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Can You Win With This Core?


Marty34

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Abreu Age 27

Semien Age 24

Davidson Age 23

Viciedo Age 25

Eaton Age 25

Garcia Age 23

Sale Age 25

Quintana Age 24

Johnson Age 24

 

Add the #3 pick to it, but is this core good enough that they won't have to deal anyone from it to get better? The only reinforcements otherwise will have to come via free agency because there isn't much in the minors

 

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QUOTE (rowand's rowdies @ Feb 4, 2014 -> 10:03 AM)
Ceiling for that core IMO is the Oakland A's of the last 10-12 years. Might make some runs but no World Series. Lots needs to be done adding complementary pieces as well as a few stars and maybe another superstar to have a legitimate chance at greatness.

 

Oakland never had a pitcher of Sales' Caliber.

 

 

 

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QUOTE (rowand's rowdies @ Feb 4, 2014 -> 10:03 AM)
Ceiling for that core IMO is the Oakland A's of the last 10-12 years. Might make some runs but no World Series. Lots needs to be done adding complementary pieces as well as a few stars and maybe another superstar to have a legitimate chance at greatness.

 

The problem with the core is there is going to be a gap before they get any more help from the minors. Quintana is going to have to be sacrificed to supplement the holes.

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There is plenty of talent in that group. Of course, lots of questions too.

 

Is it talented enough? Yes.

 

Is it "good" enough? No way to know. Chances are you'll have to add to it, but we don't yet know which will need replaced or which peripheral positions will need supplementing. We also don't know what sorts of prospects will emerge and begin to look like part of that core.

 

It's nice to know that if we give every current player arbitration, pick up every current player's options, and trade nobody before next season, we've only committed $77M in payroll. With a year's worth of information about the guys on this team, we'll be able to figure out how we want to spend what could quite possibly be a whole lot of money. On the other hand, I don't want us to spend money just so we're spending as much as we can. Payroll flexibility is such a luxury and you don't want to lose it just because you feel uncomfortable having it.

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QUOTE (Quinarvy @ Feb 4, 2014 -> 10:17 AM)
Considering this core wasn't on the opening day roster last year aside from Sale, Quintana, and Viciedo, I'm not going to rule it out.

 

What if the #3 pick becomes a star? What if Danish becomes an ace out of nowhere?

 

I like Beck breaking out this year.

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QUOTE (Marty34 @ Feb 4, 2014 -> 09:59 AM)
Abreu Age 27

Semien Age 24

Davidson Age 23

Viciedo Age 25

Eaton Age 25

Garcia Age 23

Sale Age 25

Quintana Age 24

Johnson Age 24

 

Add the #3 pick to it, but is this core good enough that they won't have to deal anyone from it to get better? The only reinforcements otherwise will have to come via free agency because there isn't much in the minors

 

 

Thats pretty solid, it is really too early too tell how good that group can be because they are all relatively unknown with a lot of questions.

 

Abreu - Is he the hitter that most think or will he struggle to adapt to MLB?

Semien - Is he a utility player or a bona fide every day guy?

Davidson - Can he hit enough to make his power play?

Viciedo - Which guy are you getting? Two years ago his power was impressive, last season he struggled with power but hit righties better

Eaton - Have the injuries derailed him? Is he a LH Aaron Rowand?

Garcia - Can he develop his tools or will he be just a guy?

Sale - Can he stay healthy?

Quintana Can he remain consistent?

Johnson Will his stuff play in the majors?

 

Also

Danks (28) - Can he get back to form after surgery?

Sanchez - Can he rebound and put everything together?

 

Some of these will be positive answers, some negative, the good thing is there is more in the minors than there has been in the last decade, so when there are holes, Hahn will have the resources to go out and trade for guys to fill the gaps.

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QUOTE (Marty34 @ Feb 4, 2014 -> 10:13 AM)
The problem with the core is there is going to be a gap before they get any more help from the minors. Quintana is going to have to be sacrificed to supplement the holes.

 

No, it will be the opposite, the help from the minors will be traded to supplement the big league roster and allow the core to remain intact.

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I think that core along with cheaper veteran free agent complimentary players could be enough to win starting in 2015 or 2016. We still need to address the catching situation, which is where stop gap type FAs can come in, but overall I think the Sox have put themselves in a good position for the next few years. Of course, this is based on whether the young players develop into what we think they will. It is possible that Eaton, Davidson, Garcia, Semien and Johnson all flop and then we really aren't any better off than we were last year.

Edited by lasttriptotulsa
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I think the most important part of this is not the names but that they actually have pieces and maybe a bit of depth. This team lost 91 games. And then, with very much the same pieces, this team won the American League in 2006. It wasn't but a year later and the team looked drastically different. That is what can and does happen in baseball. It's important to keep everything in context. Frankly, the most important aspect in all of this is that they are bringing in a lot of talent. It's vital that they remain doing so.

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QUOTE (Marty34 @ Feb 4, 2014 -> 10:13 AM)
The problem with the core is there is going to be a gap before they get any more help from the minors. Quintana is going to have to be sacrificed to supplement the holes.

 

This sounds rather primitive and quite grotesque. Couldn't they just trade him?

 

All kidding aside, I think you have to let it play out before making assumptions like that.

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QUOTE (lasttriptotulsa @ Feb 4, 2014 -> 10:26 AM)
I think that core along with cheaper veteran free agent complimentary players could be enough to win starting in 2015 or 2016. We still need to address the catching situation, which is where stop gap type FAs can come in, but overall I think the Sox have put themselves in a good position for the next few years. Of course, this is based on whether the young players develop into what we think they will. It is possible that Eaton, Davidson, Garcia, Semien and Johnson all flop and then we really aren't any better off than we were last year.

 

I think it *could* too which is one reason they should sign a Santana or Jiminez this year.

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QUOTE (Quinarvy @ Feb 4, 2014 -> 10:17 AM)
What if the #3 pick becomes a star? What if Danish becomes an ace out of nowhere?

 

What if Laumann and the rest of the staff find a gem (or two) after the #3 pick in the '14 draft? What Q and myself are saying is, you just never know what will happen that can derail the FO's plans good (as in that, other or under the radar prospects shining, young players in the bigs living up to potential) or bad (serious injuries, prospects busting, young players taking years to develop, or struggle/never get it)

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QUOTE (SoxAce @ Feb 4, 2014 -> 10:50 AM)
What if Laumann and the rest of the staff find a gem (or two) after the #3 pick in the '14 draft? What Q and myself are saying is, you just never know what will happen that can derail the FO's plans good (as in that, other or under the radar prospects shining, young players in the bigs living up to potential) or bad (serious injuries, prospects busting, young players taking years to develop, or struggle/never get it)

 

Right. Just keep the talent flowing in. At this stage of the process, young talent is ideal.

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QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Feb 4, 2014 -> 10:53 AM)
Right. Just keep the talent flowing in. At this stage of the process, young talent is ideal.

 

 

The Mitchell ankle injury is a good example...we'll never know what he could have done had he not suffered such a big setback psychologically (responding to the idea of bad luck/injuries setting the franchise back).

 

Floyd and Crain being injured. Dunn cratering. The Danks injury.

 

Lots of things have gone terribly wrong and they kept the ship afloat until last year somehow.

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