory the balls were, but in Wolf's case, I don't even think that's necessary. He also had the second lowest BAA in his career. These things correlate.

 

Large ballpark + low BABIP = success.

 

Not to mention a pretty damn good defense behind him. I don't think Wolf has anywhere near the season in '10 that he had in '09.

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QUOTE (Jordan4life @ Dec 10, 2009 -> 10:47 AM)
Not to mention a pretty damn good defense behind him. I don't think Wolf has anywhere near the season in '10 that he had in '09.

This has Jeff Suppan written all over it again.

 

I see Wolf with an ERA around 4.50 next season.

 

But that's the price you've got to pay if you can't develop your own pitching.

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QUOTE (sircaffey @ Dec 10, 2009 -> 10:24 AM)
Wolf hasn't been fully healthy for a while. When he was, he was very good. And he was much better away from Dodger Stadium. I like Randy Wolf. He's not Jeff Suppan.

 

He actually got better away from Petco in 08. And its not like the Astros had a good infield defense, and Minute Maide is still a great hitters park.

 

I like it in the short term. Come year 2, the Brewers are going to regret it, even if Wolf remains effective, and come year 3, s*** will probably hit the fan.

Edited by witesoxfan
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QUOTE (SockMe @ Dec 12, 2009 -> 01:43 PM)
even when healthy is Wolf a $29,000,000 man?

 

He was pretty good last season and the Brewers need a dependable arm in their rotation because Manny Parra is not ready to step up. Wolf actually has a lot of value to them, and that's why they can justify the contract. He's a decent #2 starter in the NL, and that's where he'll be in Milwaukee (behind Gallardo). Fangraphs had him worth $13.6mil last season and projects his 2010 to be worth $13mil. Maybe the Brewers got a slight bargain? I doubt it, though. I think he'll hover around .500 with a 4.00 ERA just as he has his whole career.

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QUOTE (BaseballNick @ Dec 13, 2009 -> 06:04 PM)
He was pretty good last season and the Brewers need a dependable arm in their rotation because Manny Parra is not ready to step up. Wolf actually has a lot of value to them, and that's why they can justify the contract. He's a decent #2 starter in the NL, and that's where he'll be in Milwaukee (behind Gallardo). Fangraphs had him worth $13.6mil last season and projects his 2010 to be worth $13mil. Maybe the Brewers got a slight bargain? I doubt it, though. I think he'll hover around .500 with a 4.00 ERA just as he has his whole career.

If Wolf can do what he did last year for the next 3 then yeah that's a bargain...but the odds of it don't strike me as high.

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