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Sox Avoid Arbitration with Javy Guerra


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QUOTE (elrockinMT @ Jan 15, 2015 -> 04:38 PM)
I wonder when the last time we actually went to arbitration? I think it's a good thing to settle amicably. But, what role will Guerrra hav with this team?

 

I like it, his arb was projected to be $1.3 mil. He didn't do bad last year, we could do worse with $900K.

 

Robertson, Petricka, Duke, Putnam, Webb, Guerra, Jennings/Garcia. Guerra bumps out Cleto.

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QUOTE (thxfrthmmrs @ Jan 15, 2015 -> 05:48 PM)
I like it, his arb was projected to be $1.3 mil. He didn't do bad last year, we could do worse with $900K.

 

Robertson, Petricka, Duke, Putnam, Webb, Guerra, Jennings/Garcia. Guerra bumps out Cleto.

 

I think I read somewhere he had the worst "inherited runners allowed" stat on the team with Zack Putnam having the best on the team, last season.

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QUOTE (Charlie Haeger's Knuckles @ Jan 15, 2015 -> 04:50 PM)
I think I read somewhere he had the worst "inherited runners allowed" stat on the team with Zack Putnam having the best on the team, last season.

 

He might have, but those things varies greatly from season to season. He's pitched respectably 3 of his 4 seasons in the majors, and does have a good fastball. So I wouldn't hold it against him yet.

 

QUOTE (Mike F. @ Jan 15, 2015 -> 04:50 PM)
What about Eric Surkamp? Does he not make the team?

 

The guys he's competing against clearly are better or have better track records. With his repertoire, he profiles better as a 6th starter anyways. If we need an emergency starter, he or Beck will get the call from Triple A.

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QUOTE (thxfrthmmrs @ Jan 15, 2015 -> 05:03 PM)
The guys he's competing against clearly are better or have better track records. With his repertoire, he profiles better as a 6th starter anyways. If we need an emergency starter, he or Beck will get the call from Triple A.

 

I actually really liked what I saw from Surkamp out of the pen.

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QUOTE (thxfrthmmrs @ Jan 15, 2015 -> 05:24 PM)
I know about his profile but admitted I only watched him pitch maybe twice last season and nothing stood out for me. What did you like about him?

 

A bland straight fastball but a good cutter and I think both would play up with full time relieving, nice curve that generated some swings and misses, solid command/control, fair changeup. As a starter, I don't think he has enough velocity to make the change in speeds of his stuff matter, but in the bullpen it plays up a bit.

 

It wouldn't be a big loss, as I don't think he's anything special, but guys who aren't anything special can have long careers. His average velocity last year was about 88-89...if he got that up to 90-91, I think he'd be perfectly fine and perhaps good as a 2nd lefty in the pen. The Sox already have a 2nd lefty in the pen, so he may be gone, but he's a good guy to have as a camp body.

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QUOTE (Mike F. @ Jan 15, 2015 -> 06:13 PM)
I would have given him less money than Guerra FWIW.

 

The market would not have. Starting pitchers are going to be inherently more valuable than relief pitchers.

 

Based on the 40/60/80 arbitration value scale, given these initial contracts, Guerra's open market value right now would be roughly $2.5 mill while Noesi's is $5 mill. Neither of those seem to be far off. Nate Jones is a little different given that he's coming off an injury and will be rehabbing quite a bit this year.

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