bmags Posted August 1, 2016 Author Share Posted August 1, 2016 So a few things happened since a couple weeks ago: - The British central bank showed that they would be more capable than they were in the financial crisis to avert crisis - All pro-Brexit politicians somehow exited stage left - The early EU pressure that a decision be made right away then pulled back to waiting until after home EU elections - Theresa May said that the article would not be executed unless Scotland voted yes (which of course, Scotland voted against Brexit initially). Now, are people appropriately accounting for the risk this actually happens? Probably not. But all signs are pointing to a lack of conviction after the vote to pull this off. Especially with the realization that the Northern Ireland peace accords would be screwed with Brexit, or there would just be one open border that basically undermines cloing borders anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmags Posted August 2, 2016 Author Share Posted August 2, 2016 http://qz.com/747159/after-the-brexit-vote...looks-terrible/ Uncertainty affecting any investment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted August 25, 2016 Share Posted August 25, 2016 Article 50 vote delayed for as much as 3 more years http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/polit...y-a7189851.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted November 3, 2016 Share Posted November 3, 2016 After the current PM Theresa May had signaled a few months back that she was looking to do a "hard" Brexit as soon as next spring with her directing the whole thing, the UK high court has ruled that Parliament must approve a Brexit measure. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/n...ules?CMP=twt_gu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Brexit vote: Theresa May wins Commons approval to trigger Article 50 as Labour's Clive Lewis resigns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Scotland making more Independence noise again http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/polit...u-a7626746.html Northern Ireland party Sinn Fein calling for unification vote. http://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/iri...-féin-1.3009166 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 Theresa May to trigger article 50 on 29 March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Article 50 triggered http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39431070 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joxer_Daly Posted March 30, 2017 Share Posted March 30, 2017 QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Mar 14, 2017 -> 04:11 AM) Scotland making more Independence noise again http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/polit...u-a7626746.html Northern Ireland party Sinn Fein calling for unification vote. http://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/iri...-féin-1.3009166 Sorry to be a pedantic ballbag, but Sinn Féin are an all-Ireland party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted May 1, 2017 Share Posted May 1, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptatc Posted May 1, 2017 Share Posted May 1, 2017 QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Mar 29, 2017 -> 09:36 AM) Article 50 triggered http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39431070 Interesting how it changes companies. My wife's employer (Zurich insurance) has a major branch based out of London. Once Brexit happens, their ability to do business in the EU changes. They laid off 25% of their employees in Schaumburg (North american branch HQ) because they will need to shift a significant part of the business to an EU based home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted May 25, 2017 Share Posted May 25, 2017 The Tory lead in the polls has been collapsing ahead of next month's election. It will be pretty interesting if calling the snap election blows up in May's face spectacularly, much in the same way that Brexit blew up on Cameron. https://twitter.com/SamCoatesTimes/status/867847777040183298 Exclusive: Tory lead over Labour down to FIVE points in new YouGov/Times poll conducted Wed/ Thu this week, down from 9 points last Thur/Fri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 Still slipping Britain Elects @britainelects Westminster voting intention: CON: 42% (-1) LAB: 39% (+3) LDEM: 7% (-2) UKIP: 4% (-) (via @YouGov / 30 - 31 May) It's now plausible that Labour and Lib-Dems and maybe SNP? will be able to form a coalition government and kick the Tories out of power, thought it'd be a pretty shaky coalition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmags Posted June 2, 2017 Author Share Posted June 2, 2017 Can't imagine lib-dems playing nice with labour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted June 6, 2017 Share Posted June 6, 2017 yikes Theresa May @theresa_may I'm clear: if human rights laws get in the way of tackling extremism and terrorism, we will change those laws to keep British people safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 (edited) Lead has shifted finally again....+1 going in the direction of May's party after sliding for quite awhile, looking like a comfortable 5-7% point margin of victory, terror attack might have stopped all of Corbyn's momentum. Edited June 7, 2017 by caulfield12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Britain Elects @britainelects Follow EXIT POLL: Con: 314 Lab: 266 SNP: 34 LDem: 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoSox05 Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Amazing. Finally some good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Dave Weigel ✔ @daveweigel Trump endorses Le Pen: She loses by 32 points. Trump cozies up to May: She blows a 25-point lead and maybe loses the leadership. 4:09 PM - 8 Jun 2017 These are just the exit polls, which are typically fairly reliable but Conservatives could still win a small majority here. Either way, this is a spectacular failure on their part and is going to make the Brexit negotiations that much more chaotic. Who knows if May will retain leadership even if they squeak out a majority. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 Good night for Labour so far, pretty bad night for Conservatives all things considered, and a brutal night for single-issue parties with UKIP and SNP losing tons of voters. Scottish Independence is dead dead dead, as is May as PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 Really highlights how important an individual vote can be, especially when you have appropriately sized constituencies. Some races were decided by 1 or 2 votes. MP's represent ~70k people though rather than ~700k that districts in the US have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoSox05 Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 @JStein_Vox In 2015, Miliband won the youth vote by 15 points. In 2016, Clinton won it by 18 points. Tonight's exit poll: Corbyn won it by 44 points Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StrangeSox Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 Cool breakdown from NYT on how Britain voted, with this nice graphic showing the shifts. Labour picked up a bunch in England while Conservatives stopped some of the bleeding by carving up rural Scotland. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/06...s-analysis.html Red is Labour, Blue is Conservatives. One of the notable Labour gains last night was Canterbury, which has gone Conservative since 1825. The closest analog would be Democrats winning Oklahoma panhandle seats unexpectedly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptatc Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Jun 9, 2017 -> 10:22 AM) Cool breakdown from NYT on how Britain voted, with this nice graphic showing the shifts. Labour picked up a bunch in England while Conservatives stopped some of the bleeding by carving up rural Scotland. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/06...s-analysis.html Red is Labour, Blue is Conservatives. One of the notable Labour gains last night was Canterbury, which has gone Conservative since 1825. The closest analog would be Democrats winning Oklahoma panhandle seats unexpectedly. Interesting on how Northern Ireland politics are changing. More with labour on the new vote as well as the new PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmags Posted June 9, 2017 Author Share Posted June 9, 2017 QUOTE (ptatc @ Jun 9, 2017 -> 10:51 AM) Interesting on how Northern Ireland politics are changing. More with labour on the new vote as well as the new PM. That's actually a different shade, DUP, which I think is pledged with the Tories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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