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Sportsbook sets Sox win total at 76.5


southsider2k5

Sox expected win total  

53 members have voted

  1. 1. Will the Sox be under or over 76.5 wins?

    • Over
      42
    • Under
      11


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That seems like very fair over/under....ill go over at 77 just cuz its the sox and ill always remain hopeful

 

we won 79 last year, and ill include my less than scientific opinion of how I see the changes affecting our win total

 

The bad....

Our bullpen is worse (no santos) (- 1.5 wins)

SP likely worse (without buerhle, but some of that countered by sale) (-2 wins)

Downgrade from quentin to viciedo (at least IMO - gonna be hard for tank to post OPS of .838) (-1.5 wins)

Can expect reasonable regressions from konerko, humber (-2 wins)

 

The good...

Can expect reasonable progressions from dunn, rios, beckham, and danks, peavy (+5 wins)

Hopefully de aza is an upgrade over pierre (+1 win)

 

 

The division was horrendous last year, but I expect the royals to continue to improve, tigers improve, twins HAVE to be better than last year, and indians probably a tick worse - IMO anincrease in teh competition level should account for about a game or two

 

Now these are pretty conservative changes, obviously if Dunn were to somehow go back to pre-2011 form, thats worth probably 4-5 wins alone, and if rios can replicate 2010, that would be worth another 2-3.

 

Unfortunately this team is extra-ordinarily ill-equipped to deal with injury, given the utter lack of depth in the organization. So knock on wood that we stay healthy.

Edited by daa84
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QUOTE (Greg Hibbard @ Feb 23, 2012 -> 10:51 AM)
The Sox will win exactly 76.5 games.

 

:lol:

 

QUOTE (flavum @ Feb 23, 2012 -> 11:25 AM)
I'm optimistically saying the Sox will win 86 games. They won't make the playoffs, but they'll be better than what people think right now and have a lot of positives to look forward to for 2013.

 

86 might be a reach, but I fully expect them to outdo their expectations and then disappoint in 2013.

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Greg, will you give ANY credit to either Ventura or Williams if the White Sox finish with over 85 wins this season?

 

Don't become so consumed trying to prove we suck and that Ozzie was a demigod that you're predetermined to only look for flaws and problems when there's some positives to look forward to with any new baseball season and spring training upon us.

 

Sure, this is probably more likely a 77-85 team than an 85-77 team at this point...but, as you're constantly reminding us, we might not be in the headlines as much? And how many of the Ozzie Guillen-related headlines from the last 3 years have generated any revenue for the White Sox or brought additional fans to the ballpark? If anything, his actions/behavior have turned off a lot of the fans who were willing to give him a ton of rope until last season, many simply due to 2005 and 2008 still.

 

I still argue getting rid of the dysfunctional environment and inhouse sniping is worth 2-3 wins alone in the first couple of months.

Edited by caulfield12
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Or if the hitters do well, is it because of Ventura's presence, getting rid of Walker or the more "stress-free" clubhouse/F.O. environment?

 

Because of the lack of expectations, guys like Beckham, Rios, Dunn and Peavy might shine again and we'll all be saying....yeah, but what about when they're expected to do well (like in 2011)? Can they perform when there's more pressure placed upon them, instead of putting up Albert Belle 2nd half "me-stats" when nobody's watching?

 

Guess any positives will be worth fighting over and PR-spinning compared to 2011's debacle.

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