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6/10 GDT Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox


Condor13

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QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Jun 10, 2015 -> 09:13 PM)
Ground ball + hit is greater than k. So the play makes sense

No it doesn't.

 

A hit and run is best used when:

 

a) the batter is someone who does not frequently strike out,

b) at a time when the count won't disadvantage a hitter if he takes a bad swing

and c) with a runner fast enough to take second base even if the batter does strike out.

 

The Sox didn't have a, b or c.

 

And why do you think a ground ball or a hit is more likely than a K? Genuine question, just briefly thinking about it without running numbers I'd be really unsure about that.

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With that bomb Soto's OPS is now almost 100 points higher than Flowers'. I was also looking at the one thing Flowers has done well this year (pitch framing), and Soto is right behind him in that. Basically there's no reason Flowers should get more playing time.

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QUOTE (Feeky Magee @ Jun 10, 2015 -> 09:40 PM)
No it doesn't.

 

A hit and run is best used when:

 

a) the batter is someone who does not frequently strike out,

b) at a time when the count won't disadvantage a hitter if he takes a bad swing

and c) with a runner fast enough to take second base even if the batter does strike out.

 

The Sox didn't have a, b or c.

 

And why do you think a ground ball or a hit is more likely than a K? Genuine question, just briefly thinking about it without running numbers I'd be really unsure about that.

Run the numbers. You are wrong.the 2 bad things are a K and a line out in the infield. There is more than a 50% chance that doesn't happen.

 

 

Edited by Dick Allen
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QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Jun 10, 2015 -> 09:48 PM)
It wasn't a hit and run

 

If it was, it means that Soto isn't taking signs, which opens another set of manager concerns.

 

That being said, you're right --- probably was just a double play avoidance tactic.

 

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