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4/13 Game thread: Minnesota, 7:10pm, WPWR/WLS


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QUOTE (Jose Abreu @ Apr 13, 2016 -> 09:11 PM)
I've never bought into the "last catcher" nonsense. The odds of Navarro getting hurt in the next 2.5 innings are microscopic.

If you're losing and you have nothing to lose, I see the argument. But when youre winning, eh, just protect the lead. He gets hurt that lead evaporates fast.

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QUOTE (Buehrle>Wood @ Apr 13, 2016 -> 09:13 PM)
If you're losing and you have nothing to lose, I see the argument. But when youre winning, eh, just protect the lead. He gets hurt that lead evaporates fast.

But again, the chances of that injury happening are far less than 1%. The chances of MN coming back, scoring 3+ runs, and that AB meaning something, are more than 1%.

 

ABSOLUTE worst-case scenario, Navarro gets hurt in the 2.5 innings, and we have to go with Saladino/Lawrie at catcher (since they used to be catchers), but the odds of that happening are puny.

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QUOTE (Jose Abreu @ Apr 13, 2016 -> 09:15 PM)
But again, the chances of that injury happening are far less than 1%. The chances of MN coming back, scoring 3+ runs, and that AB meaning something, are more than 1%.

 

ABSOLUTE worst-case scenario, Navarro gets hurt in the 2.5 innings, and we have to go with Saladino/Lawrie at catcher (since they used to be catchers), but the odds of that happening are puny.

 

It's a nonstarter really. You just don't need to do that up 3-0 in the 7th. You can say the odds are low but with the Sox luck it'd happen lol

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QUOTE (Jose Abreu @ Apr 13, 2016 -> 09:16 PM)
Christopher Kamka ‏@ckamka 3m3 minutes ago

Carlos Rodon last 10 starts (dating back to 2015)

1.73 ERA, 67.2 IP, 48 H, 61 K, 27 BB, 5 HR, .202 Opp BA

#WhiteSox

I can count what 3 more Ks the way he was squeezed?

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QUOTE (Jose Abreu @ Apr 13, 2016 -> 09:15 PM)
But again, the chances of that injury happening are far less than 1%. The chances of MN coming back, scoring 3+ runs, and that AB meaning something, are more than 1%.

 

ABSOLUTE worst-case scenario, Navarro gets hurt in the 2.5 innings, and we have to go with Saladino/Lawrie at catcher (since they used to be catchers), but the odds of that happening are puny.

 

 

It only takes once to make you look like a really stupid manager. Playing those odds, especially in a non-desperation setting, is a fools errand.

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QUOTE (Jose Abreu @ Apr 13, 2016 -> 09:21 PM)
So you guys are fine with Avila facing lefties on a regular basis (relievers, when a RHP starts) because of your belief in this "second catcher" stuff?

 

What's your source for the odds of someone getting hurt to be 1%?

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QUOTE (Jose Abreu @ Apr 13, 2016 -> 09:21 PM)
So you guys are fine with Avila facing lefties on a regular basis (relievers, when a RHP starts) because of your belief in this "second catcher" stuff?

 

If the game is on the line and it's a huge AB, you pinch hit Navarro. But you can't completely protect a player from getting AB's against pitchers they're bad at hitting.

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