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8/5 Games


GGajewski18

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QUOTE (Jake @ Aug 5, 2014 -> 08:16 PM)
Interesting to me that Davidson has walked 7 times in the past 6 games. It's not like he's done anything else well, but it seems less than coincidental that he'd have a collection of walks like that. He'd only had 6 walks in his past 20 games before that. I'm just looking for signs that he's working on something up there.

Keep looking. His best year stat-wise was 2010 with South Bend in LowA where he hit .289/16/79/.371/.504.

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QUOTE (Jake @ Aug 6, 2014 -> 02:16 AM)
Interesting to me that Davidson has walked 7 times in the past 6 games. It's not like he's done anything else well, but it seems less than coincidental that he'd have a collection of walks like that. He'd only had 6 walks in his past 20 games before that. I'm just looking for signs that he's working on something up there.

 

He's 7 for 65 with 1 homer since the ASB (.108 average). The scary thing is how well the rest of the team has been hitting, so it's not like they've been facing Maddux/Smoltz/Glavine

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Alex Rios was a pretty bad MiLB player until the season before he got called up. Brian Dozier had a .620 OPS in AAA before coming to the big leagues. That's what I came up with via a few minutes of just looking at guys

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Adrian Gonzalez posted a .690 line across a couple of levels before getting things back together the next year. Brandon Phillips had a very bumpy ride over four seasons in AAA.

 

The things I see looking through guys on the BA 100 for Davidson comps:

-Not uncommon for guys to play really badly in the middle of their MiLB career

-It is uncommon for a guy to have a year like Davidson did last year (decent success in AAA, decent cup of coffee in MLB) and not spend some or all of his next season in MLB. A lot of guys who go to MLB, struggle badly, then go back down to AAA and struggle badly before going back to MLB and killing it in the future

-A lot of guys just flat out struggle badly in MLB for a few years.

 

So the question with Davidson is whether it's meaningful that AAA is the level he's struggled at and whether it's meaningful that he is struggling as he repeats AAA. There aren't a ton of comps for his situation because, like I said, not that many guys go back to AAA. While lots of guys struggle, it's not always in AAA and it's not always when repeating a level. And when I say guys, I'm saying "guys who I know to have had good MLB careers"

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I'm not ready to write off Davidson just yet, but I think the lesson here is to always be skeptical of PCL stats, especially if the guy plays in Reno.

 

Adam Eaton put up a .995 OPS when he was at Reno, while Davidson put up an .831. Yes, Eaton was a year older, but he's also not a power hitting prospect. That should show you exactly how inflated PCL/Reno stats are and why Davidson's first AAA season wasn't that good.

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QUOTE (Chisoxfn @ Aug 5, 2014 -> 07:11 PM)
To be frank, given where we are at in the season, if he's healthy and able to play at AAA, then once we think his timing is back and he's capable, its time for him to play with the big league club.

I'm really interested to hear if any of these hits he's getting are of the inside variety. I remember Ptatc saying that is gonna be the thing to watch as I'm sure pitchers are going to pitch inside to him.

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