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2012 Cubs thread


southsider2k5

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QUOTE (chw42 @ May 9, 2012 -> 08:33 PM)
Bryan LaHair has a .500 BABIP. Yes, 50% of the balls he hits in play go for hits. That's unsustainable and incredibly interesting.

 

Do any SABR heads know what the highest BABIP sustained over a full season is? Not sure if any historical SABR records like that are kept. (Obviously it won't go back that long in history)

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QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ May 10, 2012 -> 06:31 AM)
Do any SABR heads know what the highest BABIP sustained over a full season is? Not sure if any historical SABR records like that are kept. (Obviously it won't go back that long in history)

 

Oh man I'd love to know. .500 after this many balls hit in play? That seems insane to me. What about highest BABIP to start a season, first 50 game etc.

 

If Rizzo ends up being a monster and Lahair and Shark are the real deal (blah blah if Beckham and Morel hit and Rios and Dunn bounce back blah blah), then this might be a pretty quick rebuild for the cubs.

 

 

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QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ May 10, 2012 -> 06:31 AM)
Do any SABR heads know what the highest BABIP sustained over a full season is? Not sure if any historical SABR records like that are kept. (Obviously it won't go back that long in history)

All time in a season with 502+ PA (qualified for the batting title) the highest ever BABIP is .444 by Ty Cobb in 1911.

 

The top 10 are all Hall of Famers and 8 of those players had .400+ batting average that season

 

The top 13 (.409+) are all prior to 1925.

 

25 times has a player sustained a .400+ BABIP over a full season and only 4 of those players are not in the Hall of Fame or Manny Ramirez.

 

Highest post 1925 BABIP was the .408 Rod Carew managed in 1977.

 

Highest post 1925 that's not Rod Carew: 2002 Jose Hernandez had a .404 BABIP, 188 K's and 24 HR, he hit .288 that season. Crazy.

 

Only 50 times in the history of the game has a player sported a .350+ BABIP but a batting average under .300. The lowest AVG of the bunch was Jack Cust's .256 in 2007.

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QUOTE (Brian @ May 9, 2012 -> 08:16 PM)
Watch Theo and crew sell high on LaHair this offseason to bring up their boy, Rizzo. That'll appease Cub fans.

 

This isn't exactly Jose Bautista coming out of seemingly nowhere to put up monstrous but statistically sustainable seasons where the strikeouts and walks and HR/FB and BABIPs are all reasonable. This is more like Garrett Jones second half of 2009 where he got ridiculously hot and ridiculously lucky.

 

In fact, let's compare the two.

 

Garrett Jones - 2009 - 44 G, 190 PAs, 14 HR, .306/.368/.636/1.004, 20.5% K%, 9% BB%

Bryan LaHair - 2011-12 - 48 G, 172 PAs, 10 HR, .345/.436/.662/1.098, 27.9 K%, 14.5 BB%

 

(not going to cite much more, but in Jose Baustista's first 234 PAs in 2010, he walked 36 times and struck out 45, meaning in 60 fewer plate appearances, LaHair has struck out more and will probably not walk as much)

 

Bryan LaHair is going to hit a wall.

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Thanks for the analysis guys. Disregarding the Ty Cobb's & HOFs .400 seasons, that Jose Hernandez season is the most interesting & comparable. Comparable in that he's got a horseshoe up his ass and that average is about to drop. Although some of his power stroke appears to be legit.

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QUOTE (caulfield12 @ May 11, 2012 -> 03:24 PM)
http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseb...,5609262.column

 

On poor decision by Ricketts to force Wood back onto Cubs' roster one last time

 

At the Cubs convention, they had Pat Hughes announce a surprise signing, and the crowd just started chanting "Woody!". It must have taken everything Theo had to not erupt. The reason you hired him was to avoid all Cubbie situations like that.

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QUOTE (fathom @ May 16, 2012 -> 08:33 PM)
Top five in the Cubs offense is on fire heading into our weekend series.

 

Fire? They have actually gotten some hits but it is about where the White Sox top five is. LaHair being an outlyer but I can not see that keeping up. How they took Pena over him last year is really bad baseball sense.

 

That bullpen is a train wreck. I bet the cub bullpen throws six innings this weekend though and gives up nothing.

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QUOTE (Swingandalongonetoleft @ May 17, 2012 -> 01:11 PM)
Caught Halladay against the Cubs last year only to watch him get lit up and leave early because of heat exhaustion. Got tickets for Phillies at Wrigley again a while back and it's going to be Doc again. Bummed that Thome won't be participating.

 

Stats that make you go hmmmmmm: Roy Halladay - 1-5 in 6 career starts vs. the Cubs

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QUOTE (Jake @ May 17, 2012 -> 12:03 PM)
Alfonso Soriano = 33 UZR/150 so far this year. dafuk?

 

wait until the ball starts carrying and it warms up. Then the adventures begin

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