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Kershaw Signs Record Contract


southsider2k5

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Wow, almost 31M per year and the deal comes with an opt-out clause after the 5th year. I hope for the Dodgers sake that Kershaw's shoulder and elbow hold up because he has racked up some innings for such a young pitcher. And people are scared about Tanaka.

 

Nevertheless Kershaw is a f***ing stud. Congrats to him on his deal.

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QUOTE (Capn12 @ Jan 15, 2014 -> 05:21 PM)
Makes Chris Sale look like he is making a few pennies a year. That's ok, I'll take that Chris Sale contract ANYDAY.

 

Sales entire 5 year guaranteed contract is what Clayton Kershaw will be making in one year. If you include the options years to extend it out to 7 years, it comes out to just under 2.

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Thanks to Kershaw, Sale and his contract are invaluable now.

 

Of course, the pitching bar has been raised so even mediocrity will be paid very well. Can't imagine what Sale could ask for had he waited another year, considerably more than his current contract.

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While it does seem crazy to give a pitcher $30+ million a year for multiple years, I guess this is the best situation to do it. Kershaw is not a 30-year old free agent, the Dodgers are paying him for his age 26-32 seasons, those are his prime years. Obviously injuries happen to pitchers all the time, but if he stays relatively healthy, it's possible you don't see much decline from the last 3 seasons. Plus, when you are now the richest team in baseball, you can't let the best pitcher in baseball walk away.

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So Kershaw will have to average a 5-6 WAR every year for the remainder of the contract to be worth it. He has averaged about 5.5 so far in his first 5 full seasons. So he will have to be the same pitcher for the next 7 years. It's possible, but it requires him to be healthy throughout. That will be the question mark.

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Kershaw's deal makes me realize more and more just what a steal we got with the Chris Sale extension. Assuming he stays healthy in 2014 and puts up a similar season as 2013, he will have put up a fWAR of 10.2 in the first two years of the contract. Assuming around $5 million in value per 1 WAR, he will have already provided the Sox with $51 million in value. His entire contract, even with the two option years will only pay him $57.5 million. It's not out of line at all to say that if he remains healthy for the duration of the contract, the Sox will have gotten him at about 1/3 cost to value. And that's without even factoring in inflation and rising salaries across the league.

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QUOTE (Chilihead90 @ Jan 16, 2014 -> 12:32 AM)
So Kershaw will have to average a 5-6 WAR every year for the remainder of the contract to be worth it. He has averaged about 5.5 so far in his first 5 full seasons. So he will have to be the same pitcher for the next 7 years. It's possible, but it requires him to be healthy throughout. That will be the question mark.

 

This is not quite true. Due to inflationary reasons, we can make a safe assumption that teams will pay more for WAR as the contract goes on. By the end, teams may be paying $6.5-7 mill for 1 WAR.

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QUOTE (pettie4sox @ Jan 16, 2014 -> 12:21 PM)
That's an insane amount of money for a guy who choked in the playoffs.

 

LOL. I think I trust 1100+ innings of work more than one 4 inning start where every ball seemed to find a hole. In his 3 other postseason starts in 2013, he went 19.0 IP, 8 H, 3 R, 1 ER, 5 BB, 23 K

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QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Jan 16, 2014 -> 12:32 PM)
LOL. I think I trust 1100+ innings of work more than one 4 inning start where every ball seemed to find a hole. In his 3 other postseason starts in 2013, he went 19.0 IP, 8 H, 3 R, 1 ER, 5 BB, 23 K

 

I was just trolling.

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