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Scenarios for the remainder of the season


aboz56

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Hypothetically, I've figured out what we'd have to do the rest of the way if we swept the Twins in order to win the division. Additionally, I've figured the scenario in which we'd take 2 out of 3. If another scenario happens, we're basically screwed so I didn't figure out those. (These scenarios also include the Twins BEATING Cleveland today.)

 

Scenario One (We Sweep)

 

If we sweep, we will have 10 games remaining and the Twins will have 9 left. If we won 7 of our last ten, the Twins would have to win their 9 remaining games in order to tie us. Winning 8 or more of our last 10 would put the division out of reach.

 

If we went 6-4, they'd have to win 8 of 9 to tie us.

If we went 5-5, they'd have to win 7 of 9 to tie us.

And so on....

 

Scenario Two (we take 2 of 3)

 

In this scenario, if we won 7 of our last 10, the Twins would need to take 8 out of 9 in order to tie us.

 

If we went 6-4, they'd have to win 7 out of 9 to tie us.

If we went 5-5, they'd have to win 6 out of 9 to tie us.

And so on...

 

Plain and simple, SWEEPING would be huge.

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I think you've correctly placed the critical point at a 9-4 finish.  That may only yield a tie unless the Tigers get tough and decide not to set the record for losses in a season.

9-4 is very doable. One can only hope and pray that is all it takes, because i believe it will take better.

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I'd feel pretty damn good if we went 9-4.

 

If we could take 2 out of 3 versus NY and Minny, we'd have to take 5 of 7 versus KC in order to do that, which I think we can easily accomplish. In fact, I could see us doing even better against KC if our bats get hot.

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