CrimsonWeltall Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (brett05 @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 03:11 PM) 1) Majority does not make right 2) Lots of news coming out about the corruption of...the news. 1) Having a sound methodology and past history of accuracy makes is very likely to be right. 2) Pollsters have every motivation to be as accurate as possible. If they're inaccurate, they become irrelevant. 2b) If the news can't be trusted, then how can you trust this news about the news not being trustworthy??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (brett05 @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 10:11 AM) 1) Majority does not make right 2) Lots of news coming out about the corruption of...the news. In case you missed it, Nate Cohn dove into the LA Times poll's methodolgy and data and found this: How One 19-Year-Old Illinois Man Is Distorting National Polling Averages That "poll" simply doesn't function in the same way that normal polling does. Being aware of the limitations doesn't mean you can't still think that Trump will win or has a better shot than the polls indicate for whatever reason, but don't let yourself be duped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (CrimsonWeltall @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 10:18 AM) 1) Having a sound methodology and past history of accuracy makes is very likely to be right. 2) Pollsters have every motivation to be as accurate as possible. If they're inaccurate, they become irrelevant. 2b) If the news can't be trusted, then how can you trust this news about the news not being trustworthy??? Herding happens, and so does some pollsters knowing they have crap methodology that will show big swings or outliers that will get media coverage, but when it's literally every single poll, state and national, versus one with a new and questionable methodology that can be significantly impacted by a single respondent and which even that one had it tied yesterday, things aren't exactly looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lostfan Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 11:22 AM) Herding happens, and so does some pollsters knowing they have crap methodology that will show big swings or outliers that will get media coverage, but when it's literally every single poll, state and national, versus one with a new and questionable methodology that can be significantly impacted by a single respondent and which even that one had it tied yesterday, things aren't exactly looking good. This happened to Gallup in 2012, they failed so bad they got out of the horse-race polling business altogether. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmags Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (Ezio Auditore @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 10:24 AM) This happened to Gallup in 2012, they failed so bad they got out of the horse-race polling business altogether. And we're rewarded with an absurdly big role in a presidential debate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 For some reason, Donald Trump is apologizing to Serbia for the NATO/US intervention to stop the genocide in the 90's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 A judge issued a probable cause criminal summons to Chris Christie over the Bridgegate scandal. Multiple former advisers/staff have testified that he was aware of what was going on before and during the closures. https://twitter.com/brian4NY/status/7865674...src=twsrc%5Etfw Can one of you fancy lawyer types explain the implications of "probable cause criminal summons"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrimsonWeltall Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 Donald Trump: I kiss and grope women without their consent. Women: Donald Trump kissed and groped out without our consent. Trump Supporters: IT'S JUST WORDS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoSox05 Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 10:53 AM) For some reason, Donald Trump is apologizing to Serbia for the NATO/US intervention to stop the genocide in the 90's. Why in the world would he bring this up three weeks before the election? So bizarre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 Lou Dobbs tweeted out the personal contact information of one of Trump's accusers. https://twitter.com/polly/status/7865998201...src=twsrc%5Etfw Gee, it sure is a mystery why women are hesitant to come forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrimsonWeltall Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 05:38 PM) Lou Dobbs tweeted out the personal contact information of one of Trump's accusers. https://twitter.com/polly/status/7865998201...src=twsrc%5Etfw Gee, it sure is a mystery why women are hesitant to come forward. I hope that woman has a safe place to stay and gets rid of that phone number immediately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lostfan Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 And people wonder why women aren't always willing to come forward with allegations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigSqwert Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 09:38 AM) Lou Dobbs tweeted out the personal contact information of one of Drumpf's accusers. https://twitter.com/polly/status/7865998201...src=twsrc%5Etfw Gee, it sure is a mystery why women are hesitant to come forward. How does this not get this idiot fired? How irresponsible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 (edited) Trump's in full-blown conspiracy paranoia land right now. (((Globalists))), (((banks))), and the media are all conspiring to stop him from making America great again. If this is true, thank you Illuminati for ensuring that the fascist orange baby man does not become President. He's also smearing his accusers in a way that can be perceived as a threat against anyone else coming forward. Edited October 13, 2016 by StrangeSox Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigSqwert Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 10:36 AM) Drumpf's in full-blown conspiracy paranoia land right now. (((Globalists))), (((banks))), and the media are all conspiring to stop him from making America great again. If this is true, thank you Illuminati for ensuring that the fascist orange baby man does not become President. He's also smearing his accusers in a way that can be perceived as a threat against anyone else coming forward. Perceived? It's completely intentional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 Right, "implied" may have been a better word to use there. Mentioned it last night, but hey everyone go and donate to RAINN if you want to help rape and abuse victims. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick Allen Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 He shows us every minute he could never handle be POTUS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lostfan Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 01:36 PM) Trump's in full-blown conspiracy paranoia land right now. (((Globalists))), (((banks))), and the media are all conspiring to stop him from making America great again. If this is true, thank you Illuminati for ensuring that the fascist orange baby man does not become President. He's also smearing his accusers in a way that can be perceived as a threat against anyone else coming forward. His supporters online aren't as subtle, they just say "Jews" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (Ezio Auditore @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 12:54 PM) His supporters online aren't as subtle, they just say "Jews" Oh no! They have these very clever code words! http://www.dailydot.com/layer8/racist-code...gle-censorship/ (they are not clever) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 In some ways I'm worried about his cult-like base turning violent, but then I remember how they all (including Trump) pissed their pants and fled from Chicago over some protests that were more tame than what I've seen in the upper deck at a Cubs-Sox game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quin Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 01:00 PM) In some ways I'm worried about his cult-like base turning violent, but then I remember how they all (including Trump) pissed their pants and fled from Chicago over some protests that were more tame than what I've seen in the upper deck at a Cubs-Sox game. Chicago to Trump: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brett05 Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 (edited) Another poll out post Debate with Trump leading the election by two points. (Rasmussen) Edited October 13, 2016 by brett05 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quin Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (brett05 @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 01:11 PM) Another poll out post Debate with Trump leading the election by two points. (Rasmussen) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick Allen Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (brett05 @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 01:11 PM) Another poll out post Debate with Trump leading the election by two points. (Rasmussen) He still will lose. It's rigged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brett05 Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Oct 13, 2016 -> 01:24 PM) He still will lose. It's rigged. Are you denying that there has been rigging in this election? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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