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Olney predicts 14 year/$407 million deal for Harper


caulfield12

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QUOTE (ChiSoxFanMike @ Jan 28, 2016 -> 07:21 AM)
If Harper is projected to get 14/407, what do you guys think that Trout will get? 16/500?

 

Look at Harper's age now, the year 2018 and when Trout will become a free agent (after 2020)...it's going to be closer to 12-13 years than 16 imo.

 

And there's no telling how much wear and tear he will have on his body at that point.

 

One of the other key notes is never to give a pitcher a long-term extension in general, and not until they're one year away from free agency to mitigate against injury risk.

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QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Jan 28, 2016 -> 07:28 AM)
Look at Harper's age now, the year 2018 and when Trout will become a free agent (after 2020)...it's going to be closer to 12-13 years than 16 imo.

 

And there's no telling how much wear and tear he will have on his body at that point.

 

One of the other key notes is never to give a pitcher a long-term extension in general, and not until they're one year away from free agency to mitigate against injury risk.

Sox f***ed up giving Sale and Q long term extensions.

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QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Jan 28, 2016 -> 08:44 AM)
When he becomes a free agent, a s***load. He's still in for a big payday. Buying out two years isn't changing that.

I think they bought out 3. And it changes it a lot. It keeps him on the team, and he is pitching for less than half the amount he would be paid had he not signed the extension. Not only that, but if he blows something out, the team has $1 million buyouts, so there is hardly any risk. And he would have been paid more for his arb years. Waiting until a year before he becomes a free agent would have cost the White Sox over $50 million.

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QUOTE (shysocks @ Jan 28, 2016 -> 08:57 AM)
Yeah I'm not sure why anybody would argue that the Sale contract is anything less than gosh darn delightful for the Sox.

 

I don't see where exactly I argued it isn't. Just saying it really only buys 2 years of control. It is a steal and everyone here knows it. Just acknowledging that he will still get paid.

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QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Jan 28, 2016 -> 09:03 AM)
I don't see where exactly I argued it isn't. Just saying it really only buys 2 years of control. It is a steal and everyone here knows it. Just acknowledging that he will still get paid.

But it saved a ton of money. If the Sox did what Caulfield says is stupid, it would have cost them a lot more.

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QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Jan 28, 2016 -> 08:35 AM)
Buying 2 years of free agency on Sale isn't much of an extension in my opinion.

 

It's actually three years of free agency. But on top of that they also gave him guaranteed money for his last pre-arbitration year and all three of his arbitration years. It definitely should be considered a long term extension as you are guaranteeing him his salary for 5 years where most pre-arbitration guys don't have that luxury.

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QUOTE (lasttriptotulsa @ Jan 28, 2016 -> 09:05 AM)
It's actually three years of free agency. But on top of that they also gave him guaranteed money for his last pre-arbitration year and all three of his arbitration years. It definitely should be considered a long term extension as you are guaranteeing him his salary for 5 years where most pre-arbitration guys don't have that luxury.

 

Ah for some reason I kept thinking it was 2. And I understand the concept of signing guys early. Teams like the Royals, Rays and Pirates seem to do that with everyone who comes up because they have to.

Edited by soxfan2014
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