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Sox @ Tigers, 4/23, Rienzo vs. Smyly, 6:08 on CSN+


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QUOTE (Chicago White Sox @ Apr 24, 2014 -> 12:01 AM)
Alright saber guys, please tell why Viciedo's performance is not sustainable. Obviously the BABIP will come down by about 100 points, but that still will leave him with sick ass numbers if everything else holds. Are there any other stats involving his plate discipline and/or power that look totally out of whack and will come back down to Earth?

The whole point is that if you knock 100 points off his BABIP then everything else (AVG/OBP/SLG) will not hold. Knock 100 points off each category and his line will look almost identical to his career line (.365/.414/.524 in '14 vs. .269/.312/.437 career). His K% has improved (15.7% in '14, 21.3% career), and typically K% will start to stabilize after around 60 PA's, which he has now reached, so this could be a good sign of increased contact ability from Viciedo. The BB% is also up to 8.6% vs. 5.3% career. This would be great if Viciedo can maintain it, as 5.3 BB% doesn't play well from a corner outfielder without great power. BB% typically won't stabilize until around 120+ PA's, so this may be just small sample size. Power is identical to career line (.164 ISO in '14, .168 ISO career). For his plate discipline, he's swinging at less pitches out of the zone (35.8% O-Zone in '14 vs. 40.3% career), and more pitches in the zone (76.9% Z-Swing in '14, 69.7% career). These could both indicate a better eye at the plate, which would support the improved BB% and K%.

 

Overall there may be some small improvements to Viciedo's game, but I think he's more or less the same hitter as always.

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