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Should Sox Go After Longoria?


Bigsoxhurt35

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Longoria's contract isn't the bargain it once was, so I could actually see this working. I just think the Rays would probably want more then the Sox could realistically give up. Longoria has been trending downward though so you'd have to be cautious here (given he's signed through 2022).

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QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Jul 30, 2015 -> 03:49 PM)
Can Fulmer be traded?

 

If we're trying to avoid things from the big league squad, Micah + Fulmer + Anderson + Montas could be close.

 

If not then it's a price the Sox wouldn't do (Rodon/Quintana).

No, he can't be traded till the off-season. PTBNL exception no longer works.

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QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Jul 30, 2015 -> 05:49 PM)
Can Fulmer be traded?

 

If we're trying to avoid things from the big league squad, Micah + Fulmer + Anderson + Montas could be close.

 

If not then it's a price the Sox wouldn't do (Rodon/Quintana).

 

Fulmer cannot be traded.

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QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Jul 30, 2015 -> 03:51 PM)
Micah + Adams + Montas + Anderson...

 

I still don't do that if I'm Tampa. Maybe they would but I wouldn't.

They might actually do that. Not a bad package. 2 top 100 guys and 2 near top 100 guys. Problem with Evan is he has been the face of the franchise, which probably means it takes an extreme overpay and a much larger package.

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Yikes. I must say I am a bit confused about the dislike for CarGo but the love for Longoria.

 

Longoria has not been the stud he once was for the last few years.

 

The packages suggested above seem really rich for my blood.

 

Also, the Rays are in a competitive position still. Not sure they would move Longoria for players that aren't mlb-ready at this point.

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QUOTE (iamshack @ Jul 30, 2015 -> 06:57 PM)
Yikes. I must say I am a bit confused about the dislike for CarGo but the love for Longoria.

Seasons playing less than 140 games in last 5:

Longoria: 1

Cargo: 4

 

No Coors Field effect to worry about

 

Money owed:

Longoria, $110 million/7 years

Gonzalez: $37 million/2 years

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QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Jul 30, 2015 -> 05:49 PM)
Can Fulmer be traded?

 

If we're trying to avoid things from the big league squad, Micah + Fulmer + Anderson + Montas could be close.

 

If not then it's a price the Sox wouldn't do (Rodon/Quintana).

2014 OPS: .724

2015 OPS: .752

 

Adam eaton OPS 2015: .751

Tyler saladino OPS 2015: .746

 

Longoria is 30. He's not the same player. H

 

How is this anything but hero-worship.

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QUOTE (GreenSox @ Jul 30, 2015 -> 07:01 PM)
2014 OPS: .724

2015 OPS: .752

 

Adam eaton OPS 2015: .751

Tyler saladino OPS 2015: .746

 

Longoria is 30. He's not the same player. H

 

How is this anything but hero-worship.

The Rays wouldn't move him for less than that, so if you don't think he's worth it feel free to say so.

 

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Longoria does get substantial value out of his defense, however, you'd have to figure it would decline later in the contract. He is on pace for a 4+ WAR season. Offensively the past two years have been nothing like his first 5 though and the contract arbitrage goes away to the point where he will be fairly paid.

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QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Jul 30, 2015 -> 04:00 PM)
Seasons playing less than 140 games in last 5:

Longoria: 1

Cargo: 4

 

No Coors Field effect to worry about

 

Money owed:

Longoria, $110 million/7 years

Gonzalez: $37 million/2 years

Fair enough, but he's really fallen off recently. I suppose he still has value given his contract, but not nearly what he once had. His defense has fallen off, his offense has fallen off in 3 of the past 4 years.

 

Given this trend, and the mileage on him, I wouldn't be surprised to see him battle injuries and continue a general decline over the next several years.

 

Does he have value? Yes...but is the disparity THAT large? And worth THOSE types of packages? Not to me.

Edited by iamshack
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QUOTE (iamshack @ Jul 30, 2015 -> 06:06 PM)
Fair enough, but he's really fallen off recently. I suppose he still has value given his contract, but not nearly what he once had. His defense has fallen off, his offense has fallen off in 3 of the past 4 years.

 

Given this trend, and the mileage on him, I wouldn't be surprised to see him battle injuries and continue a general decline over the next several years.

 

Does he have value? Yes...but is the disparity THAT large? And worth THOSE types of packages? Not to me.

I agree, there's enough red flags about him to make me not want to empty the farm for him, especially considering he's not particularly young or particularly cheap anymore.

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FWIW, Longoria didn't even make the top 50 in trade value on Fangraphs. He was below Jorge Soler. Would you give that package up for Soler? I understand he's the face of their franchise, but that just pushes the price into the "not worth it" territory. No thanks.

Edited by OmarComing25
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His power has really dropped the past 2 years, wondering if that's age/wear and tear or something else.

 

7/110 is a really risky number but if they are willing to take a package of Anderson/Montas/2 others I would probably do it with the difficulty we've had finding an everyday 3b lately.

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QUOTE (iamshack @ Jul 30, 2015 -> 06:06 PM)
Fair enough, but he's really fallen off recently. I suppose he still has value given his contract, but not nearly what he once had. His defense has fallen off, his offense has fallen off in 3 of the past 4 years.

 

Given this trend, and the mileage on him, I wouldn't be surprised to see him battle injuries and continue a general decline over the next several years.

 

Does he have value? Yes...but is the disparity THAT large? And worth THOSE types of packages? Not to me.

While I won't trade Anderson/Montas for anything I really think it would be wise for us to trade at least Anderson for a impact, long term bat. I have zero faith in him being an everyday player in the bigs.

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QUOTE (bigruss22 @ Jul 30, 2015 -> 04:28 PM)
While I won't trade Anderson/Montas for anything I really think it would be wise for us to trade at least Anderson for a impact, long term bat. I have zero faith in him being an everyday player in the bigs.

Well I wouldn't target Longoria as an impact, long-term bat at this stage of his career.

 

I've been wrong plenty though.

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QUOTE (iamshack @ Jul 30, 2015 -> 05:57 PM)
Yikes. I must say I am a bit confused about the dislike for CarGo but the love for Longoria.

 

Longoria has not been the stud he once was for the last few years.

 

The packages suggested above seem really rich for my blood.

 

Also, the Rays are in a competitive position still. Not sure they would move Longoria for players that aren't mlb-ready at this point.

 

It would be interesting to see what they do; if they have a chance to start stockpiling minor league talent again, given their payroll limitations, it may be tough to pass on that, although I don't really know if he's truly on the market.

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