Whisox05 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 http://m.mlb.com/news/article/108138376/be...s?tcid=tw_share Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlSoxfan Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 (edited) I think Robertson's better than #7 but maybe I'm a bit biased. Edited February 3, 2015 by AlSoxfan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 This is step one of our bullpen being a helluva lot better than it was last year. Getting guys like Robertson and Duke for the later innings, and pushing everyone else back into the middle innings will be a huge pressure reliever for some of the younger guys. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thxfrthmmrs Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 (edited) I don't read anything from mlb.com not written by Jim Callis, and I was quickly reminded why. The writer seemed to favor closers to setup men in his rankings, which is probably why Wade Davis was 25th, but then Batences was a setup men last year and was ranked 5th on his list. Also, if Fernando Rodney is the 6th best reliever in MLB then I think we could audition random dudes off the street to pitch in the big leagues. Edited February 3, 2015 by thxfrthmmrs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LittleHurt05 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 QUOTE (thxfrthmmrs @ Feb 3, 2015 -> 10:18 AM) I don't read anything from mlb.com not written by Jim Callis, and I was quickly reminded why. The writer seemed to favor closers to setup men in his rankings, which is probably why Wade Davis was 25th, but then Batences was a setup men last year and was ranked 5th on his list. Also, if Fernando Rodney is the 6th best reliever in MLB then I think we could audition random dudes off the street to pitch in the big leagues. And he didn't even mention Kelvin Herrera Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rowand44 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 The Wade Davis low ranking stood right out to me but he's due to regress a bit so I don't think that's necessarily crazy. It's just the guys opinion on who he thinks the best relievers for 2015 will be. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thxfrthmmrs Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 QUOTE (Rowand44 @ Feb 3, 2015 -> 11:23 AM) The Wade Davis low ranking stood right out to me but he's due to regress a bit so I don't think that's necessarily crazy. It's just the guys opinion on who he thinks the best relievers for 2015 will be. I don't think he will regress much. He relieved as well in 2012 and was very good in that role. He became elite in 2014 after adding 2 MPH to his fastball, so last year wasn't just an aberration to his usual performance. If he thinks K-Rod and Soriano, both are currently free agents, and guys like Perkins and Cishek will be better than Davis in 2015, then I don't think his opinion should be published by MLB. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlSoxfan Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 QUOTE (thxfrthmmrs @ Feb 3, 2015 -> 11:18 AM) I don't read anything from mlb.com not written by Jim Callis, and I was quickly reminded why. The writer seemed to favor closers to setup men in his rankings, which is probably why Wade Davis was 25th, but then Batences was a setup men last year and was ranked 5th on his list. Also, if Fernando Rodney is the 6th best reliever in MLB then I think we could audition random dudes off the street to pitch in the big leagues. Saw and thought the same things Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiliIrishHammock24 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 40-year-old Joe Nathan who had an ERA of almost 5 last year is better than Zach Duke who had a 2.09 xFIP, 3 more K/9, and 2 less BB/9, while both pitching 58 innings. Yeah.....no. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
witesoxfan Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 QUOTE (Chilihead90 @ Feb 3, 2015 -> 12:53 PM) 40-year-old Joe Nathan who had an ERA of almost 5 last year is better than Zach Duke who had a 2.09 xFIP, 3 more K/9, and 2 less BB/9, while both pitching 58 innings. Yeah.....no. But Joe Nathan also had decent peripherals and has a much more heralded career. Prior to last year, Zach Duke was a journeyman swingman who was bordering on AAAA player. He had Brad Boxberger on his bubble and he was nothing short of filthy last year, with a K/9 of more than 14. Relievers are volatile, and going on guys who've proven it over the last 10-15 years means something, even if they are old and struggled last year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiliIrishHammock24 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Feb 3, 2015 -> 01:25 PM) But Joe Nathan also had decent peripherals and has a much more heralded career. Prior to last year, Zach Duke was a journeyman swingman who was bordering on AAAA player. He had Brad Boxberger on his bubble and he was nothing short of filthy last year, with a K/9 of more than 14. Relievers are volatile, and going on guys who've proven it over the last 10-15 years means something, even if they are old and struggled last year. He had decent peripherals? He had a 8.4 K/9 (worst of his career), a 4.5 BB/9 (worst of his career), a 9.3 H/9 (worst of his career), a 1.53 WHIP (worst of his career), and his only decent peripheral was his HR/9, which was 0.8 (career average). His peripherals were bad, like really bad. And yes, I get that Zach Duke has only done it for one year, but he also fundamentally changed his pitching mechanics and arm slot. It wasn't that he finally had a lucky season. Not saying Duke deserves to be treated as if 2014 is who he is now, but I can't see how you wouldn't pick him in 2015 over Joe Nathan in 2015 based on last year and their ages. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
witesoxfan Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 There's absolutely nothing wrong with a K rate in the 8's. It's perfectly decent. His walk rate was a little elevated, and it's a bit troublesome, but it's not "write him off, he's terrible" bad. The WHIP is partially a result of the relatively high walk rate and can also be affected by a poor defense. His groundball rate was perfectly acceptable at 41.6%. He had an abnormally high percentage of runners scoring (with a LOB% of 69.9%). He's 40 years old, and I don't expect him to stick around forever, but someone considering Joe Nathan to be a better reliever and better bet overall than Zach Duke isn't wrong, nor is it right. It's merely an opinion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiliIrishHammock24 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Feb 3, 2015 -> 05:58 PM) There's absolutely nothing wrong with a K rate in the 8's. It's perfectly decent. His walk rate was a little elevated, and it's a bit troublesome, but it's not "write him off, he's terrible" bad. The WHIP is partially a result of the relatively high walk rate and can also be affected by a poor defense. His groundball rate was perfectly acceptable at 41.6%. He had an abnormally high percentage of runners scoring (with a LOB% of 69.9%). He's 40 years old, and I don't expect him to stick around forever, but someone considering Joe Nathan to be a better reliever and better bet overall than Zach Duke isn't wrong, nor is it right. It's merely an opinion. Care to make a wager on who has the better 2015 campaign? Grandpa Joe or Duke of Hurl? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chitownsportsfan Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 nathan sucks jeez forget sabermetrics just watch him pitch 4 or 5 times in a row. Tigers fans hate him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
asindc Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 QUOTE (chitownsportsfan @ Feb 3, 2015 -> 09:53 PM) nathan sucks jeez forget sabermetrics just watch him pitch 4 or 5 times in a row. Tigers fans hate him. True that. If anyone's calculator tells them otherwise, they should get a new calculator, because the one they have is broken. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shysocks Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 142 qualified relievers last year. Nathan's ranks: GB% 96th, K% 82nd, BB% 128th, FIP 114th, SIERA 125th. Of guys who piled saves, his K-rate was one of the lowest; the guys who were lower were either Latroy Hawkins or were explicit groundballers (Zach Britton, Petricka). Plus he's 40. I'm sticking a fork in him. Any belief that he'll be better than Duke has to be based on the belief that Duke can't sustain his improvements. That's a thought I can understand but I don't share it. I know the article was just a "who's better" thing and didn't factor contracts, but I'd also easily take Duke for 3/$15 over Nathan for 1/$11. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
witesoxfan Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 QUOTE (Chilihead90 @ Feb 3, 2015 -> 06:21 PM) Care to make a wager on who has the better 2015 campaign? Grandpa Joe or Duke of Hurl? No, because I don't care and trying to predict who would have a better season between two relievers is like trying to predict heads or tails on a cointoss. Just because one guy thinks Nathan is a better reliever than a guy who has had one good season doesn't make him wrong. That's all I'm saying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 There is a pretty good chance of a regression from Duke, both because of the year he had last year, and because of the move to the AL for the first time in his career. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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