RockRaines Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 QUOTE (SOXOBAMA @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 11:28 AM) 49ers are fav to win the Super Bowl http://instagram.com/p/NGzIzTPFBb/ The Cubs were one of the favorites to win the WS this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoSox05 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Last time I checked the 49ers still have Alex Smith at QB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flippedoutpunk Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 QUOTE (SOXOBAMA @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 11:55 AM) My Super Bowl prediction 49ers over Houston Sounds good to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOXOBAMA Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Last time I checked the 49ers still have Alex Smith at QB. We should have won it last year, if it wasn't for Kyle Williams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoxFan1 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 QUOTE (SOXOBAMA @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 01:11 PM) We should have won it last year, if it wasn't for Kyle Williams. Not this s*** again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soxfan49 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 QUOTE (Jenksismyb**** @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 11:49 AM) 49ers - 4/1 Pats/Packers - 6/1 Broncos - 7/1 Bears - 8/1 Keep in mind of course that this means nothing. The Cowboys are 10/1 and I'd be shocked if they made the playoffs next year. The Bears are 22/1 at the Wynn. QUOTE (SOXOBAMA @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 01:11 PM) We should have won it last year, if it wasn't for Kyle Williams. If someone recovered the fumbles for the 49ers, nobody would care. If Alex Smith would've thrown for 1 more TD, nobody would care. You can't blame it on one guy if other players could've done more throughout the course of the game before the fumbles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cabiness42 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 If the Bears are 8/1 at one place and 22/1 at another, then bet $1955.55 against them at the first place and $100 on them at the second place and you're guaranteed a profit of $244.45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LittleHurt05 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 02:52 PM) If the Bears are 8/1 at one place and 22/1 at another, then bet $1955.55 against them at the first place and $100 on them at the second place and you're guaranteed a profit of $244.45 You can't bet AGAINST a team winning the Super Bowl? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cabiness42 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 You can't bet AGAINST a team winning the Super Bowl? Why not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted July 18, 2012 Author Share Posted July 18, 2012 QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 03:09 PM) Why not? No one offers those bets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LittleHurt05 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 03:09 PM) Why not? Ask the bookies who offer the bets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 It'd be worthless. You've got 31 out of 32 options to win the bet, so the payout would have to be incredibly low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyyle23 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 QUOTE (SOXOBAMA @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 01:11 PM) We should have won it last year, if it wasn't for Kyle Williams. Well if we can be revisionist, the Bears would have won it if Cutler didnt break his thumb. See how that works? It happened, Williams fumbled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cabiness42 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 It'd be worthless. You've got 31 out of 32 options to win the bet, so the payout would have to be incredibly low. I understand that. If the payout is 8/1 on the Bears winning the Super Bowl, then the payout should be 1/8 on them not winning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted July 18, 2012 Author Share Posted July 18, 2012 QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 03:50 PM) I understand that. If the payout is 8/1 on the Bears winning the Super Bowl, then the payout should be 1/8 on them not winning. In theory, sure. But this isn't a two sided proposition. You can either bet the Bears to win, or not bet at all. That's it. No one offers the opposite side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZoomSlowik Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 03:50 PM) I understand that. If the payout is 8/1 on the Bears winning the Super Bowl, then the payout should be 1/8 on them not winning. That's not remotely how it works. They only have to pay out one bet for the Super Bowl winners bet. If they provided bets on NOT winning the Super Bowl, they'd have to pay out 31 different bets every year. The odds would be drastically different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenryan Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 those are some horrible odds. 5dimes has the 49ers at 12-1 Bears are 24-1 Packers are 5-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soxbadger Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 QUOTE (ZoomSlowik @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 04:43 PM) That's not remotely how it works. They only have to pay out one bet for the Super Bowl winners bet. If they provided bets on NOT winning the Super Bowl, they'd have to pay out 31 different bets every year. The odds would be drastically different. You mean that when you bet the field, IE have 31 out of 32 chances of winning, the odds are better than when you pick the Bears, 1/32. Can I subscribe to your mathematical newsletter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted July 19, 2012 Author Share Posted July 19, 2012 QUOTE (zenryan @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 07:02 PM) those are some horrible odds. 5dimes has the 49ers at 12-1 Bears are 24-1 Packers are 5-1 That is all about how much cash people are putting on specific teams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LittleHurt05 Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jul 19, 2012 -> 08:56 AM) That is all about how much cash people are putting on specific teams. which is why the Cubs always have such low odds to win the WS, even with this year's roster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockRaines Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Jul 19, 2012 -> 09:06 AM) which is why the Cubs always have such low odds to win the WS, even with this year's roster Yup, when I was in Vegas they were the 3rd most likely to win the WS based on the odds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted July 19, 2012 Author Share Posted July 19, 2012 QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Jul 19, 2012 -> 09:06 AM) which is why the Cubs always have such low odds to win the WS, even with this year's roster Those are the days I wish I had a casino. I would love to be taking peoples money to bet on the Cubs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Chappas Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 03:12 PM) No one offers those bets. There are places that do that but the odds do not translate. The odds to be the Bears don't win the Superbowl are probably something like 4-5. Also Vegas is all money driven so the stupid set the line more than the book in things like cubs baseball and USC football. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Yeesh, I'd jump in on the Bears at 25-1 if I could. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cabiness42 Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 IndyStar reporting that Luck has signed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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