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*Gamethread* 4/21 - Angels vs White Sox


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QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Apr 21, 2016 -> 11:44 AM)
It obviously isn't about the logo, that is just silly. It is about the match up itself. There is a reason that Weaver has pitched well historically again us, and that is we have a team full of free swingers who chases a lot of stuff out of the strike zone. Avi Garcia is absolutely one, but so is a guy like Jose Abreu. Think Bruce Chen. This team has problems against this type of pitcher historically.

Abreu is a free swinger but the good news is that his O-Swing% is by far the lowest of his career so far this year (33% this year vs. 38% last year and almost 42% in 2014). So it seems like he is improving in that regard, and swing rates are the quickest to stabilize so it's good news, unfortunately the results just aren't there yet.

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QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Apr 21, 2016 -> 11:44 AM)
It obviously isn't about the logo, that is just silly. It is about the match up itself. There is a reason that Weaver has pitched well historically again us, and that is we have a team full of free swingers who chases a lot of stuff out of the strike zone. Avi Garcia is absolutely one, but so is a guy like Jose Abreu. Think Bruce Chen. This team has problems against this type of pitcher historically.

 

The average O-Swing% (percentage of pitches swung at thrown out of the zone) for the entire MLB is about 30%

 

Today's lineup with 2016 O-Swing% followed by career O-Swing%

 

Eaton - 30.7%, 29.4%

Rollins - 30.1%, 22.7%

Abreu - 33.1%, 39.6%

Frazier - 27.7%, 35.2%

Cabrera - 30.9%, 31.7%

Lawrie - 29.3%, 31.9%

Jackson - 24.2%, 26.2%

Garcia - 44.3%, 44.9%

Avila - 14.3%, 21.7%

 

Average - 29.4%, 31.4%

 

So while you may think it appears that way to the naked eye, the fact is that the Sox are no more of free swingers than the average MLB team.

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QUOTE (lasttriptotulsa @ Apr 21, 2016 -> 12:09 PM)
The average O-Swing% (percentage of pitches swung at thrown out of the zone) for the entire MLB is about 30%

 

Today's lineup with 2016 O-Swing% followed by career O-Swing%

 

Eaton - 30.7%, 29.4%

Rollins - 30.1%, 22.7%

Abreu - 33.1%, 39.6%

Frazier - 27.7%, 35.2%

Cabrera - 30.9%, 31.7%

Lawrie - 29.3%, 31.9%

Jackson - 24.2%, 26.2%

Garcia - 44.3%, 44.9%

Avila - 14.3%, 21.7%

 

Average - 29.4%, 31.4%

 

So while you may think it appears that way to the naked eye, the fact is that the Sox are no more of free swingers than the average MLB team.

The Sox are 2nd to the Rays in O-Swing% as a team, so that's not really true.

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QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Apr 21, 2016 -> 12:11 PM)
The Sox are 2nd to the Rays in O-Swing% as a team, so that's not really true.

 

And the 15, 16 ranked teams are at 28.5% and 28.4%. A difference of 3% or about 2 more swings a game out of the zone and just 4 or 5 more than the best team in the league at O-Swing%. Hardly significant.

Edited by lasttriptotulsa
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