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A Race to the Middle?


Y2Jimmy0

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QUOTE (StRoostifer @ Dec 12, 2014 -> 11:14 AM)
No kidding! Robertson, Duke and LaRoche only amount to four wins? That's harsh.

 

Like others have said, take it with a grain of salt.

Shark alone should account for a 4 win improvement. I also think Sanchez is more than capable of putting up 2014 Omar Infante type numbers, which should make put the Sox at league average for the position. Also, IF Flowers is able to replicate his 2014 season, Sox are league average at catcher assuming Nieto shows some improvement. LF is the glaring "black hole" on the current roster but I think will be addressed before opening day.

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Until the roster is finalized, it's hard to give a final prediction but this has the looks of a 82-85 win team. I think KC and Detroit both take a small step back this year. If everything goes right, Sox may be competing for a playoff spot but they need health and career years from a handful of guys

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QUOTE (JUSTgottaBELIEVE @ Dec 12, 2014 -> 12:13 PM)
Until the roster is finalized, it's hard to give a final prediction but this has the looks of a 82-85 win team. I think KC and Detroit both take a small step back this year. If everything goes right, Sox may be competing for a playoff spot but they need health and career years from a handful of guys

This is exactly how I feel right now. To me the best hope seems to be Avisail making a leap but I don't know how likely that is.

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I appreciate the value of advanced metrics in evaluating individual players, but I really don't think it works well to just add every player's projected WAR together and think that's going to be a team's projected win total. The whole is often greater than (or less than) the sum of the parts.

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Here is another thing to think about that this projected war its now with current players. It's only Dec 12. Still a 115 days to opening day for the sox and every other team. Alot can change between now and then. No body knows who the opening day team is even going to look like.

Edited by WhiteSoxLifer
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