Lucky Number 13

[Gene Honda Civic]

There's 13 games left in this wonderful season. 13 games in 13 days.

 

Here's the breakdown:

 

3 games @ Min

3 vs. KC

3 vs. Yankees

4 @ KC

 

Pitching matchups for the Minnesota series look like this:

Loiza vs. Radke

Garland vs. Rogers

Colon vs. Loshe

 

I like our chances. We don't have to see Santana's nasty stuff. I think we should at least take 2 of 3 in Minnesota. The only matchup I don't like is Garland vs. Rogers. Kenny Rogers is a soft tossing lefty, something we've not hit very well. JG will have to step it up to give us a chance here.

 

The Managing descision of the year is weather to give DW one more start. If he goes on Satuday @ home vs. KC, that would leave 8 games left, twice through a 4-man rotation. Each of the big 4 would only have to throw on 3 days reast once. The Final series would close like this:

EL - JG - BC - MB

This sets up better for the playoffs. But, I think the only way JM uses this scenario is if we are able to take the series in Minnesota.

 

However, if JM skips DW He could throw EL on the final day of the season. This scenario would mean EL would throw 3 times on limited rest, while the others make 2 short rest starts. The final series woud look like this:

JG - BC - MB - EL

It's likely that JM would only resort to burning everyone if we somehow lost the Minnesota series.

 

In Minnesota's remaining 13 games, they have 10 left vs. Cle & Det. Realistically I only expect them to lose 2 or 3 games in those 10 games. That puts them at 87 or 88 victories, minus our series.

 

If we win every series the rest of the year; 2 of 3 in MIN, 2 of 3 vs. KC, 2 of 3 vs. NYY, and 3 of 4 @ KC. That puts us at 9-4 down the stretch. 89 victories, quite possibly tied with Minnesota. Who with the addition of one victory vs. the SOX have 88 or 89 victories.

 

TRANSLATION>>>> SWEEP THE TWINKIES!!!!

We need at least a 2.5 game lead on them after the series to be at all comfortable.

 

GO WHITE SOX!!!!

 

I know that I used the terms "us" and "we" extensively above. I know that I do not play for the White Sox. But, I feel like I have so much invested in this team, it's almost like I do.

[Bmr31]

Thanks for your analysis. I posted something similar a week or two ago but it seemed to be over the heads of some of the newer members who refuse to look forward or acknowledge that we dug ourselves a huge hole. Dont expect much, theyd rather respond to mindless crap. Im sure some of the better members will appreciate your post.

[Bmr31]

Originally i had expected the sox to need to sweep the twins in that 4 game series. That put us behind 2 games from my projections, so yes, that equals us needing to sweep the twins, in this upcoming series, to meet my original projections. However, 2 of 3 could work IF the twins somehow lose tomorrows game.

[DBAHO]

Since there's 13 games left, and conveniently we're goin to Minny, how bout some1 takes that Black Cat that ran onto da field at da Cell last year? We don't enough any more bad luck and it's bout time da Twinkies had some.