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Sox Actively Shopping Viciedo


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QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 03:03 PM)
Beckham actually hit better on the road than at home during his career, and this board for the most part, pretty much wanted Beckham gone for the past 3 or 4 seasons.

"Not able to hit well in a hitters park" is a pretty darn bad thing.

 

Edit: now I actually just looked. You really thought I wouldn't look at the career number:

 

Career: home/road splits for Gordon beckham

Home: .681 OPS

Road: .682 OPS.

 

He was terrible at home in 2014, he was pretty much evenly weak in 2013, he was terrible on the road in 2012, he was equally rotten in both in 2011. Stronger at home again than on the road in 2010. Basically the only year your statement is accurate is 2014.

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QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 02:16 PM)
"Not able to hit well in a hitters park" is a pretty darn bad thing.

 

Edit: now I actually just looked. You really thought I wouldn't look at the career number:

 

Career: home/road splits for Gordon beckham

Home: .681 OPS

Road: .682 OPS.

 

He was terrible at home in 2014, he was pretty much evenly weak in 2013, he was terrible on the road in 2012, he was equally rotten in both in 2011. Stronger at home again than on the road in 2010. Basically the only year your statement is accurate is 2014.

I said he hit better on the road than at home for his career. My statement was accurate.

 

There have been a growing number of White Sox starting to have this problem. I know Ackley wouldn't have it. That's a given.

Edited by Dick Allen
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QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 03:20 PM)
I said he hit better on the road than at home for his career. My statement was accurate.

 

There have been a growing number of White Sox starting to have this problem. I know Ackley wouldn't have it. That's a given.

Your statement was accurate and completely meaningless, literally .001 points of OPS. It's the kind of statement no one wanting to have an honest discussion would ever make, because anyone who actually looked at the numbers would laugh at it.

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Your statement was accurate and completely meaningless, literally .001 points of OPS. It's the kind of statement no one wanting to have an honest discussion would ever make, because anyone who actually looked at the numbers would laugh at it.

 

Seems like Dick is a miserable guy who likes trying to spread his affliction. Appropriate username.

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QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 02:24 PM)
Your statement was accurate and completely meaningless, literally .001 points of OPS. It's the kind of statement no one wanting to have an honest discussion would ever make, because anyone who actually looked at the numbers would laugh at it.

Not really. I am stating when mentioning ballpark factors, it didn't matter in Beckham's case. You are just assuming players that hit .240 in Seattle hit .300 at USCF. It isn't necessarily accurate. .244/.326/.293 in a small sample size at USCF for Ackley.

 

If the Sox traded Viciedo for Ackley I wouldn't cancel the DirectTV, but if they said Ackley was going to be the regular LF or 2B, I would think this trying to win isn't really trying to win.

 

Ackley wasn't trending up when he was Viciedo's age. People here seem to take great interest in players who are very similar to players they hated when they played for the White Sox.l

Edited by Dick Allen
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QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 03:33 PM)
If the Sox traded Viciedo for Ackley I wouldn't cancel the DirectTV, but if they said Ackley was going to be the regular LF or 2B, I would think this trying to win isn't really trying to win.

Ackley would be a big upgrade over Viciedo based on what each of them did last year, that's enough for me. We'd go from having a vastly below average player at LF to a slightly below average or maybe even average player counting both offense and defense. I'd be totally ok with that.

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QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 03:33 PM)
Ackley wasn't trending up when he was Viciedo's age. People here seem to take great interest in players who are very similar to players they hated when they played for the White Sox.l

When he was age 25, he was putting up a .660 OPS in Safeco again during his 2nd big league season following a .622 OPS the previous year. By your standards, a .659 OPS in one year and a .660 OPS the next year is "trending up", so that change for Ackley at the age Viciedo currently is at is an ungodly unbelievably skyrocketing improvement.

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QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 02:41 PM)
When he was age 25, he was putting up a .660 OPS in Safeco again during his 2nd big league season following a .622 OPS the previous year. By your standards, a .659 OPS in one year and a .660 OPS the next year is "trending up", so that change for Ackley at the age Viciedo currently is at is an ungodly unbelievably skyrocketing improvement.

There is probably about a 90% chance Viciedo isn't the LF for the White Sox on opening day. Hahn mentioned a need to get more athletic, and never mentions him when they talk about the team. Never mentions John Danks either or Hector Noesi. So I don't think he will be counting on them.

 

I just think Viciedo's potential is a better bet than Ackley. Are there examples of guys who were bad for several years in Safeco (before they moved the fences in ) who went on to much better things elsewhere?

 

Keep in mind 2014 Viciedo had a .261 BABIP. That is 30 points below his career, and few more points under what his career BABIP was previously. So he did hit into some bad luck.

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QUOTE (Andy the Clown @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 03:46 PM)
I'd be disappointed with Ackley as our starting LFer, but happy if he was the 2B. Defensive position matters when evaluating the bat.

The average LF in MLB put up a .723 OPS last year, the average 2b put up a .683 OPS. He'd be slightly better at 2b given that but what really matters to my eyes is that Ackley hopefully is >>>>> Viciedo and Ackley maybe > or maybe = Sanchez/Johnson.

 

The upgrade from Viciedo to an average player is huge, the difference between missing the playoffs by a couple games and reaching the play in game. The upgrade from Sanchez/Johnson to an average player hopefully will be small or maybe even nonexistant.

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QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 03:49 PM)
I just think Viciedo's potential is a better bet than Ackley. Are there examples of guys who were bad for several years in Safeco (before they moved the fences in ) who went on to much better things elsewhere?

The greatest example of that I can possibly give is Adrian Beltre. Average OPS in Seattle during his 5 year contract was .759, in 2009 his OPS was .683. He went to Boston and Texas and immediately put up a .899 OPS over the next 5 years.

 

There's a good chance that Safeco is the reason why he's not looked at as a sure fire hall of famer right now.

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QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 02:53 PM)
The greatest example of that I can possibly give is Adrian Beltre. Average OPS in Seattle during his 5 year contract was .759, in 2009 his OPS was .683. He went to Boston and Texas and immediately put up a .899 OPS over the next 5 years.

 

There's a good chance that Safeco is the reason why he's not looked at as a sure fire hall of famer right now.

 

So one HOF-calibur player.

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It feels weird to think, but I'd want Ackley just to take Viciedo's place in LF. Neither of them are going to hit, but at least Ackley can catch.

 

I also don't see why dumping Viciedo for Ackley precludes us from acquiring a better solution inf LF. It's not like Viciedo is an asset we could put toward a different type of trade. If we swapped those two, we'd immediately improve our defense, and, at worst, find a pretty effective and versatile utility guy for the bench. It's a net gain across the board, if not substantially. You don't have to project improvement to gain in this case.

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QUOTE (TaylorStSox @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 04:48 PM)
Re: home/road splits

I'm not sure if the numbers would completely back this, but I think it's somewhat of a myth that the Cell is a hitter's park. It's a great park to hit home runs, but it's not a great Park for line drive hitters.

This is somewhat true except where you said it's a "myth" that the Cell is a hitters park. It's almost always an above average hitters park, but if the wind and weather are right during a season it can get down close to average. Its been as much as the 2nd best park for producing runs in baseball in recent seasons, and IIRC as low as 10th or 15th, can't remember the bottom. Most seasons it's top 8 for runs, so it's definitely a hitters park overall.

 

But you are completely correct in that the reason why it is a hitters park is that it favors home runs strongly. It's not a particularly strong park for doubles or triples or singles, but home runs have a big enough impact that the cell is a solid hitters park.

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QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 03:52 PM)
This is somewhat true except where you said it's a "myth" that the Cell is a hitters park. It's almost always an above average hitters park, but if the wind and weather are right during a season it can get down close to average. Its been as much as the 2nd best park for producing runs in baseball in recent seasons, and IIRC as low as 10th or 15th, can't remember the bottom. Most seasons it's top 8 for runs, so it's definitely a hitters park overall.

 

But you are completely correct in that the reason why it is a hitters park is that it favors home runs strongly. It's not a particularly strong park for doubles or triples or singles, but home runs have a big enough impact that the cell is a solid hitters park.

I'd be interested in seeing the numbers for road teams and how they hit there.

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